Topic 08 -- Abstracts with Biological Entities (English) - 75 Topics

cite ad title authors publish year publish time dataset abstract mentions covid pmcid pubmed id doi cord uid topic weight Similarity scispacy Similarity specter
1 Bifolchi_2013 Spatial approximations of network-based individual level infectious disease models Bifolchi, Nadia; Deardon, Rob; Feng, Zeny 2013 2013-09-30 PMC N 23973181.0 10.1016/j.sste.2013.07.001 evpj67t1 0.978178 Chowell_2017, Kenah_2007, Welch_2011, Simon_2010 Chen_2014, Feng_2018, Van_Segbroeck_2010, Sherborne_2015
2 Kenah_2007 Network-based analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models with random and proportionate mixing Kenah, Eben; Robins, James M. 2007 2007-12-01 PMC N PMC2186204 17950362.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2007.09.011 vt6nh3vs 0.947782 Bifolchi_2013, Li_C_2018, Li_K_2011, Simon_2010 Kan_J_2017, Han_X_2014, Sherborne_2015
3 Wang_2014 A Filippov system describing media effects on the spread of infectious diseases Wang, Aili; Xiao, Yanni 2014 2014-01-31 PMC N 10.1016/j.nahs.2013.06.005 biryyh8f 0.940230 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Polverino_2017, Welch_2011, Wu_Q_2014 Qin_W_2016, Sirijampa_2018, Denphedtnong_2013, Sahu_2015
4 Chen_2018 The global dynamics for a stochastic SIS epidemic model with isolation Chen, Yiliang; Wen, Buyu; Teng, Zhidong 2018 2018-02-15 PMC N PMC7127643 10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.085 774ywcj0 0.933762 Polverino_2017, Lloyd_2009, Bifolchi_2013, Welch_2011 Sirijampa_2018, Li_F_2018, Yi_N_2009, Gao_D_2018
5 Gao_D_2018 Global stability analysis of an SVEIR epidemic model with general incidence rate Gao, Da-peng; Huang, Nan-jing; Kang, Shin Min; Zhang, Cong 2018 2018-03-27 COMM-USE N PMC7149115 10.1186/s13661-018-0961-7 bss41lae 0.932336 Largo_2016, Choudhury_2011, David_2013, Abou-Hamdan_2018, Polverino_2017 Elazzouzi_2019, Denphedtnong_2013, Sirijampa_2018, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015
6 Fan_K_2020 A delayed vaccinated epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and Lévy jumps Fan, Kuangang; Zhang, Yan; Gao, Shujing; Chen, Shihua 2020 2020-04-15 PMC N PMC7154516 10.1016/j.physa.2019.123379 ru2mv7wv 0.931548 Bifolchi_2013, Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Chowell_2017, Li_K_2011 Lv_W_2019, Sirijampa_2018, Yuan_2018, Li_F_2018
7 Sirijampa_2018 Hopf bifurcation analysis of a delayed SEIR epidemic model with infectious force in latent and infected period Sirijampa, Aekabut; Chinviriyasit, Settapat; Chinviriyasit, Wirawan 2018 2018-10-01 COMM-USE N PMC7099316 10.1186/s13662-018-1805-6 2pw54nmn 0.931375 Polverino_2017, Bifolchi_2013, Bocharov_2018, Zhao_2013 Yuan_2018, Yi_N_2009, Fan_K_2020, Li_F_2018
8 Jiang_2009 Periodic solutions and bifurcation in an S I S epidemic model with birth pulses Jiang, Guirong; Yang, Qigui 2009 2009-08-31 PMC N PMC7127272 10.1016/j.mcm.2009.04.021 zdj0nxmb 0.926375 Bifolchi_2013, Kenah_2007, Yi_N_2009, Simon_2010 Sirijampa_2018, Yuan_2018, Yi_N_2009, Samanta_2020
9 Li_C_2018 Modeling and analysis of epidemic spreading on community networks with heterogeneity Li, Chanchan; Jiang, Guo-ping; Song, Yurong; Xia, Lingling; Li, Yinwei; Song, Bo 2018 2018-09-30 PMC N PMC7127304 10.1016/j.jpdc.2018.04.009 h1i29kcq 0.924330 Welch_2011, Wu_Q_2014, Kenah_2007, Gong_2013 Gong_2014, Chanchan_2016, Shang_2013, Kan_J_2017
10 Sherborne_2015 Dynamics of Multi-stage Infections on Networks Sherborne, N.; Blyuss, K. B.; Kiss, I. Z. 2015 2015-09-24 COMM-USE N PMC4651987 26403422.0 10.1007/s11538-015-0109-1 fsqbgyaw 0.916813 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Kenah_2007, O'Dea_2010 Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Denphedtnong_2013, Safi_2011, Real_2007
11 Lachiany_2016 Effects of distribution of infection rate on epidemic models Lachiany, Menachem; Louzoun, Yoram 2016 2016-08-11 PMC N PMC7088461 27627337.0 10.1103/physreve.94.022409 jhokn5bu 0.916177 David_2013, Largo_2016, Abou-Hamdan_2018, Choudhury_2011, Lipsitch_2014 Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Denphedtnong_2013, Safi_2011, Sherborne_2015
12 Park_2018 A practical generation interval-based approach to inferring the strength of epidemics from their speed Sang Woo Park; David Champredon; Joshua S. Weitz; Jonathan Dushoff 2018 2018-05-02 BioRxiv N 10.1101/312397 jry46itn 0.914779 Bifolchi_2013, O'Dea_2010, Chang_2011, Lloyd_2009, Giardina_2017 Thompson_2019, Park_2019, Kucharski_2015, Kretzschmar_2020
13 Li_F_2018 Analysis and Numerical Simulations of a Stochastic SEIQR Epidemic System with Quarantine-Adjusted Incidence and Imperfect Vaccination Li, Fei; Meng, Xinzhu; Wang, Xinzeng 2018 2018-02-20 COMM-USE N PMC5838506 29675054.0 10.1155/2018/7873902 vpatxjd4 0.913191 Bocharov_2018, Renna_2020, Bifolchi_2013, Chowell_2017, Simon_2010 Lv_W_2019, Sirijampa_2018, Fan_K_2020, Gao_D_2018
14 Keegan_2016 Estimating finite-population reproductive numbers in heterogeneous populations Keegan, Lindsay T.; Dushoff, Jonathan 2016 2016-05-21 PMC N PMC7094132 26891919.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2016.01.022 ao2w4v71 0.905121 Li_C_2018, Gong_2013, Wallinga_2006, Welch_2011, O'Dea_2010 Clancy_2015, Wallinga_2006, White_2013, Nishiura_2009
15 Guo_W_2018 Stochastic persistence and stationary distribution in an SIS epidemic model with media coverage Guo, Wenjuan; Cai, Yongli; Zhang, Qimin; Wang, Weiming 2018 2018-02-15 PMC N PMC7125861 10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.137 04p0c4jt 0.903218 Bifolchi_2013, Bocharov_2018, Kenah_2007, Renna_2020 Fan_K_2020, Zhao_2018, Chen_2018, Yuan_2018
16 Wang_2013 Impact of media coverage on epidemic spreading in complex networks Wang, Yi; Cao, Jinde; Jin, Zhen; Zhang, Haifeng; Sun, Gui-Quan 2013 2013-12-01 PMC N 10.1016/j.physa.2013.07.067 t39zx02d 0.902764 Bocharov_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Kenah_2007, Polverino_2017 Zhao_2018, Guo_W_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Wang_2014
17 Fujie_2007 Effects of superspreaders in spread of epidemic Fujie, Ryo; Odagaki, Takashi 2007 2007-02-01 PMC N PMC7127014 10.1016/j.physa.2006.08.050 bph4nuch 0.901924 Bifolchi_2013, Kenah_2007, Li_K_2011, Li_C_2018 Shang_2013, Edholm_2018, James_2006, Small_2006
18 Park_2019 Inferring generation-interval distributions from contact-tracing data Sang Woo Park; David Champredon; Jonathan Dushoff 2019 2019-06-27 BioRxiv N 10.1101/683326 v4e0xduf 0.899037 Polverino_2017, Bifolchi_2013, Welch_2011, Li_C_2018, O'Dea_2010 Robert_2020, Thompson_2019, Park_2018, Britton_2019
19 Wallinga_2006 How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers Wallinga, J; Lipsitch, M 2006 2006-11-28 PMC N PMC1766383 17476782.0 10.1098/rspb.2006.3754 2nakt1yt 0.891777 O'Dea_2010, Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Lloyd_2009 Tennant_2018, Heffernan_2006, Thompson_2019, Wu_K_2016
20 Ma_J_2020 Estimating epidemic exponential growth rate and basic reproduction number Ma, Junling 2020 2020-01-08 COMM-USE N PMC6962332 31956741.0 10.1016/j.idm.2019.12.009 osol7wdp 0.890656 Lloyd_2009, Li_C_2018, Bocharov_2018, Wu_Q_2014 Fan_K_2020, Wang_2014, Guo_W_2018, Nishiura_2009
21 Kong_2016 Modeling Heterogeneity in Direct Infectious Disease Transmission in a Compartmental Model Kong, Lingcai; Wang, Jinfeng; Han, Weiguo; Cao, Zhidong 2016 2016-02-24 COMM-USE N PMC4808916 26927140.0 10.3390/ijerph13030253 bm9z8gss 0.887691 Bifolchi_2013, Li_C_2018, Welch_2011, Chowell_2017, O'Dea_2010 Safi_2011, Kong_2018, Real_2007, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015
22 Wu_Q_2014 Responsive immunization and intervention for infectious diseases in social networks Wu, Qingchu; Zhang, Haifeng; Zeng, Guanghong 2014 2014-04-24 COMM-USE N PMC7112455 24985422.0 10.1063/1.4872177 5w90r6wu 0.886806 Li_C_2018, Stenseth_2008, O'Dea_2010, Chen_2018 Chen_2018, Xu_Z_2014, Kan_J_2017, Shang_2013
23 Lan_G_2019 A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with non-monotone incidence rate under regime-switching Lan, Guijie; Lin, Ziyan; Wei, Chunjin; Zhang, Shuwen 2019 2019-11-30 PMC N PMC7127215 10.1016/j.jfranklin.2019.09.009 yjodgy2v 0.885436 Pekalp_2019, Bocharov_2018, Qi_Z_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Polverino_2017 Fan_K_2020, Sirijampa_2018, Li_F_2018, Chen_2018
24 Gong_2014 Epidemic spreading in metapopulation networks with heterogeneous infection rates Gong, Yong-Wang; Song, Yu-Rong; Jiang, Guo-Ping 2014 2014-12-15 PMC N PMC7125748 10.1016/j.physa.2014.08.056 ayzbh7bw 0.884826 Li_C_2018, Kenah_2007, Bifolchi_2013, Li_K_2011 Shang_2013, Li_C_2018, Han_X_2014, Kan_J_2017
25 Senapati_2019 Disease control through removal of population using Z-control approach Senapati, Abhishek; Panday, Pijush; Samanta, Sudip; Chattopadhyay, Joydev 2019 2019-12-19 PMC N 10.1016/j.physa.2019.123846 nsei3i8g 0.882127 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, O'Dea_2010, Welch_2011, Polverino_2017 Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Safi_2011, Denphedtnong_2013, Bolzoni_2017
26 Sahu_2015 Dynamics of an SEQIHRS epidemic model with media coverage, quarantine and isolation in a community with pre-existing immunity Sahu, Govind Prasad; Dhar, Joydip 2015 2015-01-15 PMC N PMC7094530 10.1016/j.jmaa.2014.08.019 23xkaa19 0.880758 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Bifolchi_2013, Welch_2011, Gong_2013 Denphedtnong_2013, Safi_2011, Gao_D_2018, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015
27 Liu_D_2013 Stability analysis of a novel epidemics model with vaccination and nonlinear infectious rate Liu, Defang; Wang, Bochu; Guo, Songtao 2013 2013-09-15 PMC N PMC7132752 10.1016/j.amc.2013.07.016 5proo6ob 0.879483 Bocharov_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Chowell_2017, Li_K_2011, Polverino_2017 Fan_K_2020, Lv_W_2019, Sirijampa_2018, Shi_P_2020
28 Wang_2014 Effect of time delay on pattern dynamics in a spatial epidemic model Wang, Yi; Cao, Jinde; Sun, Gui-Quan; Li, Jing 2014 2014-10-15 PMC N PMC7156238 10.1016/j.physa.2014.06.038 f3uednt5 0.870587 Bifolchi_2013, Li_K_2011, Li_C_2018, Bocharov_2018 Sirijampa_2018, Wang_2014, Yuan_2018, Guo_W_2018
29 Cheng_2017 Adaptive dispersal effect on the spread of a disease in a patchy environment Cheng, Chang-Yuan 2017 2017-07-31 PMC N PMC7125817 10.1016/j.apm.2017.03.004 7jjmp51n 0.869623 Li_C_2018, Welch_2011, Polverino_2017, Bifolchi_2013, Pacheco_2017 Safi_2011, Zhao_2018, Van_Segbroeck_2010, Denphedtnong_2013
30 Yi_N_2009 Analysis and control of an SEIR epidemic system with nonlinear transmission rate Yi, Na; Zhang, Qingling; Mao, Kun; Yang, Dongmei; Li, Qin 2009 2009-11-30 PMC N 10.1016/j.mcm.2009.07.014 89v7wzl0 0.867709 Bifolchi_2013, Simon_2010, Kenah_2007, Chowell_2017 Samanta_2020, Sirijampa_2018, Yuan_2018, Chen_2018
31 Khaleque_2017 An empirical analysis of the Ebola outbreak in West Africa Khaleque, Abdul; Sen, Parongama 2017 2017-02-16 COMM-USE N PMC5311974 28205617.0 10.1038/srep42594 2b8or69i 0.867560 Polverino_2017, Chang_2011, Qi_Z_2018, Welch_2011, Saw_A_2019 Backer_2016, Poletti_2011, dos_Santos_2018, Cousien_2019
32 Yuan_2018 Complex dynamics in an SIS epidemic model induced by nonlinear incidence Ruixia Yuan; Zhidong Teng; Jinhui Li 2018 2018-05-25 BioRxiv N 10.1101/331678 396rgxno 0.864296 Bifolchi_2013, Li_C_2018, Wang_2014, Kenah_2007 Sirijampa_2018, Fan_K_2020, Yi_N_2009, Lv_W_2019
33 Sahoo_2015 Effects of allochthonous inputs in the control of infectious disease of prey Sahoo, Banshidhar; Poria, Swarup 2015 2015-06-30 PMC N PMC7144350 10.1016/j.chaos.2015.02.002 orycly06 0.863310 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, McCoy_2003, Bocharov_2018, Lloyd_2009 Schakau_2019, Sahoo_2013, Colombi_2019
34 Chowell_2017 Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts Chowell, Gerardo 2017 2017-08-12 NONCOMM N PMC5726591 29250607.0 10.1016/j.idm.2017.08.001 3aa8wgr0 0.863244 Bocharov_2018, Bifolchi_2013, smith_2019, Lemey_2009 Zimmer_2017, Lloyd_2009
35 Samanta_2020 Chaos in a nonautonomous eco-epidemiological model with delay Samanta, Sudip; Tiwari, Pankaj Kumar; Alzahrani, Abdullah K.; Alshomrani, Ali Saleh 2020 2020-03-31 PMC N PMC7116913 10.1016/j.apm.2019.11.006 yxhigw8h 0.863244 Polverino_2017, Bocharov_2018, Li_K_2011, Bifolchi_2013 Yi_N_2009, Sirijampa_2018, Chen_2018, Yuan_2018
36 Wang_2014 Pattern dynamics of an epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate Wang, Tao 2014 2014-02-09 PMC N PMC7089073 10.1007/s11071-014-1270-z g8laoz7j 0.861288 Bifolchi_2013, Bocharov_2018, Li_C_2018, Li_K_2011 Wang_2014, Fan_K_2020, Guo_W_2018, Yuan_2018
37 Yu_B_2010 Gryphon: A Hybrid Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation Platform for Infectious Diseases Yu, Bin; Wang, Jijun; McGowan, Michael; Vaidyanathan, Ganesh; Younger, Kristofer 2010 2010-01-01 PMC N PMC7122863 10.1007/978-3-642-12079-4_26 q3gj4raw 0.860834 Bocharov_2018, Chowell_2017, O'Dea_2010, Lumby_2018 Gomez_2020, Nadeau_2014, Chen_2019
38 Wu_K_2016 Estimation of the Basic Reproductive Number and Mean Serial Interval of a Novel Pathogen in a Small, Well-Observed Discrete Population Wu, Kendra M.; Riley, Steven 2016 2016-02-05 COMM-USE N PMC4744020 26849644.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0148061 zgdoznwf 0.859468 Lloyd_2009, Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Chang_2011, O'Dea_2010 Kucharski_2015, Heffernan_2006, Heffernan_2005, Tennant_2018
39 Xiao_2007 Global analysis of an epidemic model with nonmonotone incidence rate Xiao, Dongmei; Ruan, Shigui 2007 2007-08-31 PMC N PMC7094627 17303186.0 10.1016/j.mbs.2006.09.025 s6zyumef 0.852320 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Gong_2013, Kenah_2007 Fan_K_2020, Safi_2011, Liu_D_2013, Yuan_2018
40 Ma_J_2013 The importance of contact network topology for the success of vaccination strategies Ma, Junling; van den Driessche, P.; Willeboordse, Frederick H. 2013 2013-05-21 PMC N PMC7094094 23376579.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2013.01.006 tw5armh8 0.848914 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Welch_2011, Bifolchi_2013, O'Dea_2010 Porco_2004, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Sherborne_2015
41 Tomie_2020 Relations of parameters for describing the epidemic of COVID―19 by the Kermack―McKendrick model Toshihisa Tomie 2020 2020-03-03 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.02.26.20027797 m0d72ntg 0.846338 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Polverino_2017, Ma_J_2020, Sadun_2020 Imran_2018, Victor_2020, Safi_2011, Kretzschmar_2020
42 Li_K_2011 Adaptive mechanism between dynamical synchronization and epidemic behavior on complex networks Li, Kezan; Fu, Xinchu; Small, Michael; Ma, Zhongjun 2011 2011-08-12 COMM-USE N PMC7112447 21974646.0 10.1063/1.3622678 ogliq8nj 0.838277 Bocharov_2018, Chowell_2017, Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013 Zhan_2018, Zhan_2018, Lv_W_2019, Kan_J_2017
43 Tennenholtz_2020 Sequential Vaccination for Containing Epidemics Guy Tennenholtz; Constantine Caramanis; Shie Mannor 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.13.20060269 ql8lq5jv 0.836373 Polverino_2017, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Wu_Q_2014 Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Wu_Q_2014, Kretzschmar_2004, Chen_2018
44 Höhle_2007 RLadyBug—An R package for stochastic epidemic models Höhle, Michael; Feldmann, Ulrike 2007 2007-10-15 PMC N PMC7114252 10.1016/j.csda.2006.11.016 63wqn2fg 0.835242 Bifolchi_2013, Bocharov_2018, Chowell_2017, Saw_A_2019 Zimmer_2017, Black_2013
45 Grant_2020 Dynamics of COVID‐19 epidemics: SEIR models underestimate peak infection rates and overestimate epidemic duration Alastair Grant 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.02.20050674 q8539o41 0.830759 Bifolchi_2013, Kenah_2007, Welch_2011, Li_C_2018 Kretzschmar_2020, Zimmer_2017, Sherborne_2015
46 Blumberg_2013 Inference of R (0) and Transmission Heterogeneity from the Size Distribution of Stuttering Chains Blumberg, Seth; Lloyd-Smith, James O. 2013 2013-05-02 COMM-USE N PMC3642075 23658504.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002993 yv9zv5u4 0.829949 Choudhury_2011, David_2013, Abou-Hamdan_2018, Largo_2016, Liu_L_2016 Safi_2011, Blumberg_2014, Kretzschmar_2020, Kucharski_2015
47 Labadin_2020 Transmission Dynamics of 2019-nCoV in Malaysia Jane Labadin; Boon Hao Hong 2020 2020-02-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.07.20021188 7axgotby 0.829159 Bifolchi_2013, Simon_2010, Bocharov_2018, Renna_2020 Shi_P_2020, Yong_2016, Biswas_2020
48 Liu_Z_2010 Inhomogeneity of epidemic spreading Liu, Zhenzhen; Wang, Xingyuan; Wang, Mogei 2010 2010-06-23 COMM-USE N PMC7117601 20590324.0 10.1063/1.3445630 fpjmp99z 0.826206 Li_C_2018, Kenah_2007, Gong_2013, Welch_2011 Shang_2013, Li_C_2018, Wang_2014, Pu_C_2016
49 Elazzouzi_2019 Global stability analysis for a generalized delayed SIR model with vaccination and treatment Elazzouzi, A.; Lamrani Alaoui, A.; Tilioua, M.; Tridane, A. 2019 2019-12-21 COMM-USE N PMC7100696 10.1186/s13662-019-2447-z bs575r1u 0.826137 Abou-Hamdan_2018, David_2013, Choudhury_2011, Largo_2016, Polverino_2017 Gao_D_2018, Sirijampa_2018, Lv_W_2019, Fan_K_2020
50 Denphedtnong_2013 On the dynamics of SEIRS epidemic model with transport-related infection Denphedtnong, Adisak; Chinviriyasit, Settapat; Chinviriyasit, Wirawan 2013 2013-10-31 PMC N PMC7094751 23876843.0 10.1016/j.mbs.2013.07.001 vqagpbiu 0.824939 Mack_2007, Li_C_2018, Stenseth_2008, Wu_Q_2014, Looker_2006 Safi_2011, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Sahu_2015, Shi_P_2020
51 Shang_2013 Modeling epidemic spread with awareness and heterogeneous transmission rates in networks Shang, Yilun 2013 2013-05-03 PMC N PMC3689355 23860922.0 10.1007/s10867-013-9318-8 qzgxe24c 0.824866 Li_C_2018, Li_K_2011, Wu_Q_2014, O'Dea_2010 Kan_J_2017, Gong_2014, Wu_Q_2014
52 Bansal_2007 When individual behaviour matters: homogeneous and network models in epidemiology Bansal, Shweta; Grenfell, Bryan T; Meyers, Lauren Ancel 2007 2007-07-19 PMC N PMC2394553 17640863.0 10.1098/rsif.2007.1100 2uj161bb 0.823278 Bifolchi_2013, Gamermann_2014, O'Dea_2010, Welch_2011 Chen_2014, Kong_2016, Feng_2018, Bioglio_2016
53 Hassouna_2018 On the solution of fractional order SIS epidemic model Hassouna, M.; Ouhadan, A.; El Kinani, E.H. 2018 2018-12-31 PMC N PMC7125670 10.1016/j.chaos.2018.10.023 0vi8m0co 0.822840 Bocharov_2018, Qi_Z_2018, Chowell_2017, Zhao_2013 Fan_K_2020, Sirijampa_2018, Yuan_2018, Li_F_2018
54 Lloyd_2009 Sensitivity of Model-Based Epidemiological Parameter Estimation to Model Assumptions Lloyd, A.L. 2009 2009-01-01 PMC N PMC7121564 10.1007/978-90-481-2313-1_6 kry1sejo 0.822509 Bocharov_2018, Chowell_2017, Polverino_2017, Zhao_2013 Chowell_2017, Cauchemez_2012, Roques_2020, Zimmer_2017
55 Chen_2018 A dynamic vaccination strategy to suppress the recurrent epidemic outbreaks Chen, Dandan; Zheng, Muhua; Zhao, Ming; Zhang, Yu 2018 2018-08-31 PMC N PMC7127246 10.1016/j.chaos.2018.04.026 bcv1wpfb 0.820906 Wu_Q_2014, Li_C_2018, Cinti_2005, Mondor_2012 Cai_C_2014, Zheng_2015, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Park_2016
56 Dong_2015 Can rewiring strategy control the epidemic spreading? Dong, Chao; Yin, Qiuju; Liu, Wenyang; Yan, Zhijun; Shi, Tianyu 2015 2015-11-15 PMC N PMC7126863 10.1016/j.physa.2015.06.037 wva3fqqa 0.819828 Li_C_2018, Welch_2011, Wu_Q_2014, Bifolchi_2013 Kan_J_2017, Song_2015, Wu_Q_2014, Yuan_2015
57 Nishiura_2009 The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course Nishiura, Hiroshi; Chowell, Gerardo; Heesterbeek, Hans; Wallinga, Jacco 2009 2009-07-01 PMC N PMC2842610 19570792.0 10.1098/rsif.2009.0153 f51rfq4e 0.814106 Polverino_2017, Bocharov_2018, Zheng_2020, Lloyd_2009 Nishiura_2007, Safi_2011, Ganyani_2020, Thompson_2019
58 Arthur_2020 Complex dynamics induced by delayed adaptive behavior during epidemics Ronan F. Arthur; James H. Jones; Matthew H. Bonds; Marcus W. Feldman 2020 2020-04-16 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.14.028407 f4ro5jst 0.811120 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Wu_Q_2014, O'Dea_2010, Li_K_2011
59 Safi_2011 The effect of incidence functions on the dynamics of a quarantine/isolation model with time delay Safi, Mohammad A.; Gumel, Abba B. 2011 2011-02-28 PMC N PMC7105019 10.1016/j.nonrwa.2010.06.009 yrw1wj8m 0.810492 Li_C_2018, Welch_2011, Bifolchi_2013, Gong_2013, Lloyd_2009 Safi_2011, Gao_D_2018, Denphedtnong_2013, Samanta_2020
60 Sun_C_2011 Effect of media-induced social distancing on disease transmission in a two patch setting Sun, Chengjun; Yang, Wei; Arino, Julien; Khan, Kamran 2011 2011-04-30 PMC N PMC7094744 21296092.0 10.1016/j.mbs.2011.01.005 nysp2zw4 0.810146 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Wu_Q_2014, Bifolchi_2013, O'Dea_2010 Wang_2014, Wang_2013, Wu_Q_2014, Shang_2013
61 ZHANG_2015 Modeling Epidemics Spreading on Social Contact Networks ZHANG, ZHAOYANG; WANG, HONGGANG; WANG, CHONGGANG; FANG, HUA 2015 2015-09-01 PMC N PMC5051690 27722037.0 10.1109/tetc.2015.2398353 3hcj0w3f 0.809999 Bifolchi_2013, Li_K_2011, Li_C_2018, Bocharov_2018 Wu_Q_2014, Kan_J_2017, Song_2015, Van_Segbroeck_2010
62 Shao_2020 The reproductive number R0 of COVID-19 based on estimate of a statistical time delay dynamical system Nian Shao; Jin Cheng; Wenbin Chen 2020 2020-02-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.17.20023747 q6pz6l2b 0.808844 Polverino_2017, Qi_Z_2018, Kenah_2012, Lloyd_2009, Zhao_2013 Chong_2020, You_C_2020
63 Chen_2014 Highly dynamic animal contact network and implications on disease transmission Chen, Shi; White, Brad J.; Sanderson, Michael W.; Amrine, David E.; Ilany, Amiyaal; Lanzas, Cristina 2014 2014-03-26 NONCOMM N PMC3966050 24667241.0 10.1038/srep04472 1pp7k1k6 0.808718 Bifolchi_2013, Welch_2011, Li_C_2018, Giardina_2017, O'Dea_2010 Yang_2020, Van_Segbroeck_2010, Real_2007
64 Bao_Z_2010 Stability of the spreading in small-world network with predictive controller Bao, Z.J.; Jiang, Q.Y.; Yan, W.J.; Cao, Y.J. 2010 2010-03-29 PMC N PMC7126156 10.1016/j.physleta.2010.01.045 jhxov1gu 0.807899 Bifolchi_2013, Welch_2011, Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018 Samanta_2020, Lv_W_2019, Elazzouzi_2019, Yi_N_2009
65 Tuckwell_2007 Some properties of a simple stochastic epidemic model of SIR type Tuckwell, Henry C.; Williams, Ruth J. 2007 2007-07-31 PMC N PMC7094774 17173939.0 10.1016/j.mbs.2006.09.018 z473e3tv 0.806400 Li_C_2018, Gong_2013, Polverino_2017, Welch_2011, Bifolchi_2013 Clancy_2015, Tuckwell_2007, Kenah_2007, Sherborne_2015
66 Zhao_2018 The effect of media coverage on threshold dynamics for a stochastic SIS epidemic model Zhao, Yu; Zhang, Liping; Yuan, Sanling 2018 2018-12-15 PMC N PMC7125822 10.1016/j.physa.2018.08.113 qgxsd1sr 0.804184 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Welch_2011, Gong_2013 Denphedtnong_2013, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Guo_W_2018, Wang_2014
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128 Souza_2020 Using curvature to infer COVID-19 fractal epidemic network fragility and systemic risk Danillo Barros de Souza; Fernando A N Santos; Everlon Figueiroa; Jailson B Correia; Hernande P da Silva; Jose Luiz de Lima Filho; Jones Albuquerque 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.01.20047225 a47l7m47 0.726549 Bifolchi_2013, Bocharov_2018, Chowell_2017, Li_K_2011, Li_C_2018 Denphedtnong_2013, Loberg_2020, Bombardt_2006
129 Getz_2017 Discrete Stochastic Analogs of Erlang Epidemic Models Getz, Wayne M.; Dougherty, Eric R. 2017 2017-11-20 None N PMC6120589 29157162.0 10.1080/17513758.2017.1401677 v4nhkt4p 0.725542 Bifolchi_2013, Chowell_2017, Höhle_2007, Kenah_2007, Zhao_2013 Roy_M_2006, Chen_2019, Zimmer_2017
130 Li_L_2020 Propagation analysis and prediction of the COVID-19 Li, Lixiang; Yang, Zihang; Dang, Zhongkai; Meng, Cui; Huang, Jingze; Meng, Haotian; Wang, Deyu; Chen, Guanhua; Zhang, Jiaxuan; Peng, Haipeng; Shao, Yiming 2020 2020-12-31 PMC Y 10.1016/j.idm.2020.03.002 juxlh8xb 0.724556 Lipsitch_2014, Murray_2017, Polverino_2017, Bocharov_2018, UNKNOWN_2010 Li_L_2020, Liu_Z_2020, Zareie_2020, Ghaffarzadegan_2020
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133 Bombardt_2006 Congruent epidemic models for unstructured and structured populations: Analytical reconstruction of a 2003 SARS outbreak Bombardt, John N. 2006 2006-10-31 PMC N PMC7094332 16904134.0 10.1016/j.mbs.2006.05.004 a9fds45e 0.721204 Bifolchi_2013, Kenah_2007, Duan_2015, Grassly_2008, Li_K_2011 Safi_2011, Colizza_2007
134 Imran_2013 A model of bi-mode transmission dynamics of hepatitis C with optimal control Imran, Mudassar; Rafique, Hassan; Khan, Adnan; Malik, Tufail 2013 2013-12-30 PMC N PMC7091180 24374404.0 10.1007/s12064-013-0197-0 ltdajnyy 0.720331 Polverino_2017, Welch_2011, Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Bifolchi_2013 Safi_2011, Imran_2018, Robinson_2013, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015
135 Engbert_2020 Sequential data assimilation of the stochastic SEIR epidemic model for regional COVID-19 dynamics Ralf Engbert; Maximilian M. Rabe; Reinhold Kliegl; Sebastian Reich 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.13.20063768 855am0mv 0.720032 Bifolchi_2013, Chowell_2017, Lemey_2009, Li_C_2018, Bocharov_2018
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137 Lu_M_2019 Bifurcation analysis of an SIRS epidemic model with a generalized nonmonotone and saturated incidence rate Lu, Min; Huang, Jicai; Ruan, Shigui; Yu, Pei 2019 2019-07-15 PMC N PMC7094459 10.1016/j.jde.2019.03.005 7vs4zk3c 0.718139 Clancy_2015, Pekalp_2019, Polverino_2017, Gong_2013 Sirijampa_2018, Safi_2011, Yuan_2018, Gao_D_2018
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141 Shams_2015 On the impact of epidemic severity on network immunization algorithms Shams, Bita; Khansari, Mohammad 2015 2015-12-31 PMC N PMC7126281 26505554.0 10.1016/j.tpb.2015.10.007 tahmgsas 0.715609 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Li_K_2011, Welch_2011, O'Dea_2010 Wu_Q_2014, Xu_Z_2014, Chen_2018, Xia_C_2013
142 Sayan_2017 Dynamics of HIV/AIDS in Turkey from 1985 to 2016 Sayan, Murat; Hınçal, Evren; Şanlıdağ, Tamer; Kaymakamzade, Bilgen; Sa’ad, Farouk Tijjani; Baba, Isa Abdullahi 2017 2017-11-03 PMC N PMC7088870 10.1007/s11135-017-0648-7 zg3ifje0 0.713652 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Welch_2011, Lloyd_2009, Wu_Q_2014 Saad_2018, Imran_2018, Safi_2011, Gao_D_2018
143 Trapman_2016 Inferring R(0) in emerging epidemics—the effect of common population structure is small Trapman, Pieter; Ball, Frank; Dhersin, Jean-Stéphane; Tran, Viet Chi; Wallinga, Jacco; Britton, Tom 2016 2016-08-23 None N PMC5014060 27581480.0 10.1098/rsif.2016.0288 tl0wbrh3 0.713601 Polverino_2017, O'Dea_2010, Li_C_2018, Mack_2007, Holmes_2007 Nishiura_2007, Safi_2011, Kretzschmar_2020, Kucharski_2015
144 Wang_2015 An Epidemic Patchy Model with Entry–Exit Screening Wang, Xinxin; Liu, Shengqiang; Wang, Lin; Zhang, Weiwei 2015 2015-05-15 PMC N PMC7088875 25976693.0 10.1007/s11538-015-0084-6 fsbohzw0 0.713469 Abou-Hamdan_2018, Largo_2016, Choudhury_2011, David_2013, Polverino_2017 Kretzschmar_2004, Denphedtnong_2013, Kretzschmar_2020, Park_2016
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170 Tuckwell_2007 Dynamical modeling of viral spread in spatially distributed populations: stochastic origins of oscillations and density dependence Tuckwell, Henry C.; Toubiana, Laurent 2007 2007-10-31 PMC N PMC7115796 17324498.0 10.1016/j.biosystems.2006.12.006 9wxa6jcl 0.692338 Li_C_2018, Welch_2011, Bifolchi_2013, Polverino_2017, Pacheco_2017 Roy_M_2006, Plowright_2016, Feng_2018
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179 Kraemer_2015 Big city, small world: density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan Kraemer, M. U. G.; Perkins, T. A.; Cummings, D. A. T.; Zakar, R.; Hay, S. I.; Smith, D. L.; Reiner, R. C. 2015 2015-10-06 COMM-USE N PMC4614486 26468065.0 10.1098/rsif.2015.0468 iw3bzy0m 0.688228 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, O'Dea_2010, Welch_2011, Giardina_2017 Kraemer_2015, White_2013, Routledge_2019, Kong_2018
180 Tizzoni_2014 On the Use of Human Mobility Proxies for Modeling Epidemics Tizzoni, Michele; Bajardi, Paolo; Decuyper, Adeline; Kon Kam King, Guillaume; Schneider, Christian M.; Blondel, Vincent; Smoreda, Zbigniew; González, Marta C.; Colizza, Vittoria 2014 2014-07-10 COMM-USE N PMC4091706 25010676.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003716 65b1tk0m 0.687924 Zhou_2020, Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Welch_2011, Mack_2007 Panigutti_2017, Moss_2019, Liu_H_2020
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182 Edholm_2018 Searching for Superspreaders: Identifying Epidemic Patterns Associated with Superspreading Events in Stochastic Models Edholm, Christina J.; Emerenini, Blessing O.; Murillo, Anarina L.; Saucedo, Omar; Shakiba, Nika; Wang, Xueying; Allen, Linda J. S.; Peace, Angela 2018 2018-10-25 PMC N PMC7123311 10.1007/978-3-319-98083-6_1 1tkevj8v 0.685667 Li_C_2018, Fauci_2006, Bifolchi_2013, Guery_2014, Buseh_2015 Safi_2011, Kucharski_2015, Kretzschmar_2020
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185 Ren_J_2016 How Inhomogeneous Site Percolation Works on Bethe Lattices: Theory and Application Ren, Jingli; Zhang, Liying; Siegmund, Stefan 2016 2016-03-01 COMM-USE N PMC4772486 26926785.0 10.1038/srep22420 npnn7rai 0.683308 David_2013, Abou-Hamdan_2018, Largo_2016, Choudhury_2011, Polverino_2017 Kenah_2007, Valdez_2012, Liccardo_2013
186 Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015 A dynamic model for infectious diseases: The role of vaccination and treatment Raja Sekhara Rao, P.; Naresh Kumar, M. 2015 2015-06-30 PMC N PMC7126230 10.1016/j.chaos.2015.02.004 m2ozpmj6 0.683001 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Holmes_2007, O'Dea_2010 Nishiura_2007, Safi_2011, Denphedtnong_2013, Feng_2011
187 Chen_2019 Modelling the outbreak of infectious disease following mutation from a non-transmissible strain Chen, C.Y.; Ward, J.P.; Xie, W.B. 2019 2019-04-30 PMC N PMC7157483 30165060.0 10.1016/j.tpb.2018.08.002 6ev4ed6z 0.682345 Bifolchi_2013, Li_C_2018, Bocharov_2018, Wu_Q_2014, O'Dea_2010 Safi_2011, Kretzschmar_2020, Voinson_2018, Ng_T_2003
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215 Pharaon_2018 The Influence Of Social Behavior On Competition Between Virulent Pathogen Strains Joe Pharaon; Chris T. Bauch 2018 2018-04-04 BioRxiv N 10.1101/293936 6s27v6at 0.655234 Pharaon_2018, Fauci_2006, Holmes_2007, Mack_2007 Pharaon_2018, Porco_2005, Bull_2008, Brisson_2011
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217 Isdory_2015 The Impact of Human Mobility on HIV Transmission in Kenya Isdory, Augustino; Mureithi, Eunice W.; Sumpter, David J. T. 2015 2015-11-24 None N PMC4657931 26599277.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0142805 wy4ayluv 0.654946 Li_C_2018, Zhou_2020, O'Dea_2010, Welch_2011 dos_Santos_2018, Wang_2012, Stein_2014
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219 Rhodes_2010 Evolutionary Entropy Determines Invasion Success in Emergent Epidemics Rhodes, Christopher J.; Demetrius, Lloyd 2010 2010-09-23 COMM-USE N PMC2944876 20886082.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0012951 q3r327z7 0.654112 Bocharov_2018, Lloyd_2009, Chowell_2017, Chang_2011, Li_C_2018 Meehan_2020, Bull_2008, Clancy_2015
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224 Bongolan_2020 Age-stratified Infection Probabilities Combined with Quarantine-Modified SEIR Model in the Needs Assessments for COVID-19 Vena Pearl Bongolan; Jose Marie Antonio Minoza; Romulo de Castro; Jesus Emmanuel Sevilleja 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.08.20057851 o8aexv4p 0.647985 Kenah_2012, Li_C_2018, Griette_2020, Welch_2011 Safi_2011, Ayoub_2020, Tuite_2020, Hilton_2020
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227 Park_2020 Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak Sang Woo Park; Benjamin M. Bolker; David Champredon; David J.D. Earn; Michael Li; Joshua S. Weitz; Bryan T. Grenfell; Jonathan Dushoff 2020 2020-02-02 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.01.30.20019877 p5aj5k2g 0.645594 Li_C_2018, O'Dea_2010, Chang_2011, Lloyd_2009, Webb_2014 Hilton_2020, Boni_2020, Reeves_2015, Deng_2020
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245 Gomez_2020 INFEKTA: A General Agent-based Model for Transmission of Infectious Diseases: Studying the COVID-19 Propagation in Bogota - Colombia Jonatan Gomez; Jeisson Prieto; Elizabeth Leon; Arles Rodriguez 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.06.20056119 vfr4pvmz 0.633496 Bifolchi_2013, Li_C_2018, Duan_2015, Grassly_2008, Lemey_2009 Yong_2016, Rabaa_2015, Kretzschmar_2020, Imran_2018
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320 Wells_2011 Impact of Imitation Processes on the Effectiveness of Ring Vaccination Wells, Chad R.; Tchuenche, Jean M.; Meyers, Lauren Ancel; Galvani, Alison P.; Bauch, Chris T. 2011 2011-03-16 PMC N PMC3409595 21409511.0 10.1007/s11538-011-9646-4 idfivpbo 0.580247 Looker_2006, Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Wu_Q_2014 Cai_C_2014, Porco_2004, Huang_2020, Kretzschmar_2004
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322 Farewell_2005 SARS incubation and quarantine times: when is an exposed individual known to be disease free? Farewell, V. T.; Herzberg, A. M.; James, K. W.; Ho, L. M.; Leung, G. M. 2005 2005-10-19 PMC N PMC7169610 16237660.0 10.1002/sim.2206 z13aa1wk 0.577871 Polverino_2017, Stenseth_2008, Lipsitch_2014, Looker_2006, UNKNOWN_2010
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324 Cook_2008 Constructing the effect of alternative intervention strategies on historic epidemics Cook, A.R; Gibson, G.J; Gottwald, T.R; Gilligan, C.A 2008 2008-02-26 PMC N PMC3227033 18302995.0 10.1098/rsif.2008.0030 0oygp21v 0.576897 Bocharov_2018, Chang_2011, Zheng_2020, Chowell_2017, Cauchemez_2012 Loberg_2020, Kim_L_2019, Chen_2018, Safi_2011
325 Kwok_2015 Early real-time estimation of the basic reproduction number of emerging or reemerging infectious diseases in a community with heterogeneous contact pattern: Using data from Hong Kong 2009 H1N1 Pandemic Influenza as an illustrative example Kwok, Kin On; Davoudi, Bahman; Riley, Steven; Pourbohloul, Babak 2015 2015-09-15 COMM-USE N PMC4570805 26372219.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0137959 u5o6fq24 0.576688 Guery_2014, Li_C_2018, Zhou_2020, von_der_Gracht_2010, UNKNOWN_2010 Nishiura_2007, Safi_2011, Kretzschmar_2020, Thompson_2019
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338 Arino_2017 Spatio-temporal spread of infectious pathogens of humans Arino, Julien 2017 2017-05-17 None N PMC6001966 29928738.0 10.1016/j.idm.2017.05.001 pghkmxds 0.567074 Brucker_2020, Grassly_2008, Bauer_2009, Duan_2015 Bui_L_2020, Kobayashi_2018
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344 Yang_2007 Individual space–time activity-based modelling of infectious disease transmission within a city Yang, Yong; Atkinson, Peter; Ettema, Dick 2007 2007-11-13 PMC N PMC2607451 17999949.0 10.1098/rsif.2007.1218 vv9zf77t 0.564964 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Chang_2011, Qi_Z_2018, Welch_2011 Knipl_2016, Angulo_2013, Denphedtnong_2013, Bifolchi_2013
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351 Gómez_2017 Network theory may explain the vulnerability of medieval human settlements to the Black Death pandemic Gómez, José M.; Verdú, Miguel 2017 2017-03-06 None N PMC5338018 28262733.0 10.1038/srep43467 kheqbtqo 0.560728 Li_C_2018, Mack_2007, Welch_2011, Pacheco_2017 Yang_2020, Ruan_2015, dos_Santos_2018
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358 Herrmann_2020 Using network science to propose strategies for effectively dealing with pandemics: The COVID-19 example Helena A Herrmann; Jean-Marc Schwartz 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.02.20050468 ztl54g6q 0.557880 Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Bocharov_2018 Kim_K_2020, Esteban_2020, Rabaa_2015
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360 Obadia_2012 The R0 package: a toolbox to estimate reproduction numbers for epidemic outbreaks Obadia, Thomas; Haneef, Romana; Boëlle, Pierre-Yves 2012 2012-12-18 COMM-USE N PMC3582628 23249562.0 10.1186/1472-6947-12-147 vxg6b6d0 0.556450 Saw_A_2019, Chowell_2017, Chang_2011, Bocharov_2018, Dai_Q_2012 Thompson_2019, Safi_2011, Fraser_2007, Chong_2020
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362 Ahmadi_2020 Modeling and Forecasting Trend of COVID-19 Epidemic in Iran Ali Ahmadi; Majid Shirani; Fereydoon Rahmani 2020 2020-03-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.17.20037671 95ka0p8n 0.554949 batista_2020, batista_2020, Lipsitch_2014, Li_C_2018, Griette_2020 Zareie_2020, Hou_J_2020, Sahafizadeh_2020
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368 So_M_2008 A multivariate threshold stochastic volatility model So, Mike K.P.; Choi, C.Y. 2008 2008-12-01 PMC N PMC7127604 10.1016/j.matcom.2007.12.003 8k22red9 0.549548 Chowell_2017, Bocharov_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Zhao_2013 Liao_2013, Wu_P_2016, Lee_C_2013, Tung_2011
369 Heffernan_2005 Perspectives on the basic reproductive ratio Heffernan, J.M; Smith, R.J; Wahl, L.M 2005 2005-06-07 PMC N PMC1578275 16849186.0 10.1098/rsif.2005.0042 m3699mub 0.549161 Guery_2014, Walker_2010, Wiwanitkit_2014, Li_L_2014, Lu_P_2016 Tennant_2018, Kucharski_2015, Hilton_2020, Li_J_2011
370 Xu_P_2020 Applying chemical reaction transition theory to predict the latent transmission dynamics of coronavirus outbreak in China Peng Xu 2020 2020-02-25 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.22.20026815 sjod3q3j 0.545036 Coker_2007, Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, UNKNOWN_2010 Shi_P_2020, Yong_2016, Yuan_2020
371 Robinson_2013 A model for the emergence of drug resistance in the presence of asymptomatic infections Robinson, Marguerite; Stilianakis, Nikolaos I. 2013 2013-06-30 PMC N PMC7094625 23524247.0 10.1016/j.mbs.2013.03.003 arowg1ov 0.543871 Li_C_2018, Clancy_2015, Welch_2011, Polverino_2017 Imran_2018, Safi_2011, Alexander_2009, Fouchet_2006
372 Nasserie_2017 Seasonal Influenza Forecasting in Real Time Using the Incidence Decay With Exponential Adjustment Model Nasserie, Tahmina; Tuite, Ashleigh R; Whitmore, Lindsay; Hatchette, Todd; Drews, Steven J; Peci, Adriana; Kwong, Jeffrey C; Friedman, Dara; Garber, Gary; Gubbay, Jonathan; Fisman, David N 2017 2017-09-27 NONCOMM N PMC5781299 29497629.0 10.1093/ofid/ofx166 9bjj5sbd 0.543266 Lim_T_2012, Walker_2010, batista_2020, UNKNOWN_2010, batista_2020 Leecaster_2011, Mummert_2019, Nishiura_2007
373 Lyra_2020 COVID-19 pandemics modeling with SEIR(+CAQH), social distancing, and age stratification. The effect of vertical confinement and release in Brazil. Wladimir Lyra; Jose Dias do Nascimento; Jaber Belkhiria; Leandro de Almeida; Pedro Paulo Chrispim; Ion de Andrade 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.09.20060053 uza4orb8 0.542660 Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Crisp_2011, von_der_Gracht_2010, Ropeik_2004 Yuan_2020, Milne_2020, Chin_2019
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377 White_2020 State-level variation of initial COVID-19 dynamics in the United States: The role of local government interventions Easton R White; Laurent R Hébert-Dufresne 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.14.20065318 zqwelqoe 0.539375 Mack_2007, Li_C_2018, Stenseth_2008, Mondor_2012
378 Cremin_2018 An infectious way to teach students about outbreaks Cremin, Íde; Watson, Oliver; Heffernan, Alastair; Imai, Natsuko; Ahmed, Norin; Bivegete, Sandra; Kimani, Teresia; Kyriacou, Demetris; Mahadevan, Preveina; Mustafa, Rima; Pagoni, Panagiota; Sophiea, Marisa; Whittaker, Charlie; Beacroft, Leo; Riley, Steven; Fisher, Matthew C. 2018 2018-06-23 None N PMC5971212 29289499.0 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.12.002 3st8912e 0.538400 Bocharov_2018, Amirov_2007, Zheng_2020, Duan_2015, Stenseth_2008 Nishiura_2007, Glennon_2020, Safi_2011, Daughton_2017
379 Blanchong_2006 TB-infected deer are more closely related than non-infected deer Blanchong, Julie A; Scribner, Kim T; Kravchenko, Alexandra N; Winterstein, Scott R 2006 2006-10-24 PMC N PMC2373800 17443977.0 10.1098/rsbl.2006.0547 bynmuc3g 0.538390 Fauci_2006, Brucker_2020, Pandit_2018, Luis_2015 Dizney_2009, Becker_2019, Woodroffe_2012
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383 Xiao_2020 A Cybernetics-based Dynamic Infection Model for Analyzing SARS-COV-2 Infection Stability and Predicting Uncontrollable Risks Wenlei Xiao; Qiang Liu; J Huan; Pengpeng Sun; Liuquan Wang; Chenxin Zang; Sanying Zhu; Liansheng Gao 2020 2020-03-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.13.20034082 2v5wkjrq 0.535710 Griffiths_2010, Stenseth_2008, UNKNOWN_2010, Buseh_2015, Fielding_2014 Denphedtnong_2013, Peng_2020
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385 Allen_2009 A habitat-based model for the spread of hantavirus between reservoir and spillover species Allen, Linda J.S.; Wesley, Curtis L.; Owen, Robert D.; Goodin, Douglas G.; Koch, David; Jonsson, Colleen B.; Chu, Yong-Kyu; Shawn Hutchinson, J.M.; Paige, Robert L. 2009 2009-10-21 None N PMC2746865 19616014.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.07.009 tvwlvoz6 0.534733 Bifolchi_2013, Giardina_2017, McCoy_2003, Li_C_2018, Han_B_2016 Colombi_2019, Wille_2017, Wood_2012, Becker_2019
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392 Lemey_2014 Unifying Viral Genetics and Human Transportation Data to Predict the Global Transmission Dynamics of Human Influenza H3N2 Lemey, Philippe; Rambaut, Andrew; Bedford, Trevor; Faria, Nuno; Bielejec, Filip; Baele, Guy; Russell, Colin A.; Smith, Derek J.; Pybus, Oliver G.; Brockmann, Dirk; Suchard, Marc A. 2014 2014-02-20 None N PMC3930559 24586153.0 10.1371/journal.ppat.1003932 04q71md3 0.527992 Karlsson_2012, Lu_P_2016, Fauci_2006, Lemey_2009 Lam_T_2008, Kreuder_Johnson_2015, Dellicour_2016
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398 Luo_W_2018 A large-scale location-based social network to understanding the impact of human geo-social interaction patterns on vaccination strategies in an urbanized area Luo, Wei; Gao, Peng; Cassels, Susan 2018 2018-11-30 PMC N PMC6457472 30983651.0 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2018.06.008 pd9elo4l 0.524287 Zhou_2020, Mwabu_2008, Alves_2007, Buseh_2015, Coker_2007 Chen_2007, Luo_W_2016, Zhang_2019, Read_2014
399 Ikeda_2014 Improving the estimation of the death rate of infected cells from time course data during the acute phase of virus infections: application to acute HIV-1 infection in a humanized mouse model Ikeda, Hiroki; de Boer, Rob J; Sato, Kei; Morita, Satoru; Misawa, Naoko; Koyanagi, Yoshio; Aihara, Kazuyuki; Iwami, Shingo 2014 2014-05-21 COMM-USE N PMC4035760 24885827.0 10.1186/1742-4682-11-22 a89zj5mh 0.524144 Bifolchi_2013, Welch_2011, Lumby_2018, Chang_2011, Chowell_2017 Viuff_2002, Viuff_2002
400 Hu_Z_2020 Evaluation and prediction of the COVID-19 variations at different input population and quarantine strategies, a case study in Guangdong province, China Hu, Zengyun; Cui, Qianqian; Han, Junmei; Wang, Xia; Sha, Wei E.I.; Teng, Zhidong 2020 2020-04-22 PMC N 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.04.010 b59uexhr 0.522349 Tomie_2020, batista_2020, Li_C_2018, Mondor_2012
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402 Alexander_2009 A comparative evaluation of modelling strategies for the effect of treatment and host interactions on the spread of drug resistance Alexander, Murray E.; Dietrich, Sarah M.; Hua, Yi; Moghadas, Seyed M. 2009 2009-07-21 PMC N PMC7127136 19344730.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.03.029 vmnqlcyh 0.522175 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, O'Dea_2010, Holmes_2007, Welch_2011 Porco_2005, Tibayrenc_2015, Robinson_2013, WILSON_2015
403 Wang_2016 Model of epidemic control based on quarantine and message delivery Wang, Xingyuan; Zhao, Tianfang; Qin, Xiaomeng 2016 2016-09-15 PMC N PMC7127083 10.1016/j.physa.2016.04.009 68op3d8t 0.522022 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Mack_2007, Wu_Q_2014, Bifolchi_2013 Denphedtnong_2013, Safi_2011, Chen_2018, Shanlang_2020
404 Shea_2014 Adaptive Management and the Value of Information: Learning Via Intervention in Epidemiology Shea, Katriona; Tildesley, Michael J.; Runge, Michael C.; Fonnesbeck, Christopher J.; Ferrari, Matthew J. 2014 2014-10-21 COMM-USE N PMC4204804 25333371.0 10.1371/journal.pbio.1001970 8olbj1l8 0.521060 Coker_2007, Mwabu_2008, Stenseth_2008, von_der_Gracht_2010, Zhou_2020 Bucini_2019, Loberg_2020, Neri_2014
405 Platt_2020 Lies, Gosh Darn Lies, and Not Enough Good Statistics: Why Epidemic Model Parameter Estimation Fails Daniel E Platt; Laxmi E Parida; Pierre Zalloua 2020 2020-04-21 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.20.20071928 9916y6x0 0.520169 Bifolchi_2013, Chowell_2017, Lloyd_2009, Bocharov_2018, Li_C_2018
406 Loberg_2020 Applying the unified models of ecology to forecast epidemics, with application to Covid-19 Shelby W Loberg; Clarence Lehman 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.07.20056754 umiql1te 0.519935 Mack_2007, Looker_2006, Stenseth_2008, Bocharov_2018, Leach_2010 Bucini_2019, Rabaa_2015, Safi_2011
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408 Zhou_2020 Forecasting the Worldwide Spread of COVID-19 based on Logistic Model and SEIR Model Xiang Zhou; Na Hong; Yingying Ma; Jie He; Huizhen Jiang; Chun Liu; Guangliang Shan; Longxiang Su; Weiguo Zhu; Yun Long 2020 2020-03-30 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.26.20044289 52zjm9jt 0.518499 Mack_2007, Zhou_2020, Buseh_2015, Lu_J_2020, Li_C_2018 Zareie_2020, He_J_2020, Huang_2020
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410 Neri_2014 Bayesian Analysis for Inference of an Emerging Epidemic: Citrus Canker in Urban Landscapes Neri, Franco M.; Cook, Alex R.; Gibson, Gavin J.; Gottwald, Tim R.; Gilligan, Christopher A. 2014 2014-04-24 None N PMC3998883 24762851.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003587 01yc7lzk 0.517848 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Stenseth_2008, Bocharov_2018, Mack_2007 Rabaa_2015, Routledge_2019, Bucini_2019, Chapman_2020
411 James_2006 An event-based model of superspreading in epidemics James, Alex; Pitchford, Jonathan W; Plank, Michael J 2006 2006-12-05 PMC N PMC2197209 17255000.0 10.1098/rspb.2006.0219 qfo5sw0t 0.517830 Bifolchi_2013, Li_C_2018, Welch_2011, Roossinck_2011, Lumby_2018 Kretzschmar_2004, Edholm_2018, Lloyd-Smith_2005, Yong_2016
412 Shao_2020 Dynamic models for Coronavirus Disease 2019 and data analysis Shao, Nian; Zhong, Min; Yan, Yue; Pan, HanShuang; Cheng, Jin; Chen, Wenbin 2020 2020-03-24 PMC Y PMC7168448 10.1002/mma.6345 kgrdul35 0.517638 Rodier_2007, Murray_2017, Norrby_2004, UNKNOWN_2016, Lipsitch_2014
413 Qiu_T_2020 Identification of potential cross-protective epitope between a new type of coronavirus (2019-nCoV) and severe acute respiratory syndrome virus Qiu, Tianyi; Mao, Tiantian; Wang, Yuan; Zhou, Mengdi; Qiu, Jingxuan; Wang, Jianwei; Xu, Jianqing; Cao, Zhiwei 2020 2020-02-20 PMC N PMC7111282 32171450.0 10.1016/j.jgg.2020.01.003 28ygsbo1 0.517444 Jiang_2013
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416 Jamoulle_2016 A Comment on “Quaternary Prevention in Public Health” by Dr. Jong-Myon Bae Jamoulle, Marc 2016 2016-03-31 NONCOMM N PMC4829367 27055551.0 10.3961/jpmph.16.031 ef3y4561 0.517444 Powell_2020, Yu_W_2004, Wang_2020
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432 Perrings_2014 Merging Economics and Epidemiology to Improve the Prediction and Management of Infectious Disease Perrings, Charles; Castillo-Chavez, Carlos; Chowell, Gerardo; Daszak, Peter; Fenichel, Eli P.; Finnoff, David; Horan, Richard D.; Kilpatrick, A. Marm; Kinzig, Ann P.; Kuminoff, Nicolai V.; Levin, Simon; Morin, Benjamin; Smith, Katherine F.; Springborn, Michael 2014 2014-09-19 PMC N PMC4366543 25233829.0 10.1007/s10393-014-0963-6 xm57cnw9 0.511624 Gupta_2009, Fauci_2006, UNKNOWN_2004, Alves_2007, Mack_2007 Real_2007, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Skrip_2019, Loberg_2020
433 Pitman_2012 Dynamic Transmission Modeling: A Report of the ISPOR-SMDM Modeling Good Research Practices Task Force-5 Pitman, Richard; Fisman, David; Zaric, Gregory S.; Postma, Maarten; Kretzschmar, Mirjam; Edmunds, John; Brisson, Marc 2012 2012-10-31 PMC N PMC7110742 22999132.0 10.1016/j.jval.2012.06.011 nq3ptr49 0.511164 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, van_Helden_2013 Shi_P_2020, Safi_2011, Yong_2016, Milazzo_2011
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435 Zhao_2020 Modelling the effective reproduction number of vector-borne diseases: the yellow fever outbreak in Luanda, Angola 2015–2016 as an example Zhao, Shi; Musa, Salihu S.; Hebert, Jay T.; Cao, Peihua; Ran, Jinjun; Meng, Jiayi; He, Daihai; Qin, Jing 2020 2020-02-27 COMM-USE N PMC7049463 32149023.0 10.7717/peerj.8601 lw434j5u 0.510087 Abou-Hamdan_2018, David_2013, Largo_2016, Choudhury_2011, Lipsitch_2014 Imran_2018, Buttigieg_2014, Bourgarel_2010, Chan_2016
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437 Matsuyama_2018 Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number of diphtheria: a case study of a Rohingya refugee camp in Bangladesh, November–December 2017 Matsuyama, Ryota; Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R.; Endo, Akira; Lee, Hyojung; Yamaguchi, Takayuki; Tsuzuki, Shinya; Nishiura, Hiroshi 2018 2018-04-02 COMM-USE N PMC5885970 29629244.0 10.7717/peerj.4583 7pfzgrvm 0.509061 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Lloyd_2009, Wu_Q_2014, Stenseth_2008 Chin_2019, Nishiura_2006, Ceylan_2013, Safi_2011
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439 Rainwater-Lovett_2016 Chapter 18 Viral Epidemiology Tracking Viruses with Smartphones and Social Media Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin; Rodriguez-Barraquer, Isabel; Moss, William J. 2016 2016-12-31 PMC N PMC7149612 10.1016/b978-0-12-800964-2.00018-5 e41yfo89 0.507033 Duan_2015, UNKNOWN_2004, Gupta_2009, Tong_2011, Johnson_2018 Shi_W_2017, Rabaa_2015, Grubaugh_2018, Qi_F_2013
440 Moser_2015 The Impact of Prior Information on Estimates of Disease Transmissibility Using Bayesian Tools Moser, Carlee B.; Gupta, Mayetri; Archer, Brett N.; White, Laura F. 2015 2015-03-20 COMM-USE N PMC4368801 25793993.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0118762 xjvyyu5b 0.505220 Largo_2016, Abou-Hamdan_2018, Choudhury_2011, David_2013, Lipsitch_2014 Kucharski_2015, White_2013, Safi_2011, Chong_2017
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442 Cruz-Pacheco_2020 Dispersion of a new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 by airlines in 2020: Temporal estimates of the outbreak in Mexico. Gustavo Cruz-Pacheco; Fernando J Bustamante-Castaneda; Jean Guy Caputo; Maria Eugenia Jimenez-Corona; Samuel Ponce-de-Leon 2020 2020-03-30 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.24.20042168 p2t2wd4t 0.504625 Griffiths_2010, Mondor_2012, Stenseth_2008, UNKNOWN_2010 Ribeiro_2020, Chinazzi_2020, Ng_T_2003, Filho_2020
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444 Schuttler_2020 Covid-19 predictions using a Gauss model, based on data from April 2 Janik Schuttler; Reinhard Schlickeiser; Frank Schlickeiser; Martin Kroger 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.06.20055830 14x9luqu 0.504410 Polverino_2017, Lloyd_2009, Li_C_2018, Zhao_2013, Bifolchi_2013 Distante_2020, Notari_2020, Ciufolini_2020, Ma_Z_2020
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447 Neufeld_2020 Targeted adaptive isolation strategy for Covid-19 pandemic Zoltan Neufeld; Hamid Khataee 2020 2020-03-31 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.23.20041897 80d9p4j8 0.502021 Zhou_2020, Mwabu_2008, Wu_Q_2014, Alves_2007 Milne_2020, Ganem_2020, Kretzschmar_2020
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449 Kosmidis_2020 A Fractal kinetics SI model can explain the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics Kosmas Kosmidis; Panos Macheras 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.11.20061366 pkac2i3b 0.501040 Bocharov_2018, Li_K_2011, Bifolchi_2013, Li_C_2018, Chowell_2017
450 House_2010 The Impact of Contact Tracing in Clustered Populations House, Thomas; Keeling, Matt J. 2010 2010-03-26 COMM-USE N PMC2845652 20361048.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000721 vexwisnz 0.500647 Bocharov_2018, O'Dea_2010, Bifolchi_2013, Leach_2010 Porco_2004, Kretzschmar_2020, Armbruster_2007, Eames_2003
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457 Ng_T_2019 Spatially Adjusted Time-varying Reproductive Numbers: Understanding the Geographical Expansion of Urban Dengue Outbreaks Ng, Ta-Chou; Wen, Tzai-Hung 2019 2019-12-16 COMM-USE N PMC6914775 31844099.0 10.1038/s41598-019-55574-0 oen0ycsr 0.500434 Li_C_2018, Lumby_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Giardina_2017, Fauci_2006 Routledge_2019, White_2013, Routledge_2020, Hilton_2020
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459 Ambrose_2019 Quantifying transmission of emerging zoonoses: Using mathematical models to maximize the value of surveillance data Monique R. Ambrose; Adam J. Kucharski; Pierre Formenty; Jean-Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum; Anne W. Rimoin; James O. Lloyd-Smith 2019 2019-06-19 BioRxiv N 10.1101/677021 f14u2sz5 0.500293 Lumby_2018, Lumby_2018, Fauci_2006, de_Graaf_2017, Lemey_2009 Rabaa_2015, Lo_Iacono_2015, Kucharski_2015, Akhmetzhanov_2019
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461 Cori_2018 A graph-based evidence synthesis approach to detecting outbreak clusters: An application to dog rabies Cori, Anne; Nouvellet, Pierre; Garske, Tini; Bourhy, Hervé; Nakouné, Emmanuel; Jombart, Thibaut 2018 2018-12-17 None N PMC6312344 30557340.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006554 l4soafvr 0.497251 Polverino_2017, Chang_2011, Lee_C_2017, Welch_2011, Bifolchi_2013 Robert_2020, Glennon_2020, Rabaa_2015, Routledge_2020
462 Zhao_2020 Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak Shi Zhao; Qianyin Lin; Jinjun Ran; Salihu S Musa; Guangpu Yang; Weiming Wang; Yijun Lou; Daozhou Gao; Lin Yang; Daihai He; Maggie H Wang 2020 2020-01-24 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.01.23.916395 px70bft2 0.496547 Li_C_2018, batista_2020, Tomie_2020, Scheuerl_2020, Dutra_2020 Zhao_2020, Wang_2020, Wang_2020, Liu_T_2020
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464 Bock_2020 Mitigation and herd immunity strategy for COVID-19 is likely to fail Wolfgang Bock; Barbara Adamik; Marek Bawiec; Viktor Bezborodov; Marcin Bodych; Jan Pablo Burgard; Thomas Goetz; Tyll Krueger; Agata Migalska; Barbara Pabjan; Tomasz Ozanski; Ewaryst Rafajlowicz; Wojciech Rafajlowicz,; Ewa Skubalska-Rafajlowicz; Sara Ryfczynska; Ewa Szczurek; Piotr Szymanski 2020 2020-03-30 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.25.20043109 48stbn6k 0.495149 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Wu_Q_2014, Griffiths_2010, Kenah_2012 Safi_2011, Kretzschmar_2020, Kretzschmar_2004
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466 Chong_2020 A Novel Method for the Estimation of a Dynamic Effective Reproduction Number (Dynamic-R) in the CoViD-19 Outbreak Yi Chen Chong 2020 2020-02-25 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.22.20023267 o3hytzwu 0.493741 Zheng_2020, Nelson_2012, Nelson_2012, Bocharov_2018, Guery_2014 Kucharski_2015, Esteban_2020, Tang_2020
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468 Parvin_2012 An analytic framework to develop policies for testing, prevention, and treatment of two-stage contagious diseases Parvin, Hoda; Goel, Piyush; Gautam, Natarajan 2012 2012-03-14 PMC N PMC7087586 10.1007/s10479-012-1103-8 vf3lwf66 0.492831 Coker_2007, Looker_2006, Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Polverino_2017 Park_2016, Bolzoni_2017
469 Bettencourt_2008 Real Time Bayesian Estimation of the Epidemic Potential of Emerging Infectious Diseases Bettencourt, Luís M. A.; Ribeiro, Ruy M. 2008 2008-05-14 None N PMC2366072 18478118.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0002185 nmmimc71 0.492175 Brucker_2020, Mack_2007, Guery_2014, Fauci_2006, Ross_2015 Thompson_2019, Voinson_2018, Rabaa_2015, Neri_2014
470 Liu_S_2016 epiDMS: Data Management and Analytics for Decision-Making From Epidemic Spread Simulation Ensembles Liu, Sicong; Poccia, Silvestro; Candan, K. Selçuk; Chowell, Gerardo; Sapino, Maria Luisa 2016 2016-12-01 PMC N PMC7107328 28830107.0 10.1093/infdis/jiw305 uk0dqnes 0.492102 Zhou_2020, Gupta_2009, Skrip_2019, Duan_2015, Brockmann_2014 Mikler_2007, Chowell_2017, Pyne_2015, Neri_2014
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472 Huang_2016 Insights into the transmission of respiratory infectious diseases through empirical human contact networks Huang, Chunlin; Liu, Xingwu; Sun, Shiwei; Li, Shuai Cheng; Deng, Minghua; He, Guangxue; Zhang, Haicang; Wang, Chao; Zhou, Yang; Zhao, Yanlin; Bu, Dongbo 2016 2016-08-16 None N PMC4985757 27526868.0 10.1038/srep31484 o2q488ts 0.491207 Griffiths_2010, Fielding_2014, Knapp_2008, Wei_B_2011, Stenseth_2008 Yang_2020, Stein_2014, Chen_2007, Porco_2004
473 Cori_2013 A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics Cori, Anne; Ferguson, Neil M.; Fraser, Christophe; Cauchemez, Simon 2013 2013-09-15 PMC N PMC3816335 24043437.0 10.1093/aje/kwt133 itr3b63z 0.490679 Polverino_2017, Höhle_2007, Bocharov_2018, Lloyd_2009, Cauchemez_2012 Safi_2011, Thompson_2019, Chong_2020, Kucharski_2015
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475 Kevorkian_2020 Tracking the Covid-19 pandemic : Simple visualization of the epidemic states and trajectories of select European countries & assessing the effects of delays in official response. Antoine Kevorkian; Thierry Grenet; Hubert Gallee 2020 2020-03-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.14.20035964 5u04irwz 0.489951 Stenseth_2008, Li_C_2018, Buseh_2015, Crisp_2011 Santamaria_2020, Hou_J_2020, Kretzschmar_2020, Ghaffarzadegan_2020
476 Ezanno_2011 Modelling the Dynamics of Host-Parasite Interactions: Basic Principles Ezanno, Pauline; Vergu, Elisabeta; Langlais, Michel; Gilot-Fromont, Emmanuelle 2011 2011-06-28 PMC N PMC7122337 10.1007/978-94-007-2114-2_5 2ueghyvv 0.489407 Bocharov_2018, Johnson_2018, UNKNOWN_2004, Duan_2015 Remais_2010, Alexander_2009, Webster_2016, Dimitrov_2008
477 Mao_L_2012 Coupling infectious diseases, human preventive behavior, and networks – A conceptual framework for epidemic modeling Mao, Liang; Yang, Yan 2012 2012-01-31 PMC N PMC7126515 22154610.0 10.1016/j.socscimed.2011.10.012 a0prku2k 0.489232 Bocharov_2018, Duan_2015, Grassly_2008, Alves_2007 Mao_L_2014, Shi_T_2019, Zhan_2018
478 Ciufolini_2020 A Mathematical prediction of the time evolution of the Covid-19 pandemic in some countries of the European Union using Monte Carlo simulations Ignazio Ciufolini; Antonio Paolozzi 2020 2020-04-16 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.10.20061051 watj188m 0.489161 Murray_2017, UNKNOWN_2010, Lipsitch_2014, batista_2020, Li_C_2018
479 Mondor_2012 Timeliness of Nongovernmental versus Governmental Global Outbreak Communications Mondor, Luke; Brownstein, John S.; Chan, Emily; Madoff, Lawrence C.; Pollack, Marjorie P.; Buckeridge, David L.; Brewer, Timothy F. 2012 2012-07-23 PMC N PMC3376818 22709741.0 10.3201/eid1807.120249 lakwurn0 0.487649 Griffiths_2010, Coker_2007, Fielding_2014, Wei_B_2011 Heymann_2004, Nishiura_2007, Rabaa_2015, Ryu_S_2020
480 Verma_2020 COVID-19 epidemic: Power law spread and flattening of the curve Mahendra K. Verma; Ali Asad; Soumyadeep Chatterjee 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.02.20051680 o0e6saez 0.487402 Lim_T_2012, Li_C_2018, UNKNOWN_2010, batista_2020, Tomie_2020 Weber_2020, Smeets_2020, Fanelli_2020, Santamaria_2020
481 Liu_Z_2020 Government Responses Matter: Predicting Covid-19 cases in US under an empirical Bayesian time series framework Ziyue Liu; Wensheng Guo 2020 2020-03-30 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.28.20044578 boa0n9dz 0.487051 Stenseth_2008, Griffiths_2010, Li_C_2018, Zhou_2020 Distante_2020, Lopez_2020, Loberg_2020, Christian_2020
482 Oliveira_2020 Refined compartmental models, asymptomatic carriers and COVID-19 Goncalo Oliveira 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.14.20065128 xh29euj4 0.485873 Bocharov_2018, Polverino_2017, Zheng_2020, Chang_2011, O'Dea_2010
483 Worden_2018 Real-time projections of epidemic transmission and estimation of vaccination impact during an Ebola virus disease outbreak in Northeastern Democratic Republic of Congo Lee Worden; Rae Wannier; Nicole A. Hoff; Kamy Musene; Bernice Selo; Mathias Mossoko; Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy; Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum; George W. Rutherford; Thomas M. Lietman; Anne W. Rimoin; Travis C. Porco; J. Daniel Kelly 2018 2018-11-05 BioRxiv N 10.1101/461285 96arnumb 0.484952 Stenseth_2008, Mondor_2012, Li_C_2018, Chen_2018, Liu_Z_2020 Worden_2019, Kelly_2018, Kelly_2019, Nishiura_2007
484 Biswas_2020 Risk Assessment of nCOVID-19 Pandemic In India: A Mathematical Model And Simulation Swarnava Biswas; Moumita Mukherjee 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.10.20060830 y3l6k0qu 0.484506 Polverino_2017, Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Li_C_2018, Looker_2006 Shi_P_2020, Yuan_2020, Tang_2020, Li_S_2020
485 Shen_2020 A Recursive Bifurcation Model for Predicting the Peak of COVID-19 Virus Spread in United States and Germany Julia Shen 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.09.20059329 129608e4 0.484458 Bifolchi_2013, Chowell_2017, Renna_2020, Höhle_2007 Yong_2016, Peng_2020, Pais_2020, Zou_Y_2020
486 Chis_Ster_2007 Transmission Parameters of the 2001 Foot and Mouth Epidemic in Great Britain Chis Ster, Irina; Ferguson, Neil M. 2007 2007-06-06 COMM-USE N PMC1876810 17551582.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0000502 hqc7u9w3 0.484258 Bifolchi_2013, Li_C_2018, Giardina_2017, Lemey_2009, Chowell_2017 Safi_2011, Kucharski_2015, Nishiura_2007, Cottam_2008
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497 Thompson_2019 Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks Thompson, R.N.; Stockwin, J.E.; van Gaalen, R.D.; Polonsky, J.A.; Kamvar, Z.N.; Demarsh, P.A.; Dahlqwist, E.; Li, S.; Miguel, E.; Jombart, T.; Lessler, J.; Cauchemez, S.; Cori, A. 2019 2019-12-31 PMC N PMC7105007 31624039.0 10.1016/j.epidem.2019.100356 aakiwatt 0.480448 Polverino_2017, Lumby_2018, O'Dea_2010, Lumby_2018, UNKNOWN_2010 Safi_2011, Nishiura_2007, Kucharski_2015, Kretzschmar_2020
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506 Aboelkassem_2020 COVID-19 pandemic: A Hill type mathematical model predicts the US death number and the reopening date Yasser Aboelkassem 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.12.20062893 rk09xpc3 0.477787 Pearson_2020, Liu_Z_2020, Scheuerl_2020, Stenseth_2008
507 Fudolig_2020 The local stability of a modified multi-strain SIR model for emerging viral strains Miguel Fudolig; Reka Howard 2020 2020-03-23 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.19.20039198 cycc3fvl 0.475836 Bradbury_2003, Wu_Q_2014, Li_C_2018, Grewelle_2020 Hall_2017, Ng_T_2003, Meehan_2020
508 Mercker_2020 What influences COVID-19 infection rates: A statistical approach to identify promising factors applied to infection data from Germany Moritz Mercker; Uwe Betzin; Dennis Wilken 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.14.20064501 09nvausz 0.475301 Li_C_2018, Stenseth_2008, Guery_2014, Mack_2007, Lumby_2018
509 Maier_2020 Effective containment explains subexponential growth in recent confirmed COVID-19 cases in China Maier, Benjamin F.; Brockmann, Dirk 2020 2020-04-08 None Y PMC7164388 32269067.0 10.1126/science.abb4557 lp4nhezz 0.475216 Stenseth_2008, Guery_2014, Coker_2007, Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014
510 Yip_P_2005 A Chain Multinomial Model for Estimating the Real-Time Fatality Rate of a Disease, with an Application to Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Yip, Paul S. F.; Lau, Eric H. Y.; Lam, K. F.; Huggins, Richard M. 2005 2005-04-01 PMC N PMC7109660 15781959.0 10.1093/aje/kwi088 uy25ll4p 0.475216 Coker_2007, Mwabu_2008, Stenseth_2008, Wei_B_2011 Black_2013, Safi_2011, Nishiura_2007
511 Leach_2010 Modelling Emerging Viral Epidemics for Public Health Protection Leach, Steve; Hall, Ian 2010 2010-08-16 PMC N PMC7120695 21116814.0 10.1007/978-1-60761-817-1_23 cx3ex9ru 0.474916 Mooney_2013, Looker_2006, UNKNOWN_2004, Mack_2007 Citron_2020, Skrip_2019, Rabaa_2015, Kim_K_2020
512 Viboud_2016 A generalized-growth model to characterize the early ascending phase of infectious disease outbreaks Viboud, Cécile; Simonsen, Lone; Chowell, Gerardo 2016 2016-06-30 PMC N PMC4903879 27266847.0 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.01.002 u7a1as7b 0.474250 Buseh_2015, Walker_2010, Cinti_2005, Li_C_2018, Wang_2014 Safi_2011, Chen_2019, Nishiura_2007, Kretzschmar_2020
513 Pinky_2019 Effect of stochasticity on coinfection dynamics of respiratory viruses Pinky, Lubna; Gonzalez-Parra, Gilberto; Dobrovolny, Hana M. 2019 2019-04-16 COMM-USE N PMC6469119 30991939.0 10.1186/s12859-019-2793-6 vyk607in 0.474075 Bifolchi_2013, Lumby_2018, O'Dea_2010, Giardina_2017, Bocharov_2018 Pinky_2016, Zambon_2005, Zhang_2018
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515 Alvarez_2020 Modeling COVID-19 epidemics in an Excel spreadsheet: Democratizing the access to first-hand accurate predictions of epidemic outbreaks Mario Moises Alvarez; Everardo Gonzalez-Gonzalez; Grissel Trujillo-de Santiago 2020 2020-03-27 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.23.20041590 rvdkkr6i 0.473149 Zheng_2020, Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Li_C_2018, Chang_2011 Kretzschmar_2020, Caccavo_2020, Loberg_2020
516 Petropoulos_2020 Forecasting the novel coronavirus COVID-19 Petropoulos, Fotios; Makridakis, Spyros 2020 2020-03-31 COMM-USE Y PMC7108716 32231392.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0231236 vpih1wvs 0.472327 Mack_2007, Mooney_2013, Stenseth_2008, Looker_2006, Zheng_2020 Niemeyer_2018, Devaux_2020, Rockx_2020, Crameri_2015
517 Cauchemez_2019 How Modelling Can Enhance the Analysis of Imperfect Epidemic Data Cauchemez, Simon; Hoze, Nathanaël; Cousien, Anthony; Nikolay, Birgit; ten bosch, Quirine 2019 2019-05-31 PMC N PMC7106457 30738632.0 10.1016/j.pt.2019.01.009 tysa2b5x 0.471568 UNKNOWN_2004, Bocharov_2018, Skrip_2019, Mwabu_2008, Zhou_2020 Skrip_2019, Cauchemez_2012, Real_2007, Citron_2020
518 Larremore_2020 Estimating SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and epidemiological parameters with uncertainty from serological surveys Daniel B Larremore; Bailey K Fosdick; Kate M Bubar; Sam Zhang; Stephen M Kissler; C. Jessica E. Metcalf; Caroline Buckee; Yonatan Grad 2020 2020-04-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.15.20067066 c4cs14ja 0.471497 Mwabu_2008, Coker_2007, Zhou_2020, Knapp_2008, Bocharov_2018
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520 Zhou_2020 CIRD-F: Spread and Influence of COVID-19 in China Zhou, Lingyun; Wu, Kaiwei; Liu, Hanzhi; Gao, Yuanning; Gao, Xiaofeng 2020 2020-04-07 PMC Y PMC7137851 10.1007/s12204-020-2168-1 gi23un26 0.470654 Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Griffiths_2010, Mack_2007, Zhou_2020 He_J_2020, Wang_2020, Caccavo_2020, Yuan_2020
521 Di_Giamberardino_2020 8 Epidemic modeling and control of HIV/AIDS dynamics in populations under external interactions: A worldwide challenge Di Giamberardino, Paolo; Iacoviello, Daniela 2020 2020-12-31 PMC N PMC7153349 10.1016/b978-0-12-817461-6.00008-1 d1w4rbze 0.470639 Li_C_2018, Pacheco_2017, Welch_2011, Looker_2006, Polverino_2017 Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Safi_2011, Denphedtnong_2013, Alexander_2009
522 Worden_2019 Projections of epidemic transmission and estimation of vaccination impact during an ongoing Ebola virus disease outbreak in Northeastern Democratic Republic of Congo, as of Feb. 25, 2019 Worden, Lee; Wannier, Rae; Hoff, Nicole A.; Musene, Kamy; Selo, Bernice; Mossoko, Mathias; Okitolonda-Wemakoy, Emile; Muyembe Tamfum, Jean Jacques; Rutherford, George W.; Lietman, Thomas M.; Rimoin, Anne W.; Porco, Travis C.; Kelly, J. Daniel 2019 2019-08-05 COMM-USE N PMC6695208 31381606.0 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007512 1lg2203q 0.470615 Pearson_2020, Li_C_2018, Liu_Z_2020, Mondor_2012, Chen_2018 Worden_2018, Kelly_2019, Kelly_2018, Nishiura_2007
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524 Woody_2020 Projections for first-wave COVID-19 deaths across the US using social-distancing measures derived from mobile phones Spencer Woody; Mauricio Garcia Tec; Maytal Dahan; Kelly Gaither; Spencer Fox; Lauren Ancel Meyers; James G Scott 2020 2020-04-22 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.16.20068163 87lxnslh 0.470067 Rodier_2007, Murray_2017, Lipsitch_2014, Griffiths_2010, Coker_2007
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527 Yong_2016 Dynamical transmission model of MERS-CoV in two areas Yong, Benny; Owen, Livia 2016 2016-02-29 COMM-USE N PMC7108780 10.1063/1.4942993 5po7q64l 0.469196 Walker_2010, Lu_P_2016, Li_L_2014, Karlsson_2012, Wang_2014 Al-Tawfiq_2014, Widagdo_2019, Alagaili_2014, Vergara-Alert_2017
528 Syed_2020 Estimation of the Final Size of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Pakistan Faiza Syed; Syed Sibgatullah 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.01.20050369 b7p92sb1 0.468813 Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Mack_2007, Buseh_2015, UNKNOWN_2010 Siraj_2020, Zareie_2020, Yuan_2020, Ranjan_2020
529 Ahn_I_2018 Investigation of nonlinear epidemiological models for analyzing and controlling the MERS outbreak in Korea Ahn, Inkyung; Heo, Seongman; Ji, Seunghyun; Kim, Kyung Hyun; Kim, Taehwan; Lee, Eun Joo; Park, Jooyoung; Sung, Keehoon 2018 2018-01-21 PMC N PMC7094113 29031518.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.10.004 v3n9ff16 0.468781 UNKNOWN_2010, Buseh_2015, Stenseth_2008, Guery_2014, Li_C_2018 Xia_Z_2015, Kim_Y_2016, Liu_C_2020, Yuan_2020
530 O’Regan_2012 Chaos in a seasonally perturbed SIR model: avian influenza in a seabird colony as a paradigm O’Regan, Suzanne M.; Kelly, Thomas C.; Korobeinikov, Andrei; O’Callaghan, Michael J. A.; Pokrovskii, Alexei V.; Rachinskii, Dmitrii 2012 2012-05-31 PMC N PMC7080170 22648788.0 10.1007/s00285-012-0550-9 g3955efe 0.468499 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Holmes_2007, Bocharov_2018, Li_K_2011 Wille_2017, Samanta_2020, Zhang_2018
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532 Kwok_2018 Temporal variation of human encounters and the number of locations in which they occur: a longitudinal study of Hong Kong residents Kwok, Kin On; Cowling, Ben; Wei, Vivian; Riley, Steven; Read, Jonathan M. 2018 2018-01-24 COMM-USE N PMC5805989 29367241.0 10.1098/rsif.2017.0838 ub9im4il 0.467397 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Pacheco_2017, Welch_2011 Stein_2014, Read_2014, Leung_2017, Chen_2007
533 Tang_2020 An updated estimation of the risk of transmission of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) Tang, Biao; Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi; Li, Qian; Tang, Sanyi; Xiao, Yanni; Wu, Jianhong 2020 2020-02-11 None Y PMC7029158 32099934.0 10.1016/j.idm.2020.02.001 thu861hj 0.467158 Wu_Q_2014, Li_C_2018, Guery_2014, Stenseth_2008, Lumby_2018 Tang_2020, Rabaa_2015, Ma_S_2020, Kucharski_2015
534 Lopez_2016 Modeling Importations and Exportations of Infectious Diseases via Travelers Lopez, Luis Fernandez; Amaku, Marcos; Coutinho, Francisco Antonio Bezerra; Quam, Mikkel; Burattini, Marcelo Nascimento; Struchiner, Claudio José; Wilder-Smith, Annelies; Massad, Eduardo 2016 2016-01-13 PMC N PMC7089300 26763222.0 10.1007/s11538-015-0135-z b7pl62p2 0.466002 Buseh_2015, Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, UNKNOWN_2010 Denphedtnong_2013, Safi_2011, Nah_K_2016, Rabaa_2015
535 Ratmann_2012 Phylodynamic Inference and Model Assessment with Approximate Bayesian Computation: Influenza as a Case Study Ratmann, Oliver; Donker, Gé; Meijer, Adam; Fraser, Christophe; Koelle, Katia 2012 2012-12-27 None N PMC3531293 23300420.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002835 wubaahn2 0.465898 Lemey_2009, Giardina_2017, Chang_2011, Bifolchi_2013, Lemey_2014 Lemey_2009, Dellicour_2016, Kühnert_2011
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537 Park_2020 The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak Sang Woo Park; Daniel M Cornforth; Jonathan Dushoff; Joshua S Weitz 2020 2020-03-13 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.09.20033514 50zrnau8 0.465493 Li_C_2018, O'Dea_2010, Welch_2011, Wu_Q_2014, Sadun_2020 Kucharski_2015, Kretzschmar_2020, Aguilar_2020, Hellewell_2020
538 Mbuvha_2020 On Data-Driven Management of the COVID-19 Outbreak in South Africa Rendani R Mbuvha; Tshilidzi Marwala 2020 2020-04-10 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.07.20057133 g5bhkd55 0.465074 Buseh_2015, Griffiths_2010, Mwacalimba_2016, Kruk_2008, Fielding_2014 Eifan_2017, Kim_K_2020, Ayebare_2020, Esteban_2020
539 Nguyen_2007 Noise, nonlinearity and seasonality: the epidemics of whooping cough revisited Nguyen, Hanh T.H.; Rohani, Pejman 2007 2007-09-18 PMC N PMC2607388 17878136.0 10.1098/rsif.2007.1168 dvcfcj24 0.464599 Fauci_2006, Kreiss_2007, Holmes_2007, Li_C_2018 Akhmetzhanov_2019, Safi_2011, Shi_P_2020, Nishiura_2007
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542 Kelly_2019 Projections of Ebola outbreak size and duration with and without vaccine use in Équateur, Democratic Republic of Congo, as of May 27, 2018 Kelly, J. Daniel; Worden, Lee; Wannier, S. Rae; Hoff, Nicole A.; Mukadi, Patrick; Sinai, Cyrus; Ackley, Sarah; Chen, Xianyun; Gao, Daozhou; Selo, Bernice; Mossoko, Mathais; Okitolonda-Wemakoy, Emile; Richardson, Eugene T.; Rutherford, George W.; Lietman, Thomas M.; Muyembe-Tamfum, Jean Jacques; Rimoin, Anne W.; Porco, Travis C. 2019 2019-03-07 COMM-USE N PMC6405095 30845236.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0213190 22ylifqo 0.463269 Pearson_2020, batista_2020, Li_W_2012, Griette_2020 Kelly_2018, Worden_2019, Worden_2018, Wu_J_2016
543 Vazquez-Prokopec_2013 Using GPS Technology to Quantify Human Mobility, Dynamic Contacts and Infectious Disease Dynamics in a Resource-Poor Urban Environment Vazquez-Prokopec, Gonzalo M.; Bisanzio, Donal; Stoddard, Steven T.; Paz-Soldan, Valerie; Morrison, Amy C.; Elder, John P.; Ramirez-Paredes, Jhon; Halsey, Eric S.; Kochel, Tadeusz J.; Scott, Thomas W.; Kitron, Uriel 2013 2013-04-08 COMM-USE N PMC3620113 23577059.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0058802 z8oh082s 0.462643 Fielding_2014, Zhou_2020, Griffiths_2010, Galea_2005, Wei_B_2011 Moss_2019, Liu_H_2020, Zhang_2019, Panigutti_2017
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545 Wang_2012 Model Selection in Time Series Studies of Influenza-Associated Mortality Wang, Xi-Ling; Yang, Lin; Chan, King-Pan; Chiu, Susan S.; Chan, Kwok-Hung; Peiris, J. S. Malik; Wong, Chit-Ming 2012 2012-06-20 COMM-USE N PMC3380027 22745751.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0039423 i5m3ax7g 0.461473 Chowell_2017, Höhle_2007, Zhao_2013, So_M_2008 Park_2017, Kwon_2017, Yang_2011
546 Dube_2008 Mathematical Analysis of Copy Number Variation in a DNA Sample Using Digital PCR on a Nanofluidic Device Dube, Simant; Qin, Jian; Ramakrishnan, Ramesh 2008 2008-08-06 COMM-USE N PMC2483940 18682853.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0002876 ueglfhux 0.461318 Chang_2011, Saw_A_2019, Qi_Z_2018, Feng_2010 Qin_J_2008, Wu_L_2010, Giles_2015
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548 Zahiri_2020 Prediction of Peak and Termination of Novel Coronavirus Covid-19 Epidemic in Iran AmirPouyan Zahiri; Sepehr RafieeNasab; Ehsan Roohi 2020 2020-03-31 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.29.20046532 3bmcglan 0.460349 UNKNOWN_2010, Stenseth_2008, Buseh_2015, Li_C_2018, Mondor_2012 Yong_2016, Zareie_2020, Lachheb_2019, Xia_W_2020
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562 Cottam_2008 Integrating genetic and epidemiological data to determine transmission pathways of foot-and-mouth disease virus Cottam, Eleanor M; Thébaud, Gaël; Wadsworth, Jemma; Gloster, John; Mansley, Leonard; Paton, David J; King, Donald P; Haydon, Daniel T 2008 2008-01-29 PMC N PMC2599933 18230598.0 10.1098/rspb.2007.1442 gctd950h 0.452502 Chang_2011, O'Dea_2010, Lumby_2018, Giardina_2017 Velsko_2014, Valdazo-González_2015, Agoti_2019
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564 Marescot_2020 Keeping the kids at home can limit the persistence of contagious pathogens in social animals Lucile Marescot; Mathias Franz; Sarah Benhaiem; Heribert Hofer; Marion East; Stephanie Kramer-Schadt 2020 2020-04-13 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.11.036806 njundv6l 0.451905 Mack_2007, Holmes_2007, Fauci_2006, Li_C_2018, Denison_2008 Woodroffe_2012, Wille_2017, Timoney_1984, Colombi_2019
565 Robinson_2012 Spatial dynamics of airborne infectious diseases Robinson, Marguerite; Stilianakis, Nikolaos I.; Drossinos, Yannis 2012 2012-03-21 PMC N PMC7094105 22207025.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.12.015 v5n6z095 0.451618 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Liu_Z_2010, Welch_2011, Xu_F_2019 Plowright_2016, Bing-Yuan_2018, Fernstrom_2013, Kretzschmar_2020
566 Apolloni_2013 Age-specific contacts and travel patterns in the spatial spread of 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic Apolloni, Andrea; Poletto, Chiara; Colizza, Vittoria 2013 2013-04-15 None N PMC3644502 23587010.0 10.1186/1471-2334-13-176 z8bjyr6k 0.451300 Li_C_2018, Zhou_2020, Fauci_2006, Wu_Q_2014, Wang_2017 Kretzschmar_2020, Chowell_2012, Routledge_2019, da_Costa_2018
567 D'Arienzo_2020 Assessment of the SARS-CoV-2 basic reproduction number, R 0, based on the early phase of COVID-19 outbreak in Italy D'Arienzo, Marco; Coniglio, Angela 2020 2020-04-02 PMC Y 10.1016/j.bsheal.2020.03.004 8fu7znit 0.451038 Li_C_2018, Tomie_2020, Mondor_2012, Liu_Z_2020, Guery_2014 Filho_2020, Teles_2020, Riccardo_2020, Zareie_2020
568 Notari_2020 Temperature dependence of COVID-19 transmission Alessio Notari 2020 2020-03-30 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.03.26.20044529 0oma7hdu 0.450652 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Gong_2013, Wu_Q_2014, Lauro_2020 Weber_2020, Xia_W_2020, Pirouz_2020
569 Ivanov_2020 Predicting the impacts of epidemic outbreaks on global supply chains: A simulation-based analysis on the coronavirus outbreak (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2) case Ivanov, Dmitry 2020 2020-04-30 PMC Y PMC7147532 10.1016/j.tre.2020.101922 8d1076ge 0.450407 Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, von_der_Gracht_2010, Alves_2007, Mack_2007 Kretzschmar_2020, Yuan_2020, Zhu_H_2020, Bucini_2019
570 Shao_2020 CoVID-19 in Japan: What could happen in the future? Nian Shao; Hanshuang Pan; Xingjie Li; Weijia Li; Shufen Wang; Yan Xuan; Yue Yan; Yu Jiang; Keji Liu; Yu Chen; Boxi Xu; Xinyue Luo; Christopher Y. Shen; Min Zhong; Xiang Xu; Xu Chen; Shuai Lu; Guanghong Ding; Jin Cheng; Wenbin Chen 2020 2020-02-23 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.21.20026070 u6b8iwr0 0.450309 Stenseth_2008, Wu_Q_2014, Li_C_2018, O'Dea_2010 Hou_J_2020, Yuan_2020, Aleta_2020, Siraj_2020
571 McVernon_2007 Model answers or trivial pursuits? The role of mathematical models in influenza pandemic preparedness planning McVernon, J; McCaw, CT; Mathews, JD 2007 2007-05-25 PMC N PMC4634556 19432634.0 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2007.00008.x ntub7gnw 0.449024 Walker_2010, Lu_P_2016, Cinti_2005, UNKNOWN_2010, Mack_2007 Singh_2010, Wu_J_2011, Bucini_2019
572 Chang_2010 The novel H1N1 Influenza A global airline transmission and early warning without travel containments Chang, ChaoYi; Cao, ChunXiang; Wang, Qiao; Chen, Yu; Cao, ZhiDong; Zhang, Hao; Dong, Lei; Zhao, Jian; Xu, Min; Gao, MengXu; Zhong, ShaoBo; He, QiSheng; Wang, JinFeng; Li, XiaoWen 2010 2010-09-24 PMC N PMC7088564 10.1007/s11434-010-3180-x 0fav1esn 0.449024 Walker_2010, Lu_P_2016, Cinti_2005, Santos-Preciado_2009, Buseh_2015 Yuan_2020
573 Lavine_2008 Directly transmitted viral diseases: modeling the dynamics of transmission Lavine, Jennie S.; Poss, Mary; Grenfell, Bryan T. 2008 2008-04-30 PMC N PMC7127822 18356058.0 10.1016/j.tim.2008.01.007 bwc8zjf2 0.448732 Fauci_2006, UNKNOWN_2004, Denison_2008, Alcami_2000 Plowright_2016, Brook_2020, Brook_2019, Kreuder_Johnson_2015
574 DISTANTE_2020 Covid-19 Outbreak Progression in Italian Regions: Approaching the Peak by March 29th COSIMO DISTANTE; PRISCO PISCITELLI; ALESSANDRO MIANI 2020 2020-04-02 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.30.20043612 idauypat 0.448650 Lim_T_2012, Tomie_2020, batista_2020, Georgiev_2009, Li_C_2018 Caccavo_2020, Filho_2020, Kretzschmar_2020, Siraj_2020
575 Katul_2020 Global convergence of COVID-19 basic reproduction number and estimation from early-time SIR dynamics Gabriel G. Katul; Assaad Mrad; Sara Bonetti; Gabriele Manoli; Anthony J. Parolari 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.10.20060954 3iec1te8 0.448474 Li_C_2018, Stenseth_2008, von_der_Gracht_2010, Wu_Q_2014, Sadun_2020 Kretzschmar_2020, Hou_J_2020, Chong_2020, Safi_2011
576 Arenas_2020 Derivation of the effective reproduction number R for COVID-19 in relation to mobility restrictions and confinement Alex Arenas; Wesley Cota; Jesus Gomez-Gardenes; Sergio Gomez; Clara Granell; Joan T. Matamalas; David Soriano-Panos; Benjamin Steinegger 2020 2020-04-08 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.06.20054320 nyjjaasw 0.447939 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Coker_2007, Mack_2007 Kretzschmar_2020, Denphedtnong_2013, Tomie_2020, Safi_2011
577 Kwong_2010 Spatial Components in Disease Modelling Kwong, Kim-hung; Lai, Poh-chin 2010 2010-01-01 PMC N PMC7122710 10.1007/978-3-642-12156-2_30 azqjvxtu 0.447823 UNKNOWN_2004, Gupta_2009, Reif_1986, Bocharov_2018 Skrip_2019, Citron_2020, Wen_T_2007, Real_2007
578 Hirose_2007 The mixed trunsored model with applications to SARS Hirose, Hideo 2007 2007-04-30 PMC N PMC7125585 10.1016/j.matcom.2006.06.031 88xk1e6h 0.447785 Li_C_2018, Kenah_2012, Lloyd_2009, Zhao_2013, Polverino_2017 Safi_2011, Guanghong_2013, Lopez_2020, Ohkusa_2005
579 Zareie_2020 A model for COVID-19 prediction in Iran based on China parameters Bushra Zareie; Amin Roshani; Mohammad Ali Mansournia; Mohammad Aziz Rasouli; Ghobad Moradi 2020 2020-03-23 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.19.20038950 p42cgpf0 0.447683 Mondor_2012, Griffiths_2010, batista_2020, Li_C_2018, Tomie_2020 He_J_2020, Al-Jasser_2019, Tian_2020
580 Chong_2017 A statistical method utilizing information of imported cases to estimate the transmissibility for an influenza pandemic Chong, Ka Chun; Zee, Benny Chung Ying; Wang, Maggie Haitian 2017 2017-02-21 COMM-USE N PMC5320693 28222682.0 10.1186/s12874-017-0300-1 w5z0ib20 0.447683 Stenseth_2008, Polverino_2017, Lu_J_2020, Zhou_2020, UNKNOWN_2010 Safi_2011, Chowell_2006, White_2013, Nishiura_2009
581 He_D_2010 Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study He, Daihai; Ionides, Edward L.; King, Aaron A. 2010 2010-02-06 COMM-USE N PMC2842609 19535416.0 10.1098/rsif.2009.0151 bze6g6jx 0.447500 Bocharov_2018, Chowell_2017, Zheng_2020, Leach_2010 Dearlove_2013, Park_2017, Citron_2020
582 KUMAR_2020 Predication of Pandemic COVID-19 situation in Maharashtra, India SUNNY KUMAR 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.10.20056697 kvh9qt65 0.447153 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Wiwanitkit_2014, UNKNOWN_2010 Yong_2016, Bhola_2020, Ikegami_2011, Zareie_2020
583 Chisholm_2018 Implications of asymptomatic carriers for infectious disease transmission and control Chisholm, Rebecca H.; Campbell, Patricia T.; Wu, Yue; Tong, Steven Y. C.; McVernon, Jodie; Geard, Nicholas 2018 2018-02-14 None N PMC5830799 29515909.0 10.1098/rsos.172341 zf9bwk1y 0.446510 Reif_1986, Leach_2010, Looker_2006, Castrignano_2015, Bocharov_2018 Andraud_2011, Chua_2011, Rabaa_2015
584 Kelly_2018 Real-time projections of Ebola outbreak size and duration with and without vaccine use in Équateur, Democratic Republic of Congo, as of May 27, 2018 J. Daniel Kelly; Lee Worden; Rae Wannier; Nicole A. Hoff; Patrick Mukadi; Cyrus Sinai; Sarah Ackley; Xianyun Chen; Daozhou Gao; Bernice Selo; Mathais Mossoko; Emile Okitolonda-Wemakoy; Eugene T. Richardson; George W. Rutherford; Thomas M. Lietman; Jean Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum; Anne W. Rimoin; Travis C. Porco 2018 2018-05-26 BioRxiv N 10.1101/331447 p0nb85e6 0.446005 Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Pearson_2020, Zhuang_2020, batista_2020 Kelly_2019, Worden_2018, Worden_2019, Wu_J_2016
585 Nadeau_2014 Global stability for an epidemic model with applications to feline infectious peritonitis and tuberculosis Nadeau, Julie; McCluskey, C. Connell 2014 2014-03-01 PMC N PMC7144349 10.1016/j.amc.2013.12.124 5ab0hag6 0.445473 Polverino_2017, Holmes_2007, Welch_2011, Goetz_2010, Lumby_2018 Pedersen_2014, Marlier_2006, Olsen_1993, Hartmann_2008
586 Campbell_2018 When are pathogen genome sequences informative of transmission events? Campbell, Finlay; Strang, Camilla; Ferguson, Neil; Cori, Anne; Jombart, Thibaut 2018 2018-02-08 COMM-USE N PMC5821398 29420641.0 10.1371/journal.ppat.1006885 ifbf7ttt 0.445366 Chang_2011, Zheng_2008, Lumby_2018, Grewelle_2020, O'Dea_2010 Tibayrenc_2015, Dudas_2019
587 Michael_2018 Quantifying the value of surveillance data for improving model predictions of lymphatic filariasis elimination Michael, Edwin; Sharma, Swarnali; Smith, Morgan E.; Touloupou, Panayiota; Giardina, Federica; Prada, Joaquin M.; Stolk, Wilma A.; Hollingsworth, Deirdre; de Vlas, Sake J. 2018 2018-10-08 COMM-USE N PMC6175292 30296266.0 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006674 u744apzw 0.445190 Bocharov_2018, Chowell_2017, Polverino_2017, Mwabu_2008, Lloyd_2009 Spear_2012, Chapman_2020, Routledge_2019
588 Tizzoni_2018 The impact of news exposure on collective attention in the United States during the 2016 Zika epidemic Michele Tizzoni; André Panisson; Daniela Paolotti; Ciro Cattuto 2018 2018-06-17 BioRxiv N 10.1101/346411 ricb63xp 0.444844 Griffiths_2010, Wei_B_2011, Zhou_2020, Fielding_2014, UNKNOWN_2010 Tizzoni_2020, Kim_L_2019, Grubaugh_2018, Rudra_2018
589 Moran_2020 Estimating required lockdown cycles before immunity to SARS-CoV-2: Model-based analyses of susceptible population sizes, S0, in seven European countries including the UK and Ireland Rosalyn J Moran; Erik D Fagerholm; Jean Daunizeau; Maell Cullen; Mark P Richardson; Steven Williams; Federico Turkheimer; Rob Leech; Karl Friston 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.10.20060426 qub8sdia 0.444684 Li_C_2018, Griette_2020, Zheng_2009, Polverino_2017, Zhao_2013 Kretzschmar_2020, Ejima_2020, Hilton_2020, Kissler_2020
590 Chowell_2004 Model Parameters and Outbreak Control for SARS Chowell, Gerardo; Castillo-Chavez, Carlos; Fenimore, Paul W.; Kribs-Zaleta, Christopher M.; Arriola, Leon; Hyman, James M. 2004 2004-07-23 PMC N PMC3323341 15324546.0 10.3201/eid1007.030647 kfty0lbc 0.443857 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Chang_2011, Gong_2013, Welch_2011 Gumel_2004, Yong_2016, Safi_2011, Kim_Y_2016
591 Hollingsworth_2009 Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: Lessons from mathematical modelling Hollingsworth, T Déirdre 2009 2009-10-05 PMC N PMC7099230 19806073.0 10.1057/jphp.2009.13 qpmeyqwf 0.443782 Brucker_2020, Buseh_2015, Gupta_2009, Kruk_2008, Skrip_2019 Skrip_2019, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Zitzmann_2018, Grassly_2008
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593 Dimaschko_2020 VIRAL MUTATIONS AS A POSSIBLE MECHANISM OF HIDDEN IMMUNIZATION AND CONTAINMENT OF A PANDEMIA Juri Dimaschko; Victor Podolsky 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.09.20059782 fukn227t 0.442585 Volmer_2010, Wu_Q_2014, Walker_2010, Li_C_2018 Lachheb_2019, Ehmann_2018, Moon_2017, Field_2010
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600 MONDAL_2020 Possibilities of exponential or Sigmoid growth of Covid19 data in different states of India SUPRIYA MONDAL; Sabyasachi Ghosh 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.10.20060442 bz13hdvz 0.440371 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Zheng_2020, Mooney_2013, Nelson_2012 Mondal_2020, Smeets_2020, Distante_2020, Ma_Z_2020
601 Pellis_2020 Challenges in control of Covid-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions Lorenzo Pellis; Francesca Scarabel; Helena B Stage; Christopher E Overton; Lauren H K Chappell; Katrina A Lythgoe; Elizabeth Fearon; Emma Bennett; Jacob Curran-Sebastian; Rajenki Das; Martyn Fyles; Hugo Lewkowicz; Xiaoxi Pang; Bindu Vekaria; Luke Webb; Thomas A House; Ian Hall 2020 2020-04-15 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.12.20059972 k5q07y4b 0.440371 Stenseth_2008, UNKNOWN_2019, Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Rusoke-Dierich_2018 Ke_R_2020, Siraj_2020, Kretzschmar_2020, Shayak_2020
602 Scala_2020 Between Geography and Demography: Key Interdependencies and Exit Mechanisms for Covid-19 Antonio Scala; Andrea Flori; Alessandro Spelta; Emanuele Brugnoli; Matteo Cinelli; Walter Quattrociocchi; Fabio Pammolli 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.09.20059592 bf098qcr 0.440211 Stenseth_2008, Li_C_2018, Looker_2006, Mack_2007, Polverino_2017 Liu_H_2020, Ribeiro_2020, Kraemer_2020
603 Li_S_2020 Preliminary Assessment of the COVID-19 Outbreak Using 3-Staged Model e-ISHR Li, Sijia; Song, Kun; Yang, Boran; Gao, Yucen; Gao, Xiaofeng 2020 2020-04-07 PMC Y PMC7137856 10.1007/s12204-020-2169-0 a1sk6mka 0.439810 Li_C_2018, Guery_2014, Stenseth_2008, Bocharov_2018, Li_K_2011 He_J_2020, Zareie_2020, Huang_2020, Zhao_2020
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610 Hochberg_2020 Importance of suppression and mitigation measures in managing COVID-19 outbreaks Michael E. Hochberg 2020 2020-04-02 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.31.20048835 4fkb1udl 0.436721 Polverino_2017, Wu_Q_2014, Li_C_2018, Mack_2007, Welch_2011 Kretzschmar_2020, Kretzschmar_2004, Safi_2011, Kucharski_2015
611 Burstyn_2020 Towards reduction in bias in epidemic curves due to outcome misclassification through Bayesian analysis of time-series of laboratory test results: Case study of COVID-19 in Alberta, Canada and Philadelphia, USA Igor Burstyn; Neal D. Goldstein; Paul Gustafson 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.08.20057661 qu9b07ea 0.436673 Polverino_2017, Bocharov_2018, Chang_2011, Lloyd_2009, Zheng_2020 Park_2017, Robert_2020, Aleta_2020
612 Saif_2020 Signature of State measures on the COVID-19 Pandemic in China, Italy, and USA Farhan Saif 2020 2020-04-10 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.08.20057489 qc3pldce 0.436520 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Lu_J_2020, Guery_2014 He_J_2020, Nesteruk_2020, Teles_2020, Yong_2016
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614 Mangiarotti_2020 Chaos theory applied to the outbreak of Covid-19: an ancillary approach to decision-making in pandemic context Sylvain Mangiarotti; Marisa Peyre; Yan Zhang; Mireille Huc; Francois Roger; Yann Kerr 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.02.20051441 gnk3m0b8 0.434507 Lim_T_2012, Buseh_2015, Griffiths_2010, Fielding_2014, Kruk_2008 Ghaffarzadegan_2020, Hou_J_2020, Loberg_2020, Caccavo_2020
615 Bettencourt_2007 Towards Real Time Epidemiology: Data Assimilation, Modeling and Anomaly Detection of Health Surveillance Data Streams Bettencourt, Luís M. A.; Ribeiro, Ruy M.; Chowell, Gerardo; Lant, Timothy; Castillo-Chavez, Carlos 2007 2007-01-01 PMC N PMC7122958 10.1007/978-3-540-72608-1_8 cf2bbn3p 0.434045 Bocharov_2018, Mwabu_2008, Chowell_2017, Alves_2007, Zhou_2020 Chowell_2017, Southall_2020, Lega_2016, Cauchemez_2012
616 Maharaj_2012 Controlling epidemic spread by social distancing: Do it well or not at all Maharaj, Savi; Kleczkowski, Adam 2012 2012-08-20 COMM-USE N PMC3563464 22905965.0 10.1186/1471-2458-12-679 54jnv4ki 0.434000 Mack_2007, Looker_2006, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Ropeik_2004 Herrera-Diestra_2019, Pharaon_2018, Milne_2020
617 Pujari_2020 Multi-city modeling of epidemics using spatial networks: Application to 2019-nCov (COVID-19) coronavirus in India Bhalchandra S Pujari; Snehal M Shekatkar 2020 2020-03-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.13.20035386 hxuyaany 0.432545 Stenseth_2008, Bocharov_2018, Bifolchi_2013, von_der_Gracht_2010, Mwabu_2008 Ribeiro_2020, Dattilo_2020, Hou_J_2020, Gross_2020
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625 Coelho_2008 Epigrass: a tool to study disease spread in complex networks Coelho, Flávio C; Cruz, Oswaldo G; Codeço, Cláudia T 2008 2008-02-26 COMM-USE N PMC2275240 18302744.0 10.1186/1751-0473-3-3 397hp1yt 0.427851 Bocharov_2018, Qi_Z_2018, Liou_2013, Chang_2011, Gamermann_2014 Groendyke_2012, Nelson_2019, Bjørnstad_2019, Zhong_2009
626 Firestone_2012 Adding the spatial dimension to the social network analysis of an epidemic: Investigation of the 2007 outbreak of equine influenza in Australia Firestone, Simon M.; Christley, Robert M.; Ward, Michael P.; Dhand, Navneet K. 2012 2012-09-15 PMC N PMC7126086 22365721.0 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.01.020 xftxcgeu 0.427239 Li_C_2018, Welch_2011, Zhang_2019, Pacheco_2017, Wu_Q_2014 dos_Santos_2018, Yang_2020, Chen_2007, Milne_2020
627 Liu_W_2015 Model Selection and Evaluation Based on Emerging Infectious Disease Data Sets including A/H1N1 and Ebola Liu, Wendi; Tang, Sanyi; Xiao, Yanni 2015 2015-09-15 COMM-USE N PMC4586906 26451161.0 10.1155/2015/207105 0j4is0n4 0.427090 Abou-Hamdan_2018, Choudhury_2011, David_2013, Largo_2016, Muniz-Rodriguez_2020 Ayoub_2020, Tang_2020, Zareie_2020
628 Wang_2020 Tracking and forecasting milepost moments of the epidemic in the early-outbreak: framework and applications to the COVID-19 Huiwen Wang; Yanwen Zhang; Shan Lu; Shanshan Wang 2020 2020-03-24 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.21.20040139 fyh8gjjl 0.426897 Polverino_2017, UNKNOWN_2010, UNKNOWN_2013, Li_C_2018, Tomie_2020 Roosa_2020, Peng_2020, Fanelli_2020, Zou_Y_2020
629 Kahn_2018 Analyzing Vaccine Trials in Epidemics with Mild and Asymptomatic Infection Rebecca Kahn; Matt Hitchings; Rui Wang; Steven Bellan; Marc Lipsitch 2018 2018-04-06 BioRxiv N 10.1101/295337 tj1ohvh0 0.426849 Bifolchi_2013, Brucker_2020, Höhle_2007, Kenah_2012, Lumby_2018 Kahn_2018, Roberts_2018, Wu_J_2016, Buttigieg_2014
630 Wu_J_2011 The use of mathematical models to inform influenza pandemic preparedness and response Wu, Joseph T; Cowling, Benjamin J 2011 2011-08-01 PMC N PMC3178755 21727183.0 10.1258/ebm.2010.010271 v932f5ni 0.426750 Walker_2010, Lu_P_2016, Brucker_2020, Czako_2015, Cinti_2005 Singh_2010, McVernon_2007, Malik_2020
631 Chowell_2014 Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease (EVD): a review Chowell, Gerardo; Nishiura, Hiroshi 2014 2014-10-10 COMM-USE N PMC4207625 25300956.0 10.1186/s12916-014-0196-0 7skgb6eu 0.425340 Walker_2010, Buseh_2015, Brucker_2020, Karlsson_2012 Poletti_2011, Leroy_2012, Rabaa_2015, Chowell_2015
632 Spousta_2020 Parametric analysis of early data on COVID-19 expansion in selected European countries Martin Spousta 2020 2020-04-03 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.31.20049155 3b6n8un0 0.425204 Bocharov_2018, Li_C_2018, Lloyd_2009, Chowell_2017, Bifolchi_2013 Smeets_2020, Ciufolini_2020, Zhigljavsky_2020, Wu_K_2020
633 Antonio_2014 Growth Patterns and Scaling Laws Governing AIDS Epidemic in Brazilian Cities Antonio, Fernando Jose; de Picoli, Sergio; Teixeira, Jorge Juarez Vieira; Mendes, Renio dos Santos 2014 2014-10-23 COMM-USE N PMC4207789 25340796.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0111015 fgwoijut 0.424723 Li_C_2018, Griffiths_2010, Wu_Q_2014, Buseh_2015 dos_Santos_2018, Safi_2011, Backer_2016, Poletti_2011
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635 Hickmann_2015 Forecasting the 2013–2014 Influenza Season Using Wikipedia Hickmann, Kyle S.; Fairchild, Geoffrey; Priedhorsky, Reid; Generous, Nicholas; Hyman, James M.; Deshpande, Alina; Del Valle, Sara Y. 2015 2015-05-14 COMM-USE N PMC4431683 25974758.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004239 9sgrw1qp 0.423701 UNKNOWN_2010, Walker_2010, Mack_2007, Cinti_2005, Mondor_2012 Basile_2019, Basile_2019, Nsoesie_2013, Machablishvili_2018
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637 Johansson_2011 On the Treatment of Airline Travelers in Mathematical Models Johansson, Michael A.; Arana-Vizcarrondo, Neysarí; Biggerstaff, Brad J.; Staples, J. Erin; Gallagher, Nancy; Marano, Nina 2011 2011-07-25 COMM-USE N PMC3143116 21799782.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0022151 q9nlwflu 0.421172 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Leach_2010 Nishiura_2007, Yong_2016, Safi_2011, Lo_Iacono_2015
638 Salim_2020 COVID-19 epidemic in Malaysia: Impact of lock-down on infection dynamics Naomie Salim; Weng Howe Chan; Shuhaimi Mansor; Nor Erne Nazira Bazin; Safiya Amaran; Ahmad Athif Mohd Faudzi; Anazida Zainal; Sharin Hazlin Huspi; Eric Jiun Hooi Khoo; Shaekh Mohammad Shithil 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.08.20057463 652vzlq6 0.420238 Rodier_2007, UNKNOWN_2010, Griffiths_2010, Lipsitch_2014, Murray_2017 Yuan_2020, Hou_J_2020, Ribeiro_2020, Siraj_2020
639 Soucy_2020 Estimating the effect of physical distancing on the COVID-19 pandemic using an urban mobility index Jean-Paul R. Soucy; Shelby L. Sturrock; Isha Berry; Nick Daneman; Derek R. MacFadden; Kevin A. Brown 2020 2020-04-07 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.05.20054288 radi0wlh 0.420206 Griffiths_2010, Zhou_2020, Wei_B_2011, Fielding_2014, Mwabu_2008 Liu_H_2020, Kraemer_2020, Malik_2020, dos_Santos_2018
640 Hollingsworth_2011 Mitigation Strategies for Pandemic Influenza A: Balancing Conflicting Policy Objectives Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre; Klinkenberg, Don; Heesterbeek, Hans; Anderson, Roy M. 2011 2011-02-10 COMM-USE N PMC3037387 21347316.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1001076 jzke8fop 0.419903 Coker_2007, Mwabu_2008, Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Amirov_2007 Singh_2010, Jackson-Lee_2016, Oshitani_2006, Ferguson_2006
641 Djidjou-Demasse_2020 Optimal COVID-19 epidemic control until vaccine deployment Ramses Djidjou-Demasse; Yannis Michalakis; Marc Choisy; Micea T. Sofonea; Samuel Alizon 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.02.20049189 5sdzyj0q 0.419648 Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, van_der_Weijden_2010, Ross_2015 Wu_J_2016, Mniszewski_2008, Wu_J_2016, Escriou_2014
642 Colizza_2006 The Modeling of Global Epidemics: Stochastic Dynamics and Predictability Colizza, V.; Barrat, A.; Barthélemy, M.; Vespignani, A. 2006 2006-06-20 PMC N PMC7089095 17086489.0 10.1007/s11538-006-9077-9 g26xcgi1 0.419581 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Bocharov_2018, Kenah_2007 Colizza_2007, Denphedtnong_2013
643 Fitzpatrick_2019 Modelling microbial infection to address global health challenges Fitzpatrick, Meagan C.; Bauch, Chris T.; Townsend, Jeffrey P.; Galvani, Alison P. 2019 2019-09-20 PMC N PMC6800015 31541212.0 10.1038/s41564-019-0565-8 j8iawzp8 0.419338 Coker_2007, Alves_2007, Mwabu_2008, Griffiths_2010, Gupta_2009 Skrip_2019, Rabaa_2015, Kelly_2020
644 Ruan_2015 Integrated travel network model for studying epidemics: Interplay between journeys and epidemic Ruan, Zhongyuan; Wang, Chaoqing; Ming Hui, Pak; Liu, Zonghua 2015 2015-06-15 COMM-USE N PMC4466778 26073191.0 10.1038/srep11401 722fuzpe 0.418754 Mack_2007, Fielding_2014, Wei_B_2011, Stenseth_2008 Zhang_2019, Liu_H_2020, dos_Santos_2018, Xu_Z_2014
645 Galvani_2003 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome: Temporal Stability and Geographic Variation in Death Rates and Doubling Times Galvani, Alison P.; Lei, Xiudong; Jewell, Nicholas P. 2003 2003-08-23 PMC N PMC3020622 12967499.0 10.3201/eid0908.030334 dy6ejuq5 0.417978 Singer_2020, Chowell_2007, Scheuerl_2020, Mondor_2012 Tsui_2005, Yang_2017, Henig_2017
646 Hermanowicz_2020 Simple model for Covid-19 epidemics - back-casting in China and forecasting in the US Slav W Hermanowicz 2020 2020-04-03 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.31.20049486 t7400ru5 0.417719 Pearson_2020, batista_2020, Polverino_2017, Dutra_2020, Li_C_2018 Roosa_2020, Weber_2020, Zou_Y_2020, Li_M_2020
647 Wiratsudakul_2018 Dynamics of Zika virus outbreaks: an overview of mathematical modeling approaches Wiratsudakul, Anuwat; Suparit, Parinya; Modchang, Charin 2018 2018-03-22 COMM-USE N PMC5866925 29593941.0 10.7717/peerj.4526 9ftas3a5 0.417571 UNKNOWN_2010, Duan_2015, Buseh_2015, Skrip_2019, Guery_2014 Rabaa_2015, Izquierdo-Suzán_2019, Chan_2016, Imran_2018
648 Tizzoni_2020 The impact of news exposure on collective attention in the United States during the 2016 Zika epidemic Tizzoni, Michele; Panisson, André; Paolotti, Daniela; Cattuto, Ciro 2020 2020-03-12 COMM-USE N PMC7067377 32163409.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007633 9amampof 0.417564 Griffiths_2010, Wei_B_2011, Zhou_2020, Fielding_2014, UNKNOWN_2010 Tizzoni_2018, Kim_L_2019, Grubaugh_2018, Grubaugh_2019
649 Keogh-Brown_2014 Macroeconomic Effect of Infectious Disease Outbreaks Keogh-Brown, M.R. 2014 2014-12-31 PMC N PMC7149727 10.1016/b978-0-12-375678-7.00608-8 wq0lfcnx 0.415959 UNKNOWN_2019, Alves_2007, Wei_B_2011, Hoffman_2019 Sands_2016, Oppong_2009, Bucini_2019
650 Yan_P_2008 Distribution Theory, Stochastic Processes and Infectious Disease Modelling Yan, Ping 2008 2008-01-01 PMC N PMC7122172 10.1007/978-3-540-78911-6_10 o9kb7irj 0.415935 Mooney_2013, Bocharov_2018, Polverino_2017, Looker_2006, Zheng_2020 Sherborne_2015, Safi_2011, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, Chen_2019
651 Armbruster_2007 Contact tracing to control infectious disease: when enough is enough Armbruster, Benjamin; Brandeau, Margaret L. 2007 2007-10-03 PMC N PMC3428220 18074967.0 10.1007/s10729-007-9027-6 r3tmfweq 0.415280 Polverino_2017, Looker_2006, Mwabu_2008, Mack_2007 House_2010, Porco_2004, Kretzschmar_2020, Klinkenberg_2006
652 Baerwolff_2020 A Contribution to the Mathematical Modeling of the Corona/COVID-19 Pandemic Guenter K.F. Baerwolff 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.01.20050229 69wk591l 0.415182 Zheng_2020, Bocharov_2018, Stenseth_2008, UNKNOWN_2010, Lipsitch_2014 Yong_2016, Kim_Y_2016, Nadeau_2014, Esteban_2020
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657 Ghani_2005 Methods for Estimating the Case Fatality Ratio for a Novel, Emerging Infectious Disease Ghani, A. C.; Donnelly, C. A.; Cox, D. R.; Griffin, J. T.; Fraser, C.; Lam, T. H.; Ho, L. M.; Chan, W. S.; Anderson, R. M.; Hedley, A. J.; Leung, G. M. 2005 2005-09-01 PMC N PMC7109816 16076827.0 10.1093/aje/kwi230 4us84ol1 0.413283 Li_C_2018, Mondor_2012, Kenah_2012, Stenseth_2008, Griette_2020 Nishiura_2009, Nishiura_2007, Safi_2011
658 Clements_2009 Emerging viral zoonoses: Frameworks for spatial and spatiotemporal risk assessment and resource planning Clements, Archie C.A.; Pfeiffer, Dirk U. 2009 2009-10-31 PMC N PMC7110545 18718800.0 10.1016/j.tvjl.2008.05.010 28mhhwol 0.413025 Gupta_2009, Skrip_2019, Mwabu_2008, Zhou_2020 Routledge_2019, Rabaa_2015, Neri_2014, Wood_2012
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661 Prakash_2020 A minimal and adaptive prediction strategy for critical resource planning in a pandemic Meher K Prakash; Shaurya Kaushal; Soumyadeep Bhattacharya; Akshay Chandran; Aloke Kumar; Santosh Ansumali 2020 2020-04-10 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.08.20057414 stqj3ue5 0.412290 Bocharov_2018, Zheng_2020, Stenseth_2008, Polverino_2017, Mack_2007 Loberg_2020, Jenny_2020, Ohkusa_2005, Nicolau_2020
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663 Gardner_2019 Force of infection of Middle East respiratory syndrome in dromedary camels in Kenya Gardner, E. G.; Kiambi, S.; Sitawa, R.; Kelton, D.; Kimutai, J.; Poljak, Z.; Tadesse, Z.; Von Dobschuetz, S.; Wiersma, L.; Greer, A. L. 2019 2019-09-24 COMM-USE N PMC6805735 31547888.0 10.1017/s0950268819001663 9wzqc6w0 0.411337 Brucker_2020, Lu_P_2016, Ye_F_2019, Buseh_2015, Wang_2014 Alagaili_2014, Kandeil_2019, Kandeil_2019, Sikkema_2019
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665 Luca_2017 The impact of regular school closure on seasonal influenza epidemics: a data-driven spatial transmission model for Belgium Giancarlo De Luca; Kim Van Kerckhove; Pietro Coletti; Chiara Poletto; Nathalie Bossuyt; Niel Hens; Vittoria Colizza 2017 2017-12-07 BioRxiv N 10.1101/230565 xpbgpsp8 0.410657 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Zhou_2020, UNKNOWN_2019 Luca_2018, Liu_F_2014, Chowell_2012
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668 ALLALI_2020 Prediction of the time evolution of the COVID-19 disease in Guadeloupe with a stochastic evolutionary model MERIEM ALLALI; PATRICK PORTECOP; MICHEL CARLES; DOMINIQUE GIBERT 2020 2020-04-16 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.12.20063008 cm678hn4 0.409906 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Sadun_2020, Wu_Q_2014, Lauro_2020
669 Guo_Z_2016 Predicting and Evaluating the Epidemic Trend of Ebola Virus Disease in the 2014-2015 Outbreak and the Effects of Intervention Measures Guo, Zuiyuan; Xiao, Dan; Li, Dongli; Wang, Xiuhong; Wang, Yayu; Yan, Tiecheng; Wang, Zhiqi 2016 2016-04-06 COMM-USE N PMC4822846 27049322.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0152438 1amm2hh8 0.409496 Lu_J_2020, Wu_Z_2013, Azman_2016, Pai_M_2006, Buseh_2015 Chowell_2014, Cousien_2019, Poletti_2011, Rabaa_2015
670 Earnest_2005 Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore Earnest, Arul; Chen, Mark I; Ng, Donald; Sin, Leo Yee 2005 2005-05-11 COMM-USE N PMC1274243 15885149.0 10.1186/1472-6963-5-36 wy07nao0 0.409406 Griette_2020, Chen_2010, Polverino_2017, Zhao_2013, Bettencourt_2009 Mao_Q_2018, Kim_T_2019, Huang_2009, wang_2020
671 Yeo_Y_2020 A Computational Model for Estimating the Progression of COVID-19 Cases in the US West and East Coasts Yao Yu Yeo; Yao-Rui Yeo; Wan-Jin Yeo 2020 2020-03-27 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.24.20043026 8g64u3ux 0.409329 UNKNOWN_2010, Stenseth_2008, Li_C_2018, Guery_2014, Bocharov_2018 Yong_2016, Li_S_2020, Filho_2020, Kim_K_2020
672 Koczkodaj_2020 1,000,000 cases of COVID-19 outside of China: The date predicted by a simple heuristic Koczkodaj, W.W.; Mansournia, M.A.; Pedrycz, W.; Wolny-Dominiak, A.; Zabrodskii, P.F.; Strzaška, D.; Armstrong, T.; Zolfaghari, A.H.; Debski, M.; Mazurek, J. 2020 2020-03-23 PMC Y 10.1016/j.gloepi.2020.100023 ssa5rzd5 0.409329 batista_2020, UNKNOWN_2013, Griette_2020, Lipsitch_2014 Liu_Q_2020, Chintalapudi_2020, Li_M_2020
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677 Zhang_2005 A compartmental model for the analysis of SARS transmission patterns and outbreak control measures in China Zhang, Juan; Lou, Jie; Ma, Zhien; Wu, Jianhong 2005 2005-03-15 PMC N PMC7134600 10.1016/j.amc.2003.12.131 1uggxinp 0.406247 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Zheng_2020, Stenseth_2008, Chang_2011 Gumel_2004, Yuan_2020, Safi_2011
678 Pan_H_2020 Multi-chain Fudan-CCDC model for COVID-19 -- a revisit to Singapore's case Hanshuang Pan; Nian Shao; Yue Yan; Xinyue Luo; Shufen Wang; Ling Ye; Jin Cheng; Wenbin Chen 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.13.20063792 etnf4i8v 0.405965 Bifolchi_2013, Bocharov_2018, O'Dea_2010, Polverino_2017, Lloyd_2009
679 Lau_M_2017 A mechanistic spatio-temporal framework for modelling individual-to-individual transmission—With an application to the 2014-2015 West Africa Ebola outbreak Lau, Max S. Y.; Gibson, Gavin J.; Adrakey, Hola; McClelland, Amanda; Riley, Steven; Zelner, Jon; Streftaris, George; Funk, Sebastian; Metcalf, Jessica; Dalziel, Benjamin D.; Grenfell, Bryan T. 2017 2017-10-30 None N PMC5679647 29084216.0 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005798 a8w5cs6k 0.405254 Bocharov_2018, O'Dea_2010, Lumby_2018, He_D_2010 Routledge_2020, Routledge_2019
680 Garvey_2020 The rippled newsvendor: A new inventory framework for modeling supply chain risk severity in the presence of risk propagation Garvey, Myles D.; Carnovale, Steven 2020 2020-10-31 PMC N 10.1016/j.ijpe.2020.107752 28ytcg9c 0.405254 Bocharov_2018, Polverino_2017, Mwabu_2008, Bifolchi_2013, Alves_2007 Xiao_2006, Tung_2011, Neisser_2014, Sheffi_2018
681 Cao_Z_2020 Incorporating Human Movement Data to Improve Epidemiological Estimates for 2019-nCoV Zhidong Cao; Qingpeng Zhang; Xin Lu; Dirk Pfeiffer; Lei Wang; Hongbing Song; Tao Pei; Zhongwei Jia; Daniel Dajun Zeng 2020 2020-02-09 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.07.20021071 q14x0i2c 0.405192 Lim_T_2012, Lin_Q_2020, Griffiths_2010, Lin_T_2011, Fielding_2014 Routledge_2019, Hou_J_2020, Aleta_2020, Tang_2020
682 Li_Y_2020 A Note on COVID-19 Diagnosis Number Prediction Model in China Yi Li; Xianhong Yin; Meng Liang; Xiaoyu Liu; Meng Hao; Yi Wang 2020 2020-02-23 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.19.20025262 goqgv2cc 0.404534 Lipsitch_2014, UNKNOWN_2010, Griffiths_2010, Nelson_2012, Nelson_2012 Zareie_2020, Zhou_2020, Huang_2020
683 Patterson-Lomba_2020 Optimal timing for social distancing during an epidemic Oscar Patterson-Lomba 2020 2020-04-01 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.03.30.20048132 cm91jxde 0.404442 Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Ropeik_2004, Looker_2006 Maharaj_2012, Milne_2020, Lauro_2020, Kissler_2020
684 Ferguson_2003 Planning for smallpox outbreaks Ferguson, Neil M.; Keeling, Matt J.; John Edmunds, W.; Gani, Raymond; Grenfell, Bryan T.; Anderson, Roy M.; Leach, Steve 2003 2003-01-01 PMC N PMC7095314 14562094.0 10.1038/nature02007 u69o55bs 0.403910 Brucker_2020, Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Buseh_2015, Weiss_2003 Rabaa_2015, Heymann_2004, Plowright_2016, Colombi_2019
685 Ripperger_2020 Sickness behaviour reduces network centrality in wild vampire bats Simon P Ripperger; Sebastian Stockmaier; Gerald G Carter 2020 2020-03-31 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.03.30.015545 arwbvyul 0.403447 Mack_2007, Polverino_2017, Pacheco_2017, Denison_2008, Welch_2011 Hossain_2015, Gómez_2017, Plowright_2016
686 Dallas_2018 Experimental evidence of a pathogen invasion threshold Dallas, Tad A.; Krkošek, Martin; Drake, John M. 2018 2018-01-24 None N PMC5792953 29410876.0 10.1098/rsos.171975 83hzhgw6 0.403447 Han_B_2016, Gay_N_2014, McCoy_2003, Longdon_2018, de_Graaf_2017 Becker_2019, Mollentze_2020
687 Sanche_2020 The Novel Coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, is Highly Contagious and More Infectious Than Initially Estimated Steven Sanche; Yen Ting Lin; Chonggang Xu; Ethan Romero-Severson; Nick Hengartner; Ruian Ke 2020 2020-02-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.07.20021154 45g12waw 0.403402 Li_C_2018, O'Dea_2010, Lumby_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Welch_2011 Wu_H_2016, Nemoto_2014, Park_2007, Lachheb_2019
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690 Massad_2005 Forecasting versus projection models in epidemiology: The case of the SARS epidemics Massad, Eduardo; Burattini, Marcelo N.; Lopez, Luis F.; Coutinho, Francisco A.B. 2005 2005-12-31 PMC N PMC7116954 15893110.0 10.1016/j.mehy.2004.09.029 l0c69uul 0.402062 Griffiths_2010, Li_C_2018, batista_2020, Stenseth_2008, Polverino_2017 Safi_2011, Park_2017, Gumel_2004, Colizza_2007
691 ADACHI_2015 Real time detection of farm-level swine mycobacteriosis outbreak using time series modeling of the number of condemned intestines in abattoirs ADACHI, Yasumoto; MAKITA, Kohei 2015 2015-04-24 NONCOMM N PMC4591155 25913899.0 10.1292/jvms.14-0675 ct72a1og 0.401984 Polverino_2017, batista_2020, Saw_A_2019, Höhle_2007, Kenah_2012 Watt_1993, Rodríguez-De_Lara_2008, LI_C_2018
692 Kissler_2020 Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the post-pandemic period Stephen M Kissler; Christine Tedijanto; Edward Goldstein; Yonatan H. Grad; Marc Lipsitch 2020 2020-03-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.04.20031112 f4hj35dr 0.400882 Fauci_2006, Mack_2007, Karlsson_2012, UNKNOWN_2010, Wiwanitkit_2014 Kim_K_2020, Rockx_2020, Banerjee_2020, Boni_2020
693 Yap_W_2020 Time-variant strategies for optimizing the performance of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in protecting lives and livelihoods during the COVID-19 pandemic Wei Aun Yap; Dhesi Baha Raja 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.13.20063248 180x1fvb 0.400650 Polverino_2017, van_Helden_2013, Monga_2006, Mack_2007, Zhou_2020
694 Woolhouse_2011 How to make predictions about future infectious disease risks Woolhouse, Mark 2011 2011-07-12 COMM-USE N PMC3130384 21624924.0 10.1098/rstb.2010.0387 x6bvjkbk 0.400650 Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Ropeik_2004, Mwabu_2008 Bucini_2019, Leach_2010, Mwacalimba_2016
695 Garcia-Iglesias_2020 Early behavior of Madrid Covid-19 disease outbreak: A mathematical model Daniel Garcia-Iglesias; Francisco Javier de Cos Juez 2020 2020-04-01 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.30.20047019 q3xoodui 0.400457 Griette_2020, Li_C_2018, batista_2020, batista_2020, Tomie_2020 Filho_2020, Zareie_2020
696 Gjini_2020 Modeling Covid-19 dynamics for real-time estimates and projections: an application to Albanian data Erida Gjini 2020 2020-03-23 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.20.20038141 ela022bo 0.400398 Bocharov_2018, Li_C_2018, Zhou_2020, Stenseth_2008, Chowell_2017 Smeets_2020, Ghaffarzadegan_2020, Tuite_2020
697 Akhtar_2020 Understanding the CoVID-19 pandemic Curve through statistical approach Ibrar ul Hassan Akhtar 2020 2020-04-08 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.06.20055426 14w3ygss 0.399151 batista_2020, Scheuerl_2020, Li_C_2018, Pearson_2020, Dutra_2020 Pirouz_2020, Xia_W_2020, Yuan_2020
698 Hilton_2020 Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices Joe Hilton; Matt J Keeling 2020 2020-02-27 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.26.20028167 96wkqutc 0.398588 Li_C_2018, Buseh_2015, Griffiths_2010, Galea_2005, Zhou_2020 He_J_2020, El-Kafrawy_2019, Berto_2018, Zhao_2007
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700 Xia_Z_2015 Modeling the Transmission of Middle East Respirator Syndrome Corona Virus in the Republic of Korea Xia, Zhi-Qiang; Zhang, Juan; Xue, Ya-Kui; Sun, Gui-Quan; Jin, Zhen 2015 2015-12-21 None N PMC4686901 26690750.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0144778 5d58d66r 0.397082 Lim_T_2012, Georgiev_2009, UNKNOWN_2010, Buseh_2015, Kim_D_2016 UNKNOWN_2015, Lee_S_2015, Kim_Y_2016, Khan_2020
701 Small_2006 Super-spreaders and the rate of transmission of the SARS virus Small, Michael; Tse, C.K.; Walker, David M. 2006 2006-03-15 PMC N PMC7114355 10.1016/j.physd.2006.01.021 dqkjofw2 0.396806 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Wu_Q_2014, Lumby_2018, Welch_2011 Ng_T_2003, Small_2005, Kretzschmar_2020, Kucharski_2015
702 SUN_P_2020 An SEIR Model for Assessment of Current COVID-19 Pandemic Situation in the UK Peiliang SUN; Kang Li 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.12.20062588 9mdxid0u 0.396806 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Sadun_2020, Guery_2014, Scheuerl_2020
703 Zhao_2019 Large-scale Lassa fever outbreaks in Nigeria: quantifying the association between disease reproduction number and local rainfall Shi Zhao; Salihu S. Musa; Hao Fu; Daihai He; Jing Qin 2019 2019-04-08 BioRxiv N 10.1101/602706 6l8r09cd 0.394926 Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Largo_2016, David_2013, Choudhury_2011 Zhao_2020, Akhmetzhanov_2019, Ergönül_2006, Napp_2018
704 Hu_F_2020 The Estimated Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers during the Ongoing Epidemic of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China Fu-Chang Hu; Fang-Yu Wen 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.11.20061838 nlpeyh5e 0.394785 UNKNOWN_2010, Mondor_2012, Griffiths_2010, Lipsitch_2014, Buseh_2015
705 Leo_S_2020 Analysing and comparing the COVID-19 data: The closed cases of Hubei and South Korea, the dark March in Europe, the beginning of the outbreak in South America Stefano De Leo; Gabriel Gulak Maia; Leonardo Solidoro 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.06.20055327 9j2ngvlb 0.394526 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Lloyd_2009, Chang_2011, Welch_2011 Teles_2020, He_J_2020, Weber_2020, Filho_2020
706 Jung_2020 Real time estimation of the risk of death from novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infection: Inference using exported cases Sung-mok Jung; Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov; Katsuma Hayashi; Natalie M. Linton; Yichi Yang; Baoyin Yuan; Tetsuro Kobayashi; Ryo Kinoshita; Hiroshi Nishiura 2020 2020-02-02 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.01.29.20019547 rr5qhsam 0.393014 Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Rossi_2020, Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Russell_2020, Zhuang_2020 Jung_2020, Tang_2020, Tang_2020
707 Krauer_2016 Heterogeneity in District-Level Transmission of Ebola Virus Disease during the 2013-2015 Epidemic in West Africa Krauer, Fabienne; Gsteiger, Sandro; Low, Nicola; Hansen, Christian H.; Althaus, Christian L. 2016 2016-07-19 None N PMC4951043 27434164.0 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004867 9yzum3er 0.392792 Lim_T_2012, Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Kim_D_2016, Georgiev_2009, Pirie_2006 Backer_2016, Poletti_2011, Cousien_2019, Hilton_2020
708 Ng_T_2003 A double epidemic model for the SARS propagation Ng, Tuen Wai; Turinici, Gabriel; Danchin, Antoine 2003 2003-09-10 PMC N PMC222908 12964944.0 10.1186/1471-2334-3-19 0qaoam29 0.392305 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, van_der_Weijden_2010, Li_C_2018, Goetz_2010 Zhao_2007, Sims_2008, Rockx_2011
709 Ganyani_2020 Estimating the generation interval for COVID-19 based on symptom onset data Tapiwa Ganyani; Cecile Kremer; Dongxuan Chen; Andrea Torneri; Christel Faes; Jacco Wallinga; Niel Hens 2020 2020-03-08 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.05.20031815 cq6mivr9 0.392305 Kenah_2012, Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, batista_2020, Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017 Xia_W_2020, Virlogeux_2016, Li_M_2020, Jing_2020
710 Cauchemez_2006 Real-time Estimates in Early Detection of SARS Cauchemez, Simon; Boëlle, Pierre-Yves; Donnelly, Christl A.; Ferguson, Neil M; Thomas, Guy; Leung, Gabriel M.; Hedley, Anthony J; Anderson, Roy M.; Valleron, Alain-Jacques 2006 2006-01-23 PMC N PMC3293464 16494726.0 10.3201/eid1201.050593 2uudklob 0.391580 Griette_2020, Lee_C_2017, Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Polverino_2017 Chong_2020, White_2008, Zimmer_2017, Nishiura_2007
711 Volz_2020 Genomic epidemiology of a densely sampled COVID19 outbreak in China Erik Volz; Han Fu; Haowei Wang; Xiauoyue Xi; Wei Chen; Dehui Liu; Yingying Chen; Mengmeng Tian; Wei Tan; Junjie Zai; Wanying Zan; Xinguang Li; Qing Nie 2020 2020-03-13 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.09.20033365 xckkdci1 0.391507 Li_C_2018, Chang_2011, Lemey_2009, Wang_2013, O'Dea_2010 Deng_2020, Xu_L_2018, Cotten_2013
712 Zhang_2018 Models of cytokine dynamics in the inflammatory response of viral zoonotic infectious diseases Zhang, Wenjing; Jang, Sophia; Jonsson, Colleen B; Allen, Linda J S 2018 2018-06-29 PMC N PMC7108568 29961899.0 10.1093/imammb/dqy009 5igf77tk 0.391403 Lester_2014, Berkhout_2006, Zhao_2009, Kolls_2012, Haasnoot_2010 Phares_2013, Aerts_2013
713 Saez_2020 Effectiveness of the measures to flatten the epidemic curve of COVID-19. The case of Spain Saez, Marc; Tobias, Aurelio; Varga, Diego; Barceló, Maria Antònia 2020 2020-07-20 PMC Y 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138761 fwgffg6k 0.391133 Li_C_2018, Mondor_2012, Stenseth_2008, Zheng_2020, Polverino_2017
714 Ueno_2008 Controlling nosocomial infection based on structure of hospital social networks Ueno, Taro; Masuda, Naoki 2008 2008-10-07 PMC N PMC7094152 18647609.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.07.001 u4z9ijrr 0.390894 Mack_2007, Atkinson_2020, Fielding_2014, Stenseth_2008, Kruk_2008 Chu_H_2014, Cillóniz_2012, Bing-Yuan_2018, Fu_C_2016
715 Xinguang_Chen_2020 First two months of the 2019 Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) epidemic in China: real-time surveillance and evaluation with a second derivative model Xinguang Chen, Bin Yu 2020 2020-01-01 COMM-USE N PMC7050133 32158961.0 10.1186/s41256-020-00137-4 36g4zdqa 0.390829 Lu_J_2020, Mondor_2012, UNKNOWN_2010, Guery_2014, Stenseth_2008 Xia_W_2020, Linton_2020
716 Er_C_2016 Production impact of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus infection on fattening pigs in Norway Er, Chiek; Skjerve, Eystein; Brun, Edgar; Hofmo, Peer Ola; Framstad, Tore; Lium, Bjørn 2016 2016-02-23 PMC N PMC7109966 27065145.0 10.2527/jas.2015-9251 lo8l1kiv 0.390682 batista_2020, Li_C_2018, Li_W_2012, Kenah_2012 Liang_2019, Kim_D_2016, Andraud_2014, Er_C_2014
717 Wang_2008 Data-driven exploration of ‘spatial pattern-time process-driving forces’ associations of SARS epidemic in Beijing, China Wang, Jin-Feng; Christakos, George; Han, Wei-Guo; Meng, Bin 2008 2008-04-26 NONCOMM N PMC2518065 18441347.0 10.1093/pubmed/fdn023 2nko37oo 0.390348 Li_C_2018, Giardina_2017, UNKNOWN_2010, Buseh_2015, Walker_2010 Cao_Z_2010, Hu_B_2012, Hu_B_2012, Mao_Y_2019
718 Eksin_2017 Disease dynamics in a stochastic network game: a little empathy goes a long way in averting outbreaks Eksin, Ceyhun; Shamma, Jeff S.; Weitz, Joshua S. 2017 2017-03-14 None N PMC5349521 28290504.0 10.1038/srep44122 k52tkf1z 0.390348 Looker_2006, Mack_2007, Ropeik_2004, Stenseth_2008, UNKNOWN_2019 Shi_T_2019, Van_Segbroeck_2010, Andrews_2016, Huang_2020
719 Sau_A_2017 A Simulation Study on Hypothetical Ebola Virus Transmission in India Using Spatiotemporal Epidemiological Modeler (STEM): A Way towards Precision Public Health Sau, Arkaprabha 2017 2017-02-27 COMM-USE N PMC5350287 28348606.0 10.1155/2017/7602301 mtgfjyww 0.390155 Rodier_2007, Griffiths_2010, Fielding_2014, Wei_B_2011, Coker_2007 Hou_J_2020, Ko_Y_2019, Chowell_2014, Guo_Z_2016
720 Nishiura_2016 Methods to Determine the End of an Infectious Disease Epidemic: A Short Review Nishiura, Hiroshi 2016 2016-07-28 PMC N PMC7123060 10.1007/978-3-319-40413-4_17 1x9zlv0b 0.389920 Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Mwabu_2008, von_der_Gracht_2010, UNKNOWN_2019 Safi_2011, Nishiura_2007, Rabaa_2015, Chen_2019
721 Falcón-Lezama_2016 Day-to-Day Population Movement and the Management of Dengue Epidemics Falcón-Lezama, Jorge A.; Martínez-Vega, Ruth A.; Kuri-Morales, Pablo A.; Ramos-Castañeda, José; Adams, Ben 2016 2016-10-04 COMM-USE N PMC5069346 27704330.0 10.1007/s11538-016-0209-6 a2jsorm2 0.388514 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Zhou_2020, Wei_B_2011 dos_Santos_2018, Imran_2018, Chin_2019, Akhmetzhanov_2019
722 Camacho_2011 Explaining rapid reinfections in multiple-wave influenza outbreaks: Tristan da Cunha 1971 epidemic as a case study Camacho, Anton; Ballesteros, Sébastien; Graham, Andrea L.; Carrat, Fabrice; Ratmann, Oliver; Cazelles, Bernard 2011 2011-12-22 COMM-USE N PMC3203494 21525058.0 10.1098/rspb.2011.0300 12y420k8 0.387066 Walker_2010, Karlsson_2012, Lu_P_2016, Fauci_2006, Cinti_2005 Marlier_2006, Watt_1993, Plowright_2016
723 Lu_H_2004 Date of origin of the SARS coronavirus strains Lu, Hongchao; Zhao, Yi; Zhang, Jingfen; Wang, Yuelan; Li, Wei; Zhu, Xiaopeng; Sun, Shiwei; Xu, Jingyi; Ling, Lunjiang; Cai, Lun; Bu, Dongbo; Chen, Runsheng 2004 2004-02-06 PMC N PMC516801 15028113.0 10.1186/1471-2334-4-3 8zwsi4nk 0.386709 Wang_2007, Chang_2011, Lee_C_2017, Wiwanitkit_2014, Cheng_2012 Niemeyer_2018, Boni_2020, Li_C_2009, Zhu_Y_2005
724 Jenny_2020 Dynamic Modeling to Identify Mitigation Strategies for Covid-19 Pandemic Patrick Jenny; David F Jenny; Hossein Gorji; Markus Arnoldini; Wolf-Dietrich Hardt 2020 2020-03-30 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.27.20045237 ngsstnpr 0.385733 Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Mack_2007, Looker_2006, Zheng_2020 Kim_K_2020, Esteban_2020, Einian_2020
725 Hsieh_2006 Real-time Forecast of Multiphase Outbreak Hsieh, Ying-Hen; Cheng, Yuan-Sen 2006 2006-01-23 PMC N PMC3293463 16494728.0 10.3201/eid1201.050396 h6cfru7u 0.385199 Sasaki_2017, Pearson_2020, batista_2020, Schlickeiser_2020 Zou_Y_2020, Chintalapudi_2020, Nishiura_2007, Roosa_2020
726 Ceylan_2020 Estimation of COVID-19 prevalence in Italy, Spain, and France Ceylan, Zeynep 2020 2020-04-22 PMC Y 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138817 axio34pi 0.384497 Lim_T_2012, batista_2020, Buseh_2015, Griffiths_2010, Liu_Z_2020
727 Argyroudis_2019 Spillover effects of Great Recession on Hong-Kong’s Real Estate Market: An analysis based on Causality Plane and Tsallis Curves of Complexity–Entropy Argyroudis, George S.; Siokis, Fotios M. 2019 2019-06-15 PMC N PMC7126015 10.1016/j.physa.2019.04.052 tjnt01ld 0.384451 Li_C_2018, Lloyd_2009, Polverino_2017, Cheng_2010, Chowell_2017 Lee_C_2008, Chen_2005, Lin_T_2011
728 Chuang_2010 A dynamic estimation of the daily cumulative cases during infectious disease surveillance: application to dengue fever Chuang, Pei-Hung; Chuang, Jen-Hsiang; Lin, I-Feng 2010 2010-05-27 COMM-USE N PMC2894833 20504379.0 10.1186/1471-2334-10-136 64ldtrjf 0.383977 Polverino_2017, Lloyd_2009, Black_2013, Kenah_2012, Li_C_2018 Nishiura_2007, Pirouz_2020, Safi_2011, Cao_L_2020
729 Huber_2019 Market Area Delineation for Airports to Predict the Spread of Infectious Disease Huber, Carmen; Rinner, Claus 2019 2019-03-14 PMC N PMC7120907 10.1007/978-3-030-14745-7_15 6apsd91c 0.383914 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Fielding_2014, Coker_2007, Zhou_2020 Zhang_2019, Ribeiro_2020, Nikolaou_2020, Martin_2018
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732 Mao_L_2015 Modeling monthly flows of global air travel passengers: An open-access data resource Mao, Liang; Wu, Xiao; Huang, Zhuojie; Tatem, Andrew J. 2015 2015-10-31 PMC N PMC7127637 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2015.08.017 k0xat0u7 0.382368 Zhou_2020, Alves_2007, Bifolchi_2013, Mwabu_2008, Mack_2007 Grubesic_2009, Yang_2018, Meslé_2019
733 VanderWaal_2018 Role of animal movement and indirect contact among farms in transmission of porcine epidemic diarrhea virus VanderWaal, Kimberly; Perez, Andres; Torremorrell, Montse; Morrison, Robert M.; Craft, Meggan 2018 2018-09-30 PMC N PMC7104984 29673815.0 10.1016/j.epidem.2018.04.001 8feuijg8 0.382362 Fauci_2006, de_Graaf_2017, Karlsson_2012, Li_C_2018 Dortmans_2018, Klous_2016, Nemoto_2014, Plowright_2016
734 Wessel_2011 Public health interventions for epidemics: implications for multiple infection waves Wessel, Lindsay; Hua, Yi; Wu, Jianhong; Moghadas, Seyed M 2011 2011-02-25 COMM-USE N PMC3317576 21356131.0 10.1186/1471-2458-11-s1-s2 4rpbsj48 0.382362 Brucker_2020, Fauci_2006, Weiss_2003, Guery_2014, Mack_2007 Rabaa_2015, Chowell_2014, Plowright_2016, Chowell_2015
735 German_2020 Modeling Exit Strategies from COVID-19 Lockdown with a Focus on Antibody Tests Reinhard German; Anatoli Djanatliev; Lisa Maile; Peter Bazan; Holger Hackstein 2020 2020-04-18 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.14.20063750 fux10x0w 0.382141 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Looker_2006, Ropeik_2004
736 Borovkov_2012 High host density favors greater virulence: a model of parasite–host dynamics based on multi-type branching processes Borovkov, K.; Day, R.; Rice, T. 2012 2012-03-30 PMC N PMC7080088 22461126.0 10.1007/s00285-012-0526-9 zbfd03f6 0.381868 Holmes_2007, Denison_2008, Fauci_2006, Longdon_2018 Porco_2005, Bull_2008
737 Hotchkiss_2006 Pathogen Transmission and Clinic Scheduling Hotchkiss, John R.; Strike, David G.; Crooke, Philip S. 2006 2006-01-23 PMC N PMC3291384 16494737.0 10.3201/eid1201.050349 a6ahq3nj 0.381394 Atkinson_2020, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Guery_2014 Todd_2013, Field_2010, Baier_2018, Kobayashi_2018
738 Akay_2020 MARKOVIAN RANDOM WALK MODELING AND VISUALIZATION OF THE EPIDEMIC SPREAD OF COVID-19 Haluk Akay; George Barbastathis 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.12.20062927 fetbio7q 0.381132 Li_C_2018, Buseh_2015, Lu_J_2020, Griffiths_2010, Fielding_2014
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741 Upadhyay_2008 Modeling the spread of bird flu and predicting outbreak diversity Upadhyay, Ranjit Kumar; Kumari, Nitu; Rao, V. Sree Hari 2008 2008-09-30 PMC N PMC7105027 10.1016/j.nonrwa.2007.04.009 lw0cv74b 0.380402 Lu_P_2016, Walker_2010, UNKNOWN_2010, Webster_2006, Cinti_2005 Rao_V_2013, Wong_2007, Van_Hoeven_2009, Halpin_2014
742 López‐García_2019 A Multicompartment SIS Stochastic Model with Zonal Ventilation for the Spread of Nosocomial Infections: Detection, Outbreak Management, and Infection Control López‐García, Martín; King, Marco‐Felipe; Noakes, Catherine J. 2019 2019-03-29 None N PMC6850612 30925211.0 10.1111/risa.13300 lm4rfabw 0.380002 Li_C_2018, Mondor_2012, Guery_2014, Wu_Q_2014 Safi_2011, Bing-Yuan_2018, Denphedtnong_2013, Milazzo_2011
743 Liu_X_2020 Modeling the situation of COVID-19 and effects of different containment strategies in China with dynamic differential equations and parameters estimation Xiuli Liu; Geoffrey J.D. Hewings; Shouyang Wang; Minghui Qin; Xin Xiang; Shan Zheng; Xuefeng Li 2020 2020-03-13 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.03.09.20033498 z9jk1n7o 0.379796 Stenseth_2008, Zheng_2020, Li_C_2018, Mack_2007, Coker_2007 Yuan_2020, Shi_P_2020
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748 Dutra_2020 Estimate of the Maximum Limit of Total Cases of Infected Patients COVID-19 Carlos Maximiliano Dutra; Carlos Augusto Riella de Melo 2020 2020-04-15 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.10.20060822 zrgax3qa 0.378036 Li_C_2018, batista_2020, Polverino_2017, Tao_Y_2020 Ceylan_2013, Lescure_2020, Filho_2020, Raheem_2020
749 Zheng_2020 Comparative study of the lymphocyte change between COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 pneumonia cases suggesting uncontrolled inflammation might not be the main reason of tissue injury Yishan Zheng; Zhen Huang; Guoping Ying; Xia Zhang; Wei Ye; Zhiliang Hu; Chunmei Hu; Hongxia Wei; Yi Zeng; Yun Chi; Cong Cheng; Feishen Lin; Hu Lu; Lingyan Xiao; Yan Song; Chunming Wang; Yongxiang Yi; Lei Dong 2020 2020-02-23 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.02.19.20024885 5ge7ozpd 0.377507 Mooney_2013, Murray_2017, Lipsitch_2014, Stenseth_2008 Rendon_2016, Heydari_2020, Tang_2020
750 Rajendrakumar_2020 Epidemic Landscape and Forecasting of SARS-CoV-2 in India Aravind Lathika Rajendrakumar; Anand Thakarakkattil Narayanan Nair; Charvi Nangia; Prabal Kumar Chourasia; Mehul Kumar Chourasia; Mohammad Ghouse Syed; Anu Sasidharan Nair; Arun B Nair; Muhammed Shaffi Fazaludeen Koya 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.14.20065151 mjqbvpw2 0.377378 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Kenah_2012, batista_2020, Griette_2020
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756 McLure_2020 Some simple rules for estimating reproduction numbers in the presence of reservoir exposure or imported cases McLure, Angus; Glass, Kathryn 2020 2020-04-15 PMC N 10.1016/j.tpb.2020.04.002 9shnr4ph 0.373797 Li_C_2018, O'Dea_2010, Welch_2011, McCoy_2003, Longdon_2017
757 Wallinga_2004 Different Epidemic Curves for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Reveal Similar Impacts of Control Measures Wallinga, Jacco; Teunis, Peter 2004 2004-09-15 PMC N PMC7110200 15353409.0 10.1093/aje/kwh255 rl6yum7n 0.373389 Mondor_2012, Cinti_2005, Li_C_2018, Chen_2018, Wu_Q_2014 Gumel_2004, Glennon_2020, Kim_Y_2016, Ng_T_2003
758 Fouchet_2009 Using Dynamic Stochastic Modelling to Estimate Population Risk Factors in Infectious Disease: The Example of FIV in 15 Cat Populations Fouchet, David; Leblanc, Guillaume; Sauvage, Frank; Guiserix, Micheline; Poulet, Hervé; Pontier, Dominique 2009 2009-10-16 COMM-USE N PMC2770169 19888418.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0007377 nn09hh29 0.372699 Li_C_2018, O'Dea_2010, Welch_2011, Lumby_2018, Giardina_2017 Reynolds_2019, Berto_2018, Akhmetzhanov_2019
759 Gao_X_2016 Building Ventilation as an Effective Disease Intervention Strategy in a Dense Indoor Contact Network in an Ideal City Gao, Xiaolei; Wei, Jianjian; Lei, Hao; Xu, Pengcheng; Cowling, Benjamin J.; Li, Yuguo 2016 2016-09-09 None N PMC5017609 27611368.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0162481 zl6su36n 0.372178 Mack_2007, Zhou_2020, Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Stenseth_2008 Zhang_2019, Zhang_2018, dos_Santos_2018, Wu_Y_2016
760 Duffey_2020 Analysing recovery from pandemics by Learning Theory: the case of CoVid-19 Romney B. Duffey; Enrico Zio 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.10.20060319 mh7mzuoe 0.371932 Mack_2007, Mondor_2012, Wu_Q_2014, Guery_2014, Li_C_2018 Punn_2020, Distante_2020, Smeets_2020, Rabaa_2015
761 Webb_2020 A model to predict COVID-19 epidemics with applications to South Korea, Italy, and Spain Glenn F Webb; Pierre Magal; Zhihua Liu; Ousmane Seydi 2020 2020-04-10 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.07.20056945 c95lntyp 0.371932 Li_C_2018, Guery_2014, Wang_2014, Pai_M_2006 Yong_2016, Smeets_2020, Filho_2020
762 Peak_2018 Prolonging herd immunity to cholera via vaccination: Accounting for human mobility and waning vaccine effects Peak, Corey M.; Reilly, Amanda L.; Azman, Andrew S.; Buckee, Caroline O. 2018 2018-02-28 COMM-USE N PMC5847240 29489815.0 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006257 5yn52cuh 0.371911 Azman_2016, Mooney_2013, Czako_2015, Cinti_2005, Tripp_2014 Wu_J_2016, Wu_J_2016, Chin_2019, Porco_2004
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764 Rana_2013 Paradox of enrichment: A fractional differential approach with memory Rana, Sourav; Bhattacharya, Sabyasachi; Pal, Joydeep; N’Guérékata, Gaston M.; Chattopadhyay, Joydev 2013 2013-09-01 PMC N PMC7127129 10.1016/j.physa.2013.03.061 amqs5lb6 0.371450 Bocharov_2018, Krause_2007, Leach_2010, Bifolchi_2013, Chowell_2017 Hünemeier_2012, Siekmann_2018, Getz_2019, Samanta_2020
765 Britton_2020 Basic prediction methodology for covid-19: estimation and sensitivity considerations Tom Britton 2020 2020-03-30 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.03.27.20045575 hsgzkpg4 0.371289 Bocharov_2018, Li_C_2018, Lloyd_2009, O'Dea_2010, Zheng_2020 Safi_2011, Bucini_2019, Cotta_2020, Loberg_2020
766 Xu_F_2013 Spatial spread of an epidemic through public transportation systems with a hub Xu, Fei; Connell McCluskey, C.; Cressman, Ross 2013 2013-11-30 PMC N PMC7094585 24018293.0 10.1016/j.mbs.2013.08.014 ras60580 0.371108 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, van_Helden_2013, Li_C_2018 Zhang_2019, Denphedtnong_2013, Ruan_2015, Nakata_2014
767 Mok_W_2007 Non-Molecular-Clock-Like Evolution following Viral Origins in Homo sapiens Mok, Wendy; Seto, Kelly; Stone, Jon 2007 2007-09-26 COMM-USE N PMC2684125 19461973.0 23yi8so0 0.370863 Bocharov_2018, Zheng_2020, Chowell_2017, Polverino_2017, Chang_2011 Hayward_2018
768 Oliveiros_2020 Role of temperature and humidity in the modulation of the doubling time of COVID-19 cases Barbara Oliveiros; Liliana Caramelo; Nuno C Ferreira; Francisco Caramelo 2020 2020-03-08 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.05.20031872 qz2joxys 0.370861 Li_C_2018, batista_2020, Polverino_2017, Mondor_2012, Knipl_2016 Pirouz_2020, Ma_Y_2020, Li_J_2020, Hu_W_2018
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770 Kim_T_2019 Forecasting respiratory infectious outbreaks using ED-based syndromic surveillance for febrile ED visits in a Metropolitan City Kim, Tae Han; Hong, Ki Jeong; Shin, Sang Do; Park, Gwan Jin; Kim, Sungwan; Hong, Nhayoung 2019 2019-02-28 PMC N PMC7126969 29779674.0 10.1016/j.ajem.2018.05.007 l8zk75yh 0.369889 Laurens_2019, Naga_2015, Esswein_2004, Rodier_2007, Afilalo_2012 Wu_T_2008, Jeong_2017, Glennon_2020
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774 Li_R_2017 Inference and forecast of H7N9 influenza in China, 2013 to 2015 Li, Ruiyun; Bai, Yuqi; Heaney, Alex; Kandula, Sasikiran; Cai, Jun; Zhao, Xuyi; Xu, Bing; Shaman, Jeffrey 2017 2017-02-16 PMC N PMC5322186 28230525.0 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2017.22.7.30462 dv3o8dl3 0.368486 Lu_P_2016, Walker_2010, Karlsson_2012, Webster_2006, Cinti_2005 Wong_2006, Li_H_2015, Chowell_2013
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786 Lin_S_2020 Research on the Influence of Effective Distance Between Cities on the Cross-regional Transmission of COVID-19 Shanlang Lin; Yanning Qiao; Junpei Huang; Na Yan 2020 2020-03-30 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.27.20044958 dxtbp4kd 0.364714 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Stenseth_2008, Galea_2005 dos_Santos_2018, Shanlang_2020, Ribeiro_2020, Jin_G_2020
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788 Cao_Z_2010 Spatio-temporal evolution of Beijing 2003 SARS epidemic Cao, ZhiDong; Zeng, DaJun; Zheng, XiaoLong; Wang, QuanYi; Wang, FeiYue; Wang, JinFeng; Wang, XiaoLi 2010 2010-05-12 PMC N PMC7104599 10.1007/s11430-010-0043-x sxwwi4zq 0.364563 Li_C_2018, Zhou_2020, Griffiths_2010, Buseh_2015, Fielding_2014 Cao_C_2016, Hu_B_2012, Hu_B_2012, Hou_J_2020
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791 JEONG_2017 Persistent infections support maintenance of a coronavirus in a population of Australian bats (Myotis macropus) JEONG, J.; SMITH, C. S.; PEEL, A. J.; PLOWRIGHT, R. K.; KERLIN, D. H.; MCBROOM, J.; MCCALLUM, H. 2017 2017-05-22 None N PMC5776035 28528587.0 10.1017/s0950268817000991 3rlazwsy 0.361841 Karlsson_2012, Lu_P_2016, Fauci_2006, Kuiken_2011, Grewelle_2020 Colombi_2019, Plowright_2016, Epstein_2013, Becker_2019
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797 Lee_P_2010 Quantitative mapping of patented technology — The case of electrical conducting polymer nanocomposite Lee, Pei-Chun; Su, Hsin-Ning; Wu, Feng-Shang 2010 2010-03-31 PMC N PMC7127399 10.1016/j.techfore.2009.08.006 yoj0sclk 0.357843 Lipsitch_2014, Murray_2017, Diallo_2016, UNKNOWN_2010 Lee_P_2011, Su_H_2012, Diallo_2016, Fu_H_2013
798 Brienen_2010 The Effect of Mask Use on the Spread of Influenza During a Pandemic Brienen, Nicole C. J.; Timen, Aura; Wallinga, Jacco; Van Steenbergen, Jim E.; Teunis, Peter F. M. 2010 2010-05-20 PMC N PMC7169241 20497389.0 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01428.x mfb2or98 0.357743 Wu_Q_2014, Luke_2010, Karlsson_2012, Volmer_2010
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803 Andraud_2014 Early-Life Hepatitis E Infection in Pigs: The Importance of Maternally-Derived Antibodies Andraud, Mathieu; Casas, Maribel; Pavio, Nicole; Rose, Nicolas 2014 2014-08-21 COMM-USE N PMC4140806 25144763.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0105527 ey5xmb8a 0.356264 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Karlsson_2012, Welch_2011, Li_W_2012 Parreño_2004, Marlier_2006, Gerber_1990, Berto_2018
804 Zhang_2020 Predicting turning point, duration and attack rate of COVID-19 outbreaks in major Western countries Zhang, Xiaolei; Ma, Renjun; Wang, Lin 2020 2020-04-20 PMC Y 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109829 v7hmc9sj 0.355785 UNKNOWN_2010, Mondor_2012, Stenseth_2008, batista_2020, Li_C_2018
805 Valdazo-González_2015 The impact of within-herd genetic variation upon inferred transmission trees for foot-and-mouth disease virus Valdazo-González, Begoña; Kim, Jan T.; Soubeyrand, Samuel; Wadsworth, Jemma; Knowles, Nick J.; Haydon, Daniel T.; King, Donald P. 2015 2015-06-30 PMC N PMC7106308 25861750.0 10.1016/j.meegid.2015.03.032 xb480fly 0.355217 Chang_2011, Wang_2013, Zheng_2008, Lee_C_2017, Giardina_2017 Cottam_2008
806 Roy_A_2020 Nature of transmission of Covid19 in India Anushree Roy; Sayan Kar 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.14.20065821 iv7dok0v 0.354297 Li_C_2018, Gong_2013, Welch_2011, Polverino_2017, Sadun_2020
807 Anastassopoulou_2020 Data-Based Analysis, Modelling and Forecasting of the COVID-19 outbreak Cleo Anastassopoulou; Lucia Russo; Athanasios Tsakris; Constantinos Siettos 2020 2020-02-13 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.11.20022186 ssdx8xwi 0.354228 Pearson_2020, Tomie_2020, Li_C_2018, Scheuerl_2020, Dutra_2020 Anastassopoulou_2020, Zareie_2020, Filho_2020, Roosa_2020
808 Distante_2020 Forecasting Covid-19 Outbreak Progression in Italian Regions: A model based on neural network training from Chinese data Cosimo Distante; Igor Gadelha Pereira; Luiz Marcos Garcia Goncalves; Prisco Piscitelli; Alessandro Miani 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.09.20059055 azpz6e7q 0.354140 Li_C_2018, Liu_Z_2020, Griette_2020, batista_2020, batista_2020 Li_M_2020, Zhan_2020, Caccavo_2020
809 Sun_G_2016 Pattern transitions in spatial epidemics: Mechanisms and emergent properties Sun, Gui-Quan; Jusup, Marko; Jin, Zhen; Wang, Yi; Wang, Zhen 2016 2016-12-31 PMC N PMC7105263 27567502.0 10.1016/j.plrev.2016.08.002 qcesepj6 0.353630 UNKNOWN_2004, Alves_2007, UNKNOWN_2019, Matthews_2020, Krause_2007 Kubiak_2010, Kilpatrick_2012, Chowell_2015
810 Sippl-Swezey_2014 Conflicts of Interest during Contact Investigations: A Game-Theoretic Analysis Sippl-Swezey, Nicolas; Enanoria, Wayne T.; Porco, Travis C. 2014 2014-04-14 COMM-USE N PMC4052784 24982688.0 10.1155/2014/952381 1zu3kquc 0.353515 Looker_2006, Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Ropeik_2004 House_2010, Zhang_2011
811 Wood_2007 Effects of Internal Border Control on Spread of Pandemic Influenza Wood, James G.; Zamani, Nasim; MacIntyre, C. Raina; Becker, Niels G. 2007 2007-07-23 None N PMC2878213 18214176.0 10.3201/eid1307.060740 8d4f4gmw 0.352290 Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Mack_2007, Zhou_2020, Kruk_2008 Camitz_2006, Ribeiro_2020, Chin_2019, Liu_H_2020
812 Blumberg_2014 Detecting Differential Transmissibilities That Affect the Size of Self-Limited Outbreaks Blumberg, Seth; Funk, Sebastian; Pulliam, Juliet R. C. 2014 2014-10-30 None N PMC4214794 25356657.0 10.1371/journal.ppat.1004452 uxq43me8 0.352052 Lu_P_2016, Karlsson_2012, Buseh_2015, Fauci_2006, Brucker_2020 Kucharski_2015, Kretzschmar_2020, Safi_2011, Rabaa_2015
813 Zhao_2020 Modelling the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak on the Diamond Princess ship using the public surveillance data from January 20 to February 20, 2020 Shi Zhao; Peihua Cao; Daozhou Gao; Zian Zhuang; Marc Chong; Yongli Cai; Jinjun Ran; Kai Wang; Yijun Lou; Weiming Wang; Lin Yang; Daihai He; Maggie H Wang 2020 2020-02-29 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.26.20028449 onkdv388 0.351902 UNKNOWN_2010, Mack_2007, Polverino_2017, Walker_2010, Wiwanitkit_2014 Yong_2016, Xia_W_2020, Chinazzi_2020, Alagaili_2014
814 Neher_2020 Potential impact of seasonal forcing on a SARS-CoV-2 pandemic Richard A Neher; Robert Dyrdak; Valentin Druelle; Emma B Hodcroft; Jan Albert 2020 2020-02-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.13.20022806 3p2dl8yf 0.351746 Li_C_2018, Guan_2013, Karlsson_2012, Lu_P_2016, Cinti_2005 Rockx_2020, Deng_2020, OKBA_2020
815 Weissman_2020 Locally Informed Simulation to Predict Hospital Capacity Needs During the COVID-19 Pandemic Weissman, Gary E.; Crane-Droesch, Andrew; Chivers, Corey; Luong, ThaiBinh; Hanish, Asaf; Levy, Michael Z.; Lubken, Jason; Becker, Michael; Draugelis, Michael E.; Anesi, George L.; Brennan, Patrick J.; Christie, Jason D.; Hanson III, C. William; Mikkelsen, Mark E.; Halpern, Scott D. 2020 2020-04-07 None Y PMC7153364 32259197.0 10.7326/m20-1260 jkyltjap 0.351242 Rodier_2007, Laurens_2019, Griffiths_2010, Amirov_2007, Fielding_2014 Massonnaud_2020, Zhang_2020, Castro_2020
816 Wang_2019 Coevolution spreading in complex networks Wang, Wei; Liu, Quan-Hui; Liang, Junhao; Hu, Yanqing; Zhou, Tao 2019 2019-08-02 PMC N PMC7154519 10.1016/j.physrep.2019.07.001 81db26tm 0.351117 UNKNOWN_2004, Matthews_2020, Duan_2015, Johnson_2018 Zhan_2018, Van_Segbroeck_2010, Kan_J_2017, Pacheco_2017
817 Archer_2012 Reproductive Number and Serial Interval of the First Wave of Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 Virus in South Africa Archer, Brett N.; Tempia, Stefano; White, Laura F.; Pagano, Marcello; Cohen, Cheryl 2012 2012-11-16 COMM-USE N PMC3500305 23166682.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0049482 9voqa1oy 0.350987 Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Largo_2016, Abou-Hamdan_2018, Choudhury_2011, David_2013 Jing_2020, Hilton_2020, Liu_J_2017, El-Kafrawy_2019
818 Wang_2004 Simulating the SARS outbreak in Beijing with limited data Wang, Wendi; Ruan, Shigui 2004 2004-04-07 PMC N PMC7134597 15019504.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2003.11.014 eb8ysg2b 0.350972 Griette_2020, Bifolchi_2013, Chang_2011, Renna_2020 Gumel_2004, Zhang_2005, Zhang_2007, Chowell_2003
819 Elghafghuf_2014 A cross-classified and multiple membership Cox model applied to calf mortality data Elghafghuf, Adel; Stryhn, Henrik; Waldner, Cheryl 2014 2014-07-01 PMC N PMC7114250 24703248.0 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2014.03.012 vytal7tz 0.350926 Griette_2020, Höhle_2007, Zhao_2013, Saw_A_2019 Waltner-Toews_1986, Maier_2019, Waltner-Toews_1986, Waltner-Toews_1986
820 Uribe-Sánchez_2010 Two resource distribution strategies for dynamic mitigation of influenza pandemics Uribe-Sánchez, Andrés; Savachkin, Alex 2010 2010-07-07 PMC N PMC3004603 21197356.0 s21obnqy 0.350791 Coker_2007, Mwabu_2008, Griffiths_2010, Wei_B_2011, Zhou_2020 Uribe-Sánchez_2011, Uribe-Sánchez_2011, Jenny_2020, Hollingsworth_2011
821 Lloyd-Smith_2015 Nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens Lloyd-Smith, James O.; Funk, Sebastian; McLean, Angela R.; Riley, Steven; Wood, James L.N. 2015 2015-03-23 PMC N PMC4715032 25843380.0 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.09.002 w08xqf1g 0.350193 UNKNOWN_2004, Bauer_2009, Tong_2011, Duan_2015 Scarpino_2016, Tong_2011, Fauci_2006
822 Hackl_2020 Modeling the COVID-19 pandemic - parameter identification and reliability of predictions Klaus Hackl 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.07.20056937 osez25uj 0.350131 Zheng_2020, Polverino_2017, Bocharov_2018, Mooney_2013 Smeets_2020, Zareie_2020, Peng_2020, Ghaffarzadegan_2020
823 Peirlinck_2020 Outbreak dynamics of COVID-19 in China and the United States Mathias Peirlinck; Francisco Sahli Costabal; Kevin Linka; Ellen Kuhl 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.06.20055863 r0qzv3en 0.349457 Buseh_2015, Mondor_2012, UNKNOWN_2010, Griffiths_2010, Lu_J_2020 Yuan_2020, Skums_2020, Filho_2020
824 Cori_2017 Key data for outbreak evaluation: building on the Ebola experience Cori, Anne; Donnelly, Christl A.; Dorigatti, Ilaria; Ferguson, Neil M.; Fraser, Christophe; Garske, Tini; Jombart, Thibaut; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Nouvellet, Pierre; Riley, Steven; Van Kerkhove, Maria D.; Mills, Harriet L.; Blake, Isobel M. 2017 2017-05-26 COMM-USE N PMC5394647 28396480.0 10.1098/rstb.2016.0371 12t247bn 0.348247 Buseh_2015, Griffiths_2010, Zhou_2020, Knapp_2008, Ross_2015 Rabaa_2015, Glennon_2020, Chowell_2014, Park_2016
825 Zhang_2019 Willingness to Self-Isolate When Facing a Pandemic Risk: Model, Empirical Test, and Policy Recommendations Zhang, Xiaojun; Wang, Fanfan; Zhu, Changwen; Wang, Zhiqiang 2019 2019-12-27 COMM-USE N PMC6981847 31892171.0 10.3390/ijerph17010197 2sxy3spd 0.347532 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Looker_2006, Amirov_2007 Zhang_2011, Hickey_2014, Milne_2020, Weitz_2020
826 Collinson_2015 The Effects of Media Reports on Disease Spread and Important Public Health Measurements Collinson, Shannon; Khan, Kamran; Heffernan, Jane M. 2015 2015-11-03 COMM-USE N PMC4631512 26528909.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0141423 bln4808g 0.346914 Zhou_2020, Griffiths_2010, Mwabu_2008, Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007 Kim_L_2019, Mummert_2013, Zhou_2019
827 Bucini_2019 Risk Attitudes Affect Livestock Biosecurity Decisions With Ramifications for Disease Control in a Simulated Production System Bucini, Gabriela; Merrill, Scott C.; Clark, Eric; Moegenburg, Susan M.; Zia, Asim; Koliba, Christopher J.; Wiltshire, Serge; Trinity, Luke; Smith, Julia M. 2019 2019-06-25 None N PMC6604760 31294037.0 10.3389/fvets.2019.00196 obzi61sa 0.346746 Mack_2007, Zhou_2020, Ropeik_2004, Mwabu_2008, Coker_2007 Rabaa_2015, Breed_2006, Akhmetzhanov_2019, Delabouglise_2017
828 Siwiak_2020 From a single host to global spread. The global mobility based modelling of the COVID-19 pandemic implies higher infection and lower detection rates than current estimates. Marlena M Siwiak; Pawel Szczesny; Marian P Siwiak 2020 2020-03-23 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.21.20040444 udtj0lom 0.346473 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Wu_Q_2014, Lloyd_2009, Chen_2018 Kretzschmar_2020, Hou_J_2020, Santamaria_2020
829 Cauchemez_2013 Using Routine Surveillance Data to Estimate the Epidemic Potential of Emerging Zoonoses: Application to the Emergence of US Swine Origin Influenza A H3N2v Virus Cauchemez, Simon; Epperson, Scott; Biggerstaff, Matthew; Swerdlow, David; Finelli, Lyn; Ferguson, Neil M. 2013 2013-03-05 COMM-USE N PMC3589342 23472057.0 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001399 16c8dwfq 0.346277 UNKNOWN_2010, Stenseth_2008, Wiwanitkit_2014, Mack_2007, Guery_2014 Rabaa_2015, Berto_2018, Dias_2019, Lo_Iacono_2015
830 Merrin_2020 Differences in power-law growth over time and indicators of COVID-19 pandemic progression worldwide Jack Merrin 2020 2020-04-02 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.31.20048827 rc88vn6e 0.345928 Stenseth_2008, Li_C_2018, Crisp_2011, Zhou_2020, Griffiths_2010 Utsunomiya_2020, Wodarz_2020, Weber_2020, Santamaria_2020
831 Sebastiani_2006 A Bayesian dynamic model for influenza surveillance Sebastiani, Paola; Mandl, Kenneth D.; Szolovits, Peter; Kohane, Isaac S.; Ramoni, Marco F. 2006 2006-01-01 PMC N PMC4128871 16645996.0 10.1002/sim.2566 wgrsaf0k 0.345494 Walker_2010, Brucker_2020, Santos-Preciado_2009, Cinti_2005 Glennon_2020, Huang_2014, Huang_2015
832 Kwok_2019 Epidemic Models of Contact Tracing: Systematic Review of Transmission Studies of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Kwok, Kin On; Tang, Arthur; Wei, Vivian W.I.; Park, Woo Hyun; Yeoh, Eng Kiong; Riley, Steven 2019 2019-01-26 None N PMC6376160 30809323.0 10.1016/j.csbj.2019.01.003 d7lvxtxy 0.345025 Griffiths_2010, Buseh_2015, Coker_2007, Knapp_2008, Rodier_2007 Grant_2019, Kretzschmar_2020
833 Nishiura_2009 Smallpox and Season: Reanalysis of Historical Data Nishiura, Hiroshi; Kashiwagi, Tomoko 2009 2009-01-04 COMM-USE N PMC2648660 19266090.0 10.1155/2009/591935 e666nvl3 0.344709 Scheuerl_2020, Mondor_2012, Chen_2018, Li_C_2018 PÁEZ_2017, Schakau_2019, Spear_2012
834 Khan_2020 Modeling the dynamics of novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) with fractional derivative Khan, Muhammad Altaf; Atangana, Abdon 2020 2020-03-14 PMC Y 10.1016/j.aej.2020.02.033 ujyukdqu 0.344353 Polverino_2017, Stenseth_2008, Zheng_2020, Li_C_2018, Bocharov_2018 Yin_T_2020, Pedersen_2014, Wu_H_2016, Park_2007
835 Zheng_2018 Can long-term historical data from electronic medical records improve surveillance for epidemics of acute respiratory infections? A systematic evaluation Zheng, Hongzhang; Woodall, William H.; Carlson, Abigail L.; DeLisle, Sylvain 2018 2018-01-31 COMM-USE N PMC5791979 29385161.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0191324 s17vz7vf 0.344051 Mondor_2012, Zhou_2020, Stenseth_2008, Lu_J_2020, Chowell_2017 Zheng_2014, Kim_T_2019, van_den_Wijngaard_2010, Glennon_2020
836 Fountain‐Jones_2019 Endemic infection can shape exposure to novel pathogens: Pathogen co‐occurrence networks in the Serengeti lions Fountain‐Jones, Nicholas M.; Packer, Craig; Jacquot, Maude; Blanchet, F. Guillaume; Terio, Karen; Craft, Meggan E. 2019 2019-03-12 PMC N PMC7163671 30861289.0 10.1111/ele.13250 vsl5k392 0.344019 Fauci_2006, Brucker_2020, Han_B_2016, Wardeh_2020, Hayman_2013
837 Chin_2019 Quantifying the success of measles vaccination campaigns in the Rohingya refugee camps Taylor Chin; Caroline O. Buckee; Ayesha S. Mahmud 2019 2019-10-05 BioRxiv N 10.1101/19008417 vok1dni9 0.343704 Fielding_2014, Buseh_2015, Griffiths_2010, Azman_2016, Kruk_2008 Shetty_2019, Turner_2010, Ergönül_2020, Yuan_2020
838 Zhao_2020 Spreading predictability in complex networks Na Zhao; Jian Wang; Yong Yu; Jun-Yan Zhao; Duan-Bing Chen 2020 2020-01-28 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.01.28.922757 635lbedk 0.343258 Bocharov_2018, Polverino_2017, Mack_2007, Looker_2006 Scarpino_2019, Yuan_2015, Wu_Q_2014, Liu_Y_2016
839 Carrasco_2013 Trends in parameterization, economics and host behaviour in influenza pandemic modelling: a review and reporting protocol Carrasco, Luis R; Jit, Mark; Chen, Mark I; Lee, Vernon J; Milne, George J; Cook, Alex R 2013 2013-05-07 COMM-USE N PMC3666982 23651557.0 10.1186/1742-7622-10-3 fhn8psco 0.342612 Duan_2015, Skrip_2019, Zhou_2020, Griffiths_2010, Bauer_2009 Bucini_2019, Uribe-Sánchez_2011, Prieto_2012, Wu_J_2011
840 Siva-Jothy_2019 Dissecting genetic and sex-specific host heterogeneity in pathogen transmission potential Jonathon A. Siva-Jothy; Pedro F. Vale 2019 2019-08-14 BioRxiv N 10.1101/733915 0v5q4kp9 0.342485 Holmes_2007, Grewelle_2020, Fauci_2006, Trobaugh_2017 Tibayrenc_2015, Ferris_2013, Brook_2020, Becker_2019
841 Voinson_2018 Stochastic dynamics of an epidemic with recurrent spillovers from an endemic reservoir Voinson, Marina; Alvergne, Alexandra; Billiard, Sylvain; Smadi, Charline 2018 2018-11-14 PMC N PMC7094102 30121292.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2018.08.017 g4bsul8u 0.342374 Fauci_2006, de_Graaf_2017, Brucker_2020, Lu_P_2016, Grewelle_2020 Voinson_2017, Kreuder_Johnson_2015, Plowright_2016, Rabaa_2015
842 Zheng_2009 A Poisson model of sequence comparison and its application to coronavirus phylogeny Zheng, Xiaoqi; Qin, Yufang; Wang, Jun 2009 2009-02-28 PMC N PMC7094598 19073197.0 10.1016/j.mbs.2008.11.006 8qnq02gd 0.342221 Chang_2011, Zheng_2008, Saw_A_2019, Qi_Z_2018 Sheikh_2020, Kusters_1989, Li_Z_2013, Jeong_2005
843 Danon_2020 A spatial model of CoVID-19 transmission in England and Wales: early spread and peak timing Leon Danon; Ellen Brooks-Pollock; Mick Bailey; Matt J Keeling 2020 2020-02-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.12.20022566 x4qdiln9 0.341663 Mondor_2012, Li_C_2018, Chen_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Liu_Z_2020 Hou_J_2020, Kretzschmar_2020, Yuan_2020, Reeves_2015
844 Seo_I_2015 Web-based forecasting system for the airborne spread of livestock infectious disease using computational fluid dynamics Seo, Il-hwan; Lee, In-bok; Hong, Se-woon; Noh, Hyun-seok; Park, Joo-hyun 2015 2015-01-31 PMC N 10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2014.10.004 aiucp2vw 0.341168 Mack_2007, Lu_J_2020, Coker_2007, Zhou_2020, Stenseth_2008 Bucini_2019, Murray_2011, Delabouglise_2017, Vynograd_2014
845 Zhao_2020 A Social Network Model of the COVID-19 Pandemic Pei Jun Zhao 2020 2020-03-27 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.23.20041798 ogqsi3ns 0.341039 Mack_2007, Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Lu_J_2020 Milne_2020, Hilton_2020, Zhang_2020
846 Rader_2020 Crowding and the epidemic intensity of COVID-19 transmission Benjamin Rader; Samuel Scarpino; Anjalika Nande; Alison Hill; Benjamin Dalziel; Robert Reiner; David Pigott; Bernardo Gutierrez; Munik Shrestha; John Brownstein; Marcia Castro; Huaiyu Tian; Bryan Grenfell; Oliver Pybus; Jessica Metcalf; Moritz U.G. Kraemer 2020 2020-04-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.15.20064980 iy1enazk 0.340365 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Buseh_2015, Fielding_2014, Kruk_2008
847 Marchant_2020 Learning as We Go: An Examination of the Statistical Accuracy of COVID19 Daily Death Count Predictions Roman Marchant; Noelle I Samia; Ori Rosen; Martin A Tanner; Sally Cripps 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.11.20062257 ijac68gh 0.339318 Rodier_2007, Murray_2017, Griffiths_2010, Lipsitch_2014, Fielding_2014
848 Fountain-Jones_2019 How to make more from exposure data? An integrated machine learning pipeline to predict pathogen exposure Nicholas Fountain-Jones; Gustavo Machado; Scott Carver; Craig Packer; Mariana Mendoza; Meggan E Craft 2019 2019-03-06 BioRxiv N 10.1101/569012 jc5c87b9 0.339112 Bocharov_2018, Leach_2010, Bifolchi_2013, Gamermann_2014, Castrignano_2015 Yin_W_2015, Wardeh_2020, Bucini_2019, Brierley_2019
849 Chen_2020 A mathematical model for simulating the transmission of Wuhan novel Coronavirus Tianmu Chen; Jia Rui; Qiupeng Wang; Zeyu Zhao; Jing-An Cui; Ling Yin 2020 2020-01-19 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.01.19.911669 v4mbry22 0.339081 UNKNOWN_2010, Rodier_2007, Walker_2010, Lu_P_2016, Buseh_2015 Yin_T_2020, Yong_2016, Zhao_2007, Park_2007
850 Zhang_2020 Dynamic Estimation of Epidemiological Parameters of COVID-19 Outbreak and Effects of Interventions on Its Spread Hongzhe Zhang; Xiaohang Zhao; Kexin Yin; Yiren Yan; Wei Qian; Bintong Chen; Xiao Fang 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.01.20050310 ff4937mj 0.339036 Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Zhuang_2020, Du_Z_2020, Abou-Hamdan_2018, David_2013 Hou_J_2020, Filho_2020, Yuan_2020, Nishiura_2007
851 Yin_W_2015 From genome-scale data to models of infectious disease: a Bayesian network-based strategy to drive model development Yin, Weiwei; Kissinger, Jessica C.; Moreno, Alberto; Galinski, Mary R.; Styczynski, Mark P. 2015 2015-12-01 PMC N PMC4679518 26093035.0 10.1016/j.mbs.2015.06.006 e89d3r95 0.339036 Bocharov_2018, Gamermann_2014, Sen_D_2018, UNKNOWN_2004 Campbell_2019, Baele_2016, Cottam_2008, Jombart_2014
852 Moghadami_2020 Modeling the Corona Virus Outbreak in IRAN Maryam Moghadami; Maryam Moghadami; Mohammad Hassanzadeh; ka wa; Aziz Hedayati; Mila Malekolkalami 2020 2020-03-27 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.24.20041095 f3qeoyvf 0.339010 Stenseth_2008, Li_C_2018, Mack_2007, Polverino_2017, Looker_2006 Bhola_2020, Xia_W_2020
853 White_2008 Transmissibility of the Influenza Virus in the 1918 Pandemic White, Laura Forsberg; Pagano, Marcello 2008 2008-01-30 COMM-USE N PMC2204055 18231585.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0001498 gaemgm0t 0.338904 Li_C_2018, Cinti_2005, Mondor_2012, Mack_2007, Griffiths_2010 Poletti_2011, Zambon_2005
854 Roosa_2020 Short-term Forecasts of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Guangdong and Zhejiang, China: February 13–23, 2020 Roosa, Kimberlyn; Lee, Yiseul; Luo, Ruiyan; Kirpich, Alexander; Rothenberg, Richard; Hyman, James M.; Yan, Ping; Chowell, Gerardo 2020 2020-02-22 COMM-USE Y PMC7073898 32098289.0 10.3390/jcm9020596 5ghslfgt 0.338778 Griffiths_2010, Lim_T_2012, Buseh_2015, UNKNOWN_2010, Rodier_2007 Roosa_2020, Li_M_2020, Distante_2020
855 Bandoy_2020 Pandemic dynamics of COVID-19 using epidemic stage, instantaneous reproductive number and pathogen genome identity (GENI) score: modeling molecular epidemiology DJ Darwin R Bandoy; Bart C Weimer 2020 2020-03-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.17.20037481 sz26gchn 0.338369 Li_C_2018, Chang_2011, Giardina_2017, Cheng_2012, Lumby_2018 Zhu_Y_2005, Ren_X_2008, Kim_W_2016
856 Fenga_2020 Forecasting the CoViD19 Diffusion in Italy and the Related Occupancy of Intensive Care Units Livio Fenga 2020 2020-04-01 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.30.20047894 4ffbqpkk 0.337724 Rodier_2007, Stenseth_2008, Griffiths_2010, Lipsitch_2014, UNKNOWN_2010 Massonnaud_2020, Tuite_2020, Pecoraro_2020, Filho_2020
857 Ohkusa_2005 Prediction of smallpox outbreak and evaluation of control-measure policy in Japan, using a mathematical model Ohkusa, Yasushi; Taniguchi, Kiyosu; Okubo, Ichiro 2005 2005-12-31 None N PMC7087876 15856374.0 10.1007/s10156-005-0373-3 1kpooq3j 0.337144 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Griffiths_2010, Coker_2007, Kruk_2008 Chin_2019, Yuan_2020, Kretzschmar_2004, Safi_2011
858 Xiao_2012 Influence of extreme weather and meteorological anomalies on outbreaks of influenza A (H1N1) Xiao, Hong; Tian, HuaiYu; Lin, XiaoLing; Gao, LiDong; Dai, XiangYu; Zhang, XiXing; Chen, BiYun; Zhao, Jian; Xu, JingZhe 2012 2012-12-29 COMM-USE N PMC7088951 10.1007/s11434-012-5571-7 b0wd2jd3 0.336985 Walker_2010, Lu_P_2016, Cinti_2005, Brucker_2020, Yin_J_2013 Firestone_2012, dos_Santos_2018, Chowell_2012, Pirouz_2020
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860 Martens_2011 Interfering Waves of Adaptation Promote Spatial Mixing Martens, Erik A.; Hallatschek, Oskar 2011 2011-11-23 PMC N PMC3213383 21900264.0 10.1534/genetics.111.130112 hzu4c8ls 0.336065 Simon-Loriere_2011, Li_C_2018, McCoy_2003, Welch_2011, Chang_2011 Somovilla_2019, Hünemeier_2012, Bull_2008, Becker_2019
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863 Bauer_2009 Agent-based modeling of host–pathogen systems: The successes and challenges Bauer, Amy L.; Beauchemin, Catherine A.A.; Perelson, Alan S. 2009 2009-04-29 PMC N 10.1016/j.ins.2008.11.012 qlypp5z6 0.334605 UNKNOWN_2004, Johnson_2018, Duan_2015, Tong_2011 Pipitone_2008, Mohtasham_2004, Capilla_2007
864 Barbosa_2009 Health of Antarctic birds: a review of their parasites, pathogens and diseases Barbosa, Andrés; Palacios, María José 2009 2009-05-12 PMC N PMC7087846 10.1007/s00300-009-0640-3 ps4gcy9o 0.334127 Fauci_2006, Mack_2007, McCoy_2003, Han_B_2016 Becker_2019, Wille_2017, Hayman_2013, Brisson_2011
865 Brett_2017 Anticipating the emergence of infectious diseases Brett, Tobias S.; Drake, John M.; Rohani, Pejman 2017 2017-07-05 COMM-USE N PMC5550966 28679666.0 10.1098/rsif.2017.0115 ewooc2am 0.334096 Bocharov_2018, Gamermann_2014, Bauer_2009, Chowell_2017 Rabaa_2015, Dimitrov_2008, Chen_2019, Esteban_2020
866 Mondal_2020 Fear of exponential growth in Covid19 data of India and future sketching Supriya Mondal; Sabyasachi Ghosh 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.04.09.20058933 xmx35h3z 0.334096 Lim_T_2012, Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Liu_Z_2020, Weber_2020 MONDAL_2020, Christian_2020, Distante_2020, Weber_2020
867 Hu_J_2016 Optimal Data Transmission Strategy for Healthcare-Based Wireless Sensor Networks: A Stochastic Differential Game Approach Hu, Jiahui; Qian, Qing; Fang, An; Wu, Sizhu; Xie, Yi 2016 2016-05-13 PMC N PMC7088864 10.1007/s11277-016-3316-7 lwyeqqvy 0.334014 Bocharov_2018, Mwabu_2008, Alves_2007, von_der_Gracht_2010, Duan_2015 Wu_J_2016, Wu_J_2016, Liu_T_2010
868 Chamberlain_2020 Real-time detection of COVID-19 epicenters within the United States using a network of smart thermometers Samuel D Chamberlain; Inder Singh; Carlos A Ariza; Amy L Daitch; Patrick B Philips; Benjamin D Dalziel 2020 2020-04-10 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.06.20039909 ssjl2w7l 0.334014 Brucker_2020, Mack_2007, Zhou_2020, Kruk_2008, Buseh_2015 Glennon_2020, Xu_B_2020, Silverman_2020, Rabaa_2015
869 Xiong_2016 Weighted multifractal cross-correlation analysis based on Shannon entropy Xiong, Hui; Shang, Pengjian 2016 2016-01-31 PMC N PMC7128505 10.1016/j.cnsns.2015.06.029 geiq55mq 0.333929 Qi_Z_2018, Saw_A_2019, Chang_2011, Zhao_2013, Dai_Q_2012 Tian_2016, Argyroudis_2019, Tao_Y_2020, Pan_J_2008
870 Zhang_2007 The outbreak pattern of SARS cases in China as revealed by a mathematical model Zhang, Zhibin 2007 2007-06-16 PMC N PMC7117038 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.01.020 8fswufnx 0.333894 Kim_D_2016, Wang_2014, Lu_P_2016, Vui_D_2014, Georgiev_2009 Ruan_2008, Zhang_2004, Wang_2020
871 Wittkowski_2020 The first three months of the COVID-19 epidemic: Epidemiological evidence for two separate strains of SARS-CoV-2 viruses spreading and implications for prevention strategies Knut M. Wittkowski 2020 2020-03-31 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.28.20036715 2ytec133 0.333848 Mack_2007, Buseh_2015, Cinti_2005, UNKNOWN_2010, Kreiss_2007 Boni_2020, Zhu_Y_2005, Aly_M_2017, Rockx_2020
872 Fu_Y_2012 Representative Contact Diaries for Modeling the Spread of Infectious Diseases in Taiwan Fu, Yang-chih; Wang, Da-Wei; Chuang, Jen-Hsiang 2012 2012-10-03 COMM-USE N PMC3463600 23056193.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0045113 0lbbiq7u 0.333835 Knapp_2008, Griffiths_2010, Amirov_2007, Rusoke-Dierich_2018, Stenseth_2008 Leung_2017, Stein_2014, Chen_2007, Mossong_2008
873 Tracht_2010 Mathematical Modeling of the Effectiveness of Facemasks in Reducing the Spread of Novel Influenza A (H1N1) Tracht, Samantha M.; Del Valle, Sara Y.; Hyman, James M. 2010 2010-02-10 COMM-USE N PMC2818714 20161764.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0009018 36bfeoqv 0.333822 Walker_2010, Lu_P_2016, Cinti_2005, UNKNOWN_2010, Mooney_2013 Tracht_2012, Worby_2020, Zambon_2005, MacIntyre_2009
874 Yadlowsky_2020 Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Prevalence in Santa Clara County Steve Yadlowsky; Nigam Shah; Jacob Steinhardt 2020 2020-03-27 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.24.20043067 6vt60348 0.333810 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Mack_2007, Lauro_2020, Pearson_2020 Silverman_2020, Filho_2020, Wang_2020, Rockx_2020
875 Vegvari_2016 How Can Viral Dynamics Models Inform Endpoint Measures in Clinical Trials of Therapies for Acute Viral Infections? Vegvari, Carolin; Hadjichrysanthou, Christoforos; Cauët, Emilie; Lawrence, Emma; Cori, Anne; de Wolf, Frank; Anderson, Roy M. 2016 2016-07-01 COMM-USE N PMC4930163 27367230.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0158237 ghknk1tj 0.333787 Lloyd_2009, Lumby_2018, O'Dea_2010, Wu_Q_2014 Lee_F_2011, Kim_K_2020, Wilkinson_2006
876 Liu_P_2020 COVID-19 Progression Timeline and Effectiveness of Response-to-Spread Interventions across the United States Pai Liu; Payton Beeler; Rajan K Chakrabarty 2020 2020-03-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.17.20037770 6ymuovl2 0.333776 Coker_2007, Griffiths_2010, Fielding_2014, Wei_B_2011, Mondor_2012 Kretzschmar_2020, Smeets_2020, Siraj_2020, Roosa_2020
877 Mollalo_2020 GIS-based spatial modeling of COVID-19 incidence rate in the continental United States Mollalo, Abolfazl; Vahedi, Behzad; Rivera, Kiara M. 2020 2020-04-22 PMC Y 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138884 dfg021y0 0.333747 Li_C_2018, Griffiths_2010, Zhou_2020, Galea_2005, Bifolchi_2013
878 LaDeau_2011 Data–model fusion to better understand emerging pathogens and improve infectious disease forecasting LaDeau, Shannon L.; Glass, Gregory E.; Hobbs, N. Thompson; Latimer, Andrew; Ostfeld, Richard S. 2011 2011-07-01 PMC N PMC7163730 21830694.0 10.1890/09-1409.1 meusb794 0.333673 UNKNOWN_2004, Gupta_2009, Alves_2007, Skrip_2019, Bocharov_2018
879 Kawashima_2016 Disease Outbreaks: Critical Biological Factors and Control Strategies Kawashima, Kent; Matsumoto, Tomotaka; Akashi, Hiroshi 2016 2016-05-31 PMC N PMC7122892 10.1007/978-3-319-39812-9_10 zd4v222b 0.331049 Griffiths_2010, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Buseh_2015, Kruk_2008 Rabaa_2015, Vynograd_2014, Bucini_2019, Chowell_2014
880 White_2014 Determining the dynamics of influenza transmission by age White, Laura F; Archer, Brett; Pagano, Marcello 2014 2014-03-21 COMM-USE N PMC3997935 24656239.0 10.1186/1742-7622-11-4 jvdph782 0.330798 Zhou_2020, Stenseth_2008, Walker_2010, Amirov_2007, Buseh_2015 Liu_F_2014, Kucharski_2015, Hou_J_2020, Stein_2014
881 Mahmud_2020 Applying the SEIR Model in Forecasting The COVID-19 Trend in Malaysia: A Preliminary Study Aidalina Mahmud; Poh Ying Lim 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.14.20065607 u4veyaat 0.330650 Rodier_2007, UNKNOWN_2010, Griffiths_2010, Mondor_2012, Buseh_2015
882 Hochberg_2020 Countries should aim to lower the reproduction number R close to 1.0 for the short-term mitigation of COVID-19 outbreaks Michael E. Hochberg 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.14.20065268 f36smzln 0.330650 Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Mwabu_2008, UNKNOWN_2019
883 Getz_2019 A quantitative narrative on movement, disease and patch exploitation in nesting agent groups Wayne M. Getz; Richard Salter; Krti Tallam 2019 2019-10-03 BioRxiv N 10.1101/791400 5gzgfudh 0.330190 Alves_2007, UNKNOWN_2004, Mack_2007, Bocharov_2018, Looker_2006 Vander_Wal_2014, Turmelle_2010, Hayman_2013, Paull_2011
884 Schlickeiser_2020 A Gaussian model for the time development of the Sars-Cov-2 corona pandemic disease. Predictions for Germany made on March 30, 2020 Reinhard Schlickeiser; Frank Schlickeiser 2020 2020-04-02 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.03.31.20048942 0sny9dit 0.329546 batista_2020, Pearson_2020, batista_2020, Griette_2020 Ciufolini_2020, Zou_Y_2020, Traini_2020, Smeets_2020
885 Pais_2020 Predicting the evolution and control of COVID-19 pandemic in Portugal. Ricardo Jorge Pais; Nuno Taveira 2020 2020-03-31 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.28.20046250 a8er8wbg 0.329384 Li_C_2018, Stenseth_2008, Wu_Q_2014, Guery_2014, Lauro_2020 Yong_2016, Esteban_2020, Rabaa_2015, Saif_2020
886 Klinkenberg_2006 The Effectiveness of Contact Tracing in Emerging Epidemics Klinkenberg, Don; Fraser, Christophe; Heesterbeek, Hans 2006 2006-12-20 COMM-USE N PMC1762362 17183638.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0000012 1n0rg5vd 0.328782 Polverino_2017, Mack_2007, Looker_2006, O'Dea_2010, van_der_Weijden_2010 Kretzschmar_2020, House_2010, Armbruster_2007, Hellewell_2020
887 Dropkin_2020 COVID-19 UK Lockdown Forecasts and R0 Greg Dropkin 2020 2020-04-10 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.07.20052340 zc7oxui5 0.327511 Pearson_2020, batista_2020, Schlickeiser_2020, Scheuerl_2020, Liu_Z_2020 Chintalapudi_2020, Kumar_2020, Ganyani_2020
888 Nicolau_2020 Recovery Ratios Reliably Anticipate COVID-19 Pandemic Progression Dan Valeriu Nicolau; Alexander Hasson; Mona Bafadhel 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.09.20059824 c6bc08kw 0.327294 Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Griffiths_2010, Wei_B_2011 Einian_2020, Esteban_2020, Miller_2020, Kim_K_2020
889 Tang_2020 Stochastic discrete epidemic modeling of COVID-19 transmission in the Province of Shaanxi incorporating public health intervention and case importation Sanyi Tang; Biao Tang; Nicola Luigi Bragazzi; Fan Xia; Tangjuan Li; Sha He; Pengyu Ren; Xia Wang; Zhihang Peng; Yanni Xiao; Jianhong Wu 2020 2020-02-29 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.25.20027615 aoqyx8mk 0.326718 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Wu_Q_2014, UNKNOWN_2010, Stenseth_2008 Yuan_2020, Hou_J_2020, Peng_2020
890 Nishiura_2007 Time variations in the transmissibility of pandemic influenza in Prussia, Germany, from 1918–19 Nishiura, Hiroshi 2007 2007-06-04 COMM-USE N PMC1892008 17547753.0 10.1186/1742-4682-4-20 evyniq0v 0.326280 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Kenah_2012, Sadun_2020, Tao_Y_2020 Nishiura_2006, Mostaço-Guidolin_2011, Poletti_2011
891 Kochanczyk_2020 Impact of the contact and exclusion rates on the spread of COVID-19 pandemic Marek Kochanczyk; Frederic Grabowski; Tomasz Lipniacki 2020 2020-03-17 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.03.13.20035485 s956fh59 0.326161 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Tao_Y_2020, Chen_2018, Gong_2013 Kretzschmar_2020, Xia_W_2020, Yuan_2020
892 da_Costa_2018 Spatiotemporal diffusion of influenza A (H1N1): Starting point and risk factors da Costa, Ana Carolina Carioca; Codeço, Cláudia Torres; Krainski, Elias Teixeira; Gomes, Marcelo Ferreira da Costa; Nobre, Aline Araújo 2018 2018-09-04 COMM-USE N PMC6122785 30180215.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0202832 ug1lt3f1 0.326161 Zhou_2020, Griffiths_2010, Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Stenseth_2008 dos_Santos_2018, Routledge_2020, Mao_Y_2019, Chowell_2012
893 Xu_S_2020 Estimating the Growth Rate and Doubling Time for Short-Term Prediction and Monitoring Trend During the COVID-19 Pandemic with a SAS Macro Stanley Xu; Christina Clarke; Susan Shetterly; Komal Narwaney 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.08.20057943 10mbsqmo 0.325846 Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Muniz-Rodriguez_2020, Rossi_2020, Zhuang_2020 Linton_2020, Jing_2020, Linton_2020, Ke_R_2020
894 Woolhouse_2008 Temporal trends in the discovery of human viruses Woolhouse, Mark E.J; Howey, Richard; Gaunt, Eleanor; Reilly, Liam; Chase-Topping, Margo; Savill, Nick 2008 2008-05-27 COMM-USE N PMC2475551 18505720.0 10.1098/rspb.2008.0294 5blxgsfi 0.325707 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Chang_2011, Lumby_2018 Woolhouse_2012, Rosenberg_2014, Olival_2017
895 Salomon_2020 Defining high-value information for COVID-19 decision-making Joshua A Salomon 2020 2020-04-08 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.06.20052506 iymhykq8 0.325707 Coker_2007, Mooney_2013, Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Ropeik_2004 Nicolau_2020, Tuite_2020, Einian_2020, Moss_2020
896 Eberhardt_2020 Multi-Stage Group Testing Optimizes COVID-19 Mass Population Testing Jens Niklas Eberhardt; Nikolas Peter Breuckmann; Christiane Sigrid Eberhardt 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.10.20061176 ztsvzysq 0.324834 Polverino_2017, Bocharov_2018, Gamermann_2014, Chang_2011 Sinnott-Armstrong_2020, Yelin_2020, yuan_2020, Mentus_2020
897 Wang_2012 Influence of temporary migration on the transmission of infectious diseases in a migrants' home village Wang, Lin; Wang, Xiao 2012 2012-05-07 PMC N PMC7094136 22266046.0 10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.01.004 1v6lcti6 0.323511 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Kruk_2008, Coker_2007, Fielding_2014 Denphedtnong_2013, dos_Santos_2018, Barnett_2008, Chin_2019
898 Nishiura_2009 Two Critical Issues in Quantitative Modeling of Communicable Diseases: Inference of Unobservables and Dependent Happening Nishiura, Hiroshi; Kakehashi, Masayuki; Inaba, Hisashi 2009 2009-01-01 PMC N PMC7120684 10.1007/978-90-481-2313-1_3 hjmprklx 0.323187 Polverino_2017, Looker_2006, Mack_2007, Goetz_2010, Denison_2008 Nishiura_2007, Thompson_2019, Safi_2011, Real_2007
899 Weber_2020 Trend analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic in China and the rest of the world Albertine Weber; Flavio Iannelli; Sebastian Goncalves 2020 2020-03-23 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.19.20037192 vsqaxqy4 0.322229 Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Zheng_2020, Li_C_2018 He_J_2020, Teles_2020, Wang_2020, Zhou_2020
900 House_2016 Bayesian uncertainty quantification for transmissibility of influenza, norovirus and Ebola using information geometry House, Thomas; Ford, Ashley; Lan, Shiwei; Bilson, Samuel; Buckingham-Jeffery, Elizabeth; Girolami, Mark 2016 2016-08-23 None N PMC5014059 27558850.0 10.1098/rsif.2016.0279 3eepsy3v 0.322099 Bifolchi_2013, Lemey_2009, Giardina_2017, O'Dea_2010, Denison_2008 Rabaa_2015, Glennon_2020, Lo_Iacono_2015, Akhmetzhanov_2019
901 Djaafara_2020 A quantitative framework to define the end of an outbreak: application to Ebola Virus Disease Bimandra A Djaafara; Natsuko Imai; Esther Hamblion; Benido Impouma; Christl A Donnelly; Anne Cori 2020 2020-02-20 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.02.17.20024042 nnkholfe 0.321932 Polverino_2017, Mondor_2012, van_der_Weijden_2010, Wu_Q_2014, Stenseth_2008 Glennon_2020, Xia_W_2020, Rabaa_2015, Kretzschmar_2020
902 Gross_2020 Spatio-temporal propagation of COVID-19 pandemics Bnaya Gross; Zhiguo Zheng; Shiyan Liu; Xiaoqi Chen; Alon Sela; Jianxin Li; Daqing Li; Shlomo Havlin 2020 2020-03-27 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.23.20041517 x2bi3v3u 0.321932 Mack_2007, Li_C_2018, Stenseth_2008, Lauro_2020, Wu_Q_2014 Yuan_2020, Xia_W_2020, Rockx_2011
903 Walters_2018 Modelling the global spread of diseases: A review of current practice and capability Walters, Caroline E.; Meslé, Margaux M.I.; Hall, Ian M. 2018 2018-12-31 PMC N PMC6227252 29853411.0 10.1016/j.epidem.2018.05.007 cbl9xds3 0.321831 Bocharov_2018, Zheng_2020, Stenseth_2008, Zhou_2020, Chowell_2017 Safi_2011, Colizza_2007, Nishiura_2007, Chowell_2014
904 Sanchez-Taltavull_2020 Modelling strategies to organize healthcare workforce during pandemics: application to COVID-19 Daniel Sanchez-Taltavull; Daniel Candinas; Edgar Roldan; Guido Beldi 2020 2020-03-27 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.23.20041863 viwochvv 0.321831 Coker_2007, Griffiths_2010, Amirov_2007, Stenseth_2008, Wei_B_2011 Moghadas_2010, Folayan_2016, Kumar_2017, Boettler_2020
905 Abdulrahman_2020 SimCOVID: An Open-Source Simulink-Based Program for Simulating the COVID-19 Epidemic Ismael Khorshed Abdulrahman 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.13.20063354 nexylnv4 0.321683 Höhle_2007, Bifolchi_2013, Saw_A_2019, Renna_2020, Bocharov_2018
906 Shao_2020 Beware of asymptomatic transmission: Study on 2019-nCoV prevention and control measures based on extended SEIR model Peng Shao; Yingji Shan 2020 2020-01-28 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.01.28.923169 x443k65a 0.321618 Buseh_2015, Rodier_2007, UNKNOWN_2010, Griffiths_2010, Stenseth_2008 Tang_2020, Ji_X_2020, Shi_P_2020, Yuan_2020
907 Savill_2008 Detection of mortality clusters associated with highly pathogenic avian influenza in poultry: a theoretical analysis Savill, Nicholas J; St. Rose, Suzanne G; Woolhouse, Mark E.J 2008 2008-05-13 PMC N PMC2607352 18477540.0 10.1098/rsif.2008.0133 p443vmx9 0.321553 Lu_P_2016, Webster_2006, Chen_2008, Guan_2013, Kuiken_2011 Rabaa_2015, Chua_2011, Plowright_2016, Glennon_2020
908 Ke_R_2020 Fast spread of COVID-19 in Europe and the US and its implications: even modest public health goals require comprehensive intervention Ruian Ke; Steven Sanche; Ethan Romero-Severson; Nicholas Hengartner 2020 2020-04-07 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.04.20050427 mbdah9ey 0.321335 Li_C_2018, Pai_M_2006, Scheuerl_2020, Wu_Z_2013, Mondor_2012 Siraj_2020, Kretzschmar_2020, Nishiura_2007, Filho_2020
909 Lessler_2007 Transmissibility of swine flu at Fort Dix, 1976 Lessler, Justin; Cummings, Derek A.T; Fishman, Steven; Vora, Amit; Burke, Donald S 2007 2007-04-03 PMC N PMC2373398 17412677.0 10.1098/rsif.2007.0228 ow9l3zoj 0.321316 Lu_P_2016, Walker_2010, Cinti_2005, Hong-Wu_2015, van_den_Brand_2010 Thimmasandra_Narayanappa_2015, Nemoto_2014, Marlier_2006, Van_Hoeven_2009
910 Xu_Q_2020 Bayesian Adaptive Clinical Trials for Anti-Infective Therapeutics during Epidemic Outbreaks Qingyang Xu; Shomesh Chaudhuri; Danying Xiao; Andrew W Lo 2020 2020-04-14 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.09.20059634 20hk99h4 0.321286 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Zheng_2020, Nelson_2012 Esteban_2020, Kim_K_2020, Rockx_2011
911 Herrera-Diestra_2019 Local risk perception enhances epidemic control Herrera-Diestra, José L.; Meyers, Lauren Ancel 2019 2019-12-03 COMM-USE N PMC6890219 31794551.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0225576 9c0zrp7p 0.320935 Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Kruk_2008, Ropeik_2004 Porco_2004, Enanoria_2016, Maharaj_2012
912 Russo_2020 Tracing DAY-ZERO and Forecasting the Fade out of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: A Compartmental Modelling and Numerical Optimization Approach. Lucia Russo; Cleo Anastassopoulou; Athanassios Tsakris; Gennaro Nicola Bifulco; Emilio Fortunato Campana; Gerardo Toraldo; Constantinos Siettos 2020 2020-03-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.17.20037689 fuqtwn5a 0.320693 Tomie_2020, batista_2020, Pearson_2020, Liu_Z_2020, Li_C_2018 Teles_2020, He_J_2020, Liu_Q_2020, Xia_W_2020
913 Campbell_2018 outbreaker2: a modular platform for outbreak reconstruction Campbell, Finlay; Didelot, Xavier; Fitzjohn, Rich; Ferguson, Neil; Cori, Anne; Jombart, Thibaut 2018 2018-10-22 COMM-USE N PMC6196407 30343663.0 10.1186/s12859-018-2330-z gk8ely05 0.320450 Bocharov_2018, Duan_2015, Lu_Q_2006, Grassly_2008, van_Kampen_2015 Jombart_2014, Glennon_2020, Velsko_2014, Rabaa_2015
914 Chowell_2015 Characterizing the Transmission Dynamics and Control of Ebola Virus Disease Chowell, Gerardo; Nishiura, Hiroshi 2015 2015-01-21 COMM-USE N PMC4301953 25607595.0 10.1371/journal.pbio.1002057 7qd03xfi 0.319800 Griffiths_2010, Buseh_2015, Zhou_2020, Fielding_2014, Mwabu_2008 Chowell_2014, Rabaa_2015, Kretzschmar_2020, Safi_2011
915 Richterich_2020 Severe underestimation of COVID-19 case numbers: effect of epidemic growth rate and test restrictions Peter Richterich 2020 2020-04-17 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.13.20064220 p0rqg7uk 0.318692 Polverino_2017, Stenseth_2008, Li_C_2018, Lauro_2020, van_der_Weijden_2010
916 Riordan_2011 Culling-Induced Changes in Badger (Meles meles) Behaviour, Social Organisation and the Epidemiology of Bovine Tuberculosis Riordan, Philip; Delahay, Richard John; Cheeseman, Chris; Johnson, Paul James; Macdonald, David Whyte 2011 2011-12-14 COMM-USE N PMC3237560 22194946.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0028904 cmiegygs 0.318465 Karesh_2005, Merianos_2007, Azman_2016, Wang_2014 Canning_2019, Nájera_2019, Belo_2017, Woodroffe_2012
917 Doeschl-Wilson_2011 Implications of Host Genetic Variation on the Risk and Prevalence of Infectious Diseases Transmitted Through the Environment Doeschl-Wilson, Andrea B.; Davidson, R.; Conington, J.; Roughsedge, T.; Hutchings, M. R.; Villanueva, B. 2011 2011-07-23 PMC N PMC3176547 21527777.0 10.1534/genetics.110.125625 4w9lbkz0 0.318252 Holmes_2007, Li_C_2018, Gervasi_2015, Siva-Jothy_2019 Siva-Jothy_2019, Ferris_2014, Ferris_2013, Loré_2018
918 Courtney_2020 COVID-19: Tracking the Pandemic with A Simple Curve Approximation Tool (SCAT) Jane Courtney 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.06.20055467 6kl6uso6 0.317946 Polverino_2017, Zheng_2020, Bocharov_2018, Lipsitch_2014, Nelson_2012 Zhu_H_2020, Shayak_2020, Ghaffarzadegan_2020, Safi_2011
919 Gupta_2020 SEIR and Regression Model based COVID-19 outbreak predictions in India Rajan Gupta; Gaurav Pandey; Poonam Chaudhary; Saibal Kumar Pal 2020 2020-04-03 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.01.20049825 hf0jtfmx 0.317905 UNKNOWN_2010, Zheng_2020, UNKNOWN_2013, Mondor_2012, Lipsitch_2014 Zareie_2020, Eifan_2017
920 Ding_2020 Brief Analysis of the ARIMA model on the COVID-19 in Italy Guorong Ding; Xinru Li; Yang Shen; Jiao Fan 2020 2020-04-11 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.08.20058636 ilwsrir6 0.317847 UNKNOWN_2010, Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Griffiths_2010 Zareie_2020, Filho_2020, Caccavo_2020, He_J_2020
921 Roosa_2020 Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020 Roosa, K.; Lee, Y.; Luo, R.; Kirpich, A.; Rothenberg, R.; Hyman, J.M.; Yan, P.; Chowell, G. 2020 2020-02-14 None Y PMC7033348 32110742.0 10.1016/j.idm.2020.02.002 0zw3ukpx 0.317346 Lim_T_2012, Lin_Q_2020, Tomie_2020, Griffiths_2010, Brüssow_2020 Yuan_2020, Liu_Q_2020
922 Georgiou_2020 COVID-19 outbreak in Greece has passed its rising inflection point and stepping into its peak Harris V Georgiou 2020 2020-04-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.15.20066712 ze2hnddp 0.317133 Coker_2007, Wei_B_2011, Stenseth_2008, Griffiths_2010, von_der_Gracht_2010
923 Utsunomiya_2020 Growth rate and acceleration analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic reveals the effect of public health measures in real time Yuri Tani Utsunomiya; Adam Taiti Harth Utsunomiya; Rafaela Beatriz Pintor Torrecilha; Silvana Cassia Paulan; Marco Milanesi; Jose Fernando Garcia 2020 2020-04-02 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.30.20047688 39ywzw6a 0.316898 Li_C_2018, Welch_2011, Wu_Q_2014, Liu_Z_2020, Zhou_2020 Smeets_2020, Filho_2020, Kraemer_2020, Oliveiros_2020
924 Pant_2020 COVID-19 Epidemic Dynamics and Population Projections from Early Days of Case Reporting in a 40 million population from Southern India Rashmi Pant; Lincoln Priyadarshi Choudhry; Jammy Guru Rajesh; Vijay V Yeldandi 2020 2020-04-21 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.17.20070292 9lw1gb3q 0.316158 Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Griffiths_2010, Zhou_2020, Coker_2007
925 Lauro_2020 The timing of one-shot interventions for epidemic control Francesco Di Lauro; István Z Kiss; Joel Miller 2020 2020-03-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.02.20030007 zav5gksq 0.315825 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Looker_2006, Coker_2007 Siraj_2020, Yuan_2020, Anderson_2020, Djidjou-Demasse_2020
926 PETTEY_2017 Constructing Ebola transmission chains from West Africa and estimating model parameters using internet sources PETTEY, W. B. P.; CARTER, M. E.; A TOTH, D. J.; SAMORE, M. H.; GUNDLAPALLI, A. V. 2017 2017-05-02 None N PMC5830111 28462731.0 10.1017/s0950268817000760 8dpq0sz0 0.314511 Zhou_2020, Buseh_2015, Griffiths_2010, UNKNOWN_2010, Stenseth_2008 Chowell_2016, Robert_2020, Kemunto_2018, Kim_L_2019
927 Hilton_2018 Modeling site-specific amino-acid preferences deepens phylogenetic estimates of viral sequence divergence Hilton, Sarah K; Bloom, Jesse D 2018 2018-11-06 COMM-USE N PMC6220371 30425841.0 10.1093/ve/vey033 zw5kt090 0.314276 Chang_2011, Redelings_2007, Zheng_2008, Qi_Z_2018 Padhi_2008, van_Hemert_2007
928 Torneri_2020 A prospect on the use of antiviral drugs to control local outbreaks of COVID-19 Andrea Torneri; Pieter Jules Karel Libin; Joris Vanderlocht; Anne-Mieke Vandamme; Johan Neyts; Niel Hens 2020 2020-03-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.19.20038182 9sr5b44k 0.314266 Polverino_2017, Wu_Q_2014, Mondor_2012, Li_C_2018, Lumby_2018 Devaux_2020, Wu_H_2016, Ceylan_2013
929 Soubeyrand_2020 The current COVID-19 wave will likely be mitigated in the second-line European countries Samuel Soubeyrand; Melina Ribaud; Virgile Baudrot; Denis Allard; Denys Pommeret; Lionel Roques 2020 2020-04-22 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.17.20069179 dh3cgd48 0.313940 Lim_T_2012, Griffiths_2010, Lin_T_2011, Fielding_2014, Rodier_2007
930 Tomar_2020 Prediction for the spread of COVID-19 in India and effectiveness of preventive measures Tomar, Anuradha; Gupta, Neeraj 2020 2020-04-20 PMC Y 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138762 pvf3afug 0.313925 Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Griffiths_2010, Mack_2007, Mwabu_2008
931 Wang_2020 Survival-Convolution Models for Predicting COVID-19 Cases and Assessing Effects of Mitigation Strategies Qinxia Wang; Shanghong Xie; Yuanjia Wang; Donglin Zeng 2020 2020-04-21 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.16.20067306 tqeyx7yn 0.313705 Mondor_2012, Lu_J_2020, Li_C_2018, Buseh_2015, Coker_2007
932 Vega_2020 Lockdown, one, two, none, or smart. Modeling containing covid-19 infection. A conceptual model Vega, Danny Ibarra 2020 2020-04-22 PMC Y 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138917 btng72h7 0.313695 Li_C_2018, Polverino_2017, Welch_2011, Bifolchi_2013, Qi_Z_2018
933 Diao_2020 Estimating the cure rate and case fatality rate of the ongoing epidemic COVID-19 Ying Diao; Xiaoyun Liu; Tao Wang; Xiaofei Zeng; Chen Dong; Changlong Zhou; Yuanming Zhang; Xuan She; Dingfu Liu; Zhongli Hu 2020 2020-02-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.02.18.20024513 od8s0zhm 0.313695 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Kenah_2012, Lauro_2020 Cao_L_2020, Pirouz_2020, Jung_2020
934 Ferretti_2020 Quantifying dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests that epidemic control and avoidance is feasible through instantaneous digital contact tracing Luca Ferretti; Chris Wymant; Michelle Kendall; Lele Zhao; Anel Nurtay; David G Bonsall; Christophe Fraser 2020 2020-03-12 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.08.20032946 bc9retcq 0.312050 Mack_2007, Coker_2007, Looker_2006, Stenseth_2008, Ropeik_2004 Kretzschmar_2020, Porco_2004, House_2010, Armbruster_2007
935 Uribe-Sánchez_2011 A predictive decision-aid methodology for dynamic mitigation of influenza pandemics Uribe-Sánchez, Andrés; Savachkin, Alex; Santana, Alfredo; Prieto-Santa, Diana; Das, Tapas K. 2011 2011-05-07 PMC N PMC7080196 10.1007/s00291-011-0249-0 g3odc7da 0.311846 Coker_2007, Griffiths_2010, Mwabu_2008, Amirov_2007, Wei_B_2011 Uribe-Sánchez_2011, Uribe-Sánchez_2010, Wu_J_2011, Bucini_2019
936 Bhatia_2019 Using Digital Surveillance Tools for Near Real-Time Mapping of the Risk of International Infectious Disease Spread: Ebola as a Case Study Sangeeta Bhatia; Britta Lassmann; Emily Cohn; Malwina Carrion; Moritz U.G. Kraemer; Mark Herringer; John Brownstein; Larry Madoff; Anne Cori; Pierre Nouvellet 2019 2019-11-15 BioRxiv N 10.1101/19011940 jwesa12u 0.311729 UNKNOWN_2010, Buseh_2015, Zhou_2020, Santillana_2014, Guery_2014 Ak_Ç_2020, Hale_2019, dos_Santos_2018, Lorthe_2018
937 Chandra_2013 A geographic analysis of population density thresholds in the influenza pandemic of 1918–19 Chandra, Siddharth; Kassens-Noor, Eva; Kuljanin, Goran; Vertalka, Joshua 2013 2013-02-20 COMM-USE N PMC3641965 23425498.0 10.1186/1476-072x-12-9 hwkouyzd 0.311315 Li_C_2018, Stenseth_2008, Wu_Q_2014, Galea_2005, Fielding_2014 dos_Santos_2018, Acuna-Soto_2004
938 Lopez_2020 A modified SEIR model to predict the COVID-19 outbreak in Spain: simulating control scenarios and multi-scale epidemics Leonardo R Lopez; Xavier Rodo 2020 2020-03-30 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.27.20045005 m27nyzrw 0.310728 Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Chen_2018, Mondor_2012, Mack_2007 Yuan_2020, Filho_2020
939 Pei_S_2018 Inference and control of the nosocomial transmission of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus Pei, Sen; Morone, Flaviano; Liljeros, Fredrik; Makse, Hernán; Shaman, Jeffrey L 2018 2018-12-18 COMM-USE N PMC6298769 30560786.0 10.7554/elife.40977 0dut9fjn 0.310556 Pai_M_2006, Amirov_2007, Stenseth_2008, Mwabu_2008, Zhou_2020 Andraud_2011, Bing-Yuan_2018, Villacís_2020, Timoney_1984
940 Chatterjee_2020 Healthcare impact of COVID-19 epidemic in India: A stochastic mathematical model Chatterjee, Kaustuv; Chatterjee, Kaushik; Kumar, Arun; Shankar, Subramanian 2020 2020-04-02 PMC Y 10.1016/j.mjafi.2020.03.022 qyo4lm8f 0.310478 Pearson_2020, Griffiths_2010, Laurens_2019, Fielding_2014, Lee_Y_2016 Tuite_2020, Filho_2020, Massonnaud_2020
941 McBryde_2020 Flattening the curve is not enough, we need to squash it. An explainer using a simple model Emma S McBryde; Michael T Meehan; James M Trauer 2020 2020-04-02 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.30.20048009 zmqb140l 0.310226 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Li_C_2018, Crisp_2011, Kruk_2008 Courtney_2020, Lauro_2020, Bioglio_2016, Siraj_2020
942 Acuna-Zegarra_2020 The SARS-CoV-2 epidemic outbreak: a review of plausible scenarios of containment and mitigation for Mexico Manuel Adrian Acuna-Zegarra; Andreu Comas-Garcia; Esteban Hernandez-Vargas; Mario Santana-Cibrian; Jorge X. Velasco-Hernandez 2020 2020-03-31 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.28.20046276 aiq6ejcq 0.309595 Mack_2007, Stenseth_2008, Coker_2007, Looker_2006, UNKNOWN_2019 Ng_T_2003, Kretzschmar_2020, Aleta_2020
943 Nathanson_2005 Virus perpetuation in populations: biological variables that determine persistence or eradication Nathanson, N. 2005 2005-01-01 PMC N PMC7121194 16355865.0 10.1007/3-211-29981-5_2 hm36pepp 0.309394 Lu_P_2016, Potgieter_1986, Fauci_2006, Yin_J_2013, Karlsson_2012 Plowright_2016, Sarikonda_2010
944 Akhmetzhanov_2019 Quantifying the seasonal drivers of transmission for Lassa fever in Nigeria Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R.; Asai, Yusuke; Nishiura, Hiroshi 2019 2019-06-24 COMM-USE N PMC6553602 31056054.0 10.1098/rstb.2018.0268 a1ks06ge 0.308984 Lu_P_2016, Karlsson_2012, Fauci_2006, Brucker_2020, Webster_2006 Lo_Iacono_2015, Berto_2018, Ergönül_2006, Rabaa_2015
945 Dell'Omodarme_2005 The probability of failing in detecting an infectious disease at entry points into a country Dell'Omodarme, M.; Prati, M. C. 2005 2005-06-24 PMC N PMC7169602 15977301.0 10.1002/sim.2131 yloz7321 0.308403 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Lee_C_2017, Feng_2010, Welch_2011
946 Garske_2007 The Transmissibility of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in Commercial Poultry in Industrialised Countries Garske, Tini; Clarke, Paul; Ghani, Azra C. 2007 2007-04-04 COMM-USE N PMC1831494 17406673.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0000349 x2zq0lnt 0.308166 Lu_P_2016, Mack_2007, Cinti_2005, Stenseth_2008, Webster_2006 Nemoto_2014, Marlier_2006, Pusterla_2013, Klem_2014
947 Chen_2018 The utility of LASSO-based models for real time forecasts of endemic infectious diseases: A cross country comparison Chen, Yirong; Chu, Collins Wenhan; Chen, Mark I.C.; Cook, Alex R. 2018 2018-05-31 PMC N 29496631.0 10.1016/j.jbi.2018.02.014 lxnrikmu 0.308080 Zhou_2020, Coker_2007, Mack_2007, Mwabu_2008, Stenseth_2008 Bucini_2019, Distante_2020, Ak_Ç_2020, Park_2017
948 Bennett_2013 Airborne exposure patterns from a passenger source in aircraft cabins Bennett, James S.; Jones, Byron W.; Hosni, Mohammad H.; Zhang, Yuanhui; Topmiller, Jennifer L.; Dietrich, Watts L. 2013 2013-11-17 PMC N PMC4626449 26526769.0 10.1080/10789669.2013.838990 yk9p3i0x 0.307035 Li_C_2018, Bifolchi_2013, Welch_2011, Lumby_2018, Lloyd_2009 Yan_Y_2017, Han_Z_2014, Aliabadi_2011, Tung_2009
949 Zhan_2020 Prediction of COVID-19 Spreading Profiles in South Korea, Italy and Iran by Data-Driven Coding Choujun Zhan; Chi K. Tse; Zhikang Lai; Tianyong Hao; Jingjing Su 2020 2020-03-10 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.08.20032847 mr8z65o5 0.306687 Li_C_2018, batista_2020, Chang_2011, Liu_Z_2020 He_J_2020, Zareie_2020, Zhan_2020, Weber_2020
950 Rodriguez_2020 Predicting Whom to Test is More Important Than More Tests - Modeling the Impact of Testing on the Spread of COVID-19 Virus By True Positive Rate Estimation Paul F Rodriguez 2020 2020-04-06 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.01.20050393 06vc2y9y 0.306533 Stenseth_2008, Li_C_2018, Monga_2006, Polverino_2017, Mack_2007 Noriega_2020, Eberhardt_2020, Sinnott-Armstrong_2020
951 Ghosh_2020 Increased Detection coupled with Social Distancing and Health Capacity Planning Reduce the Burden of COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities: A Proof of Concept Study using a Stochastic Computational Simulation Model Pramit Ghosh; Salah Basheer; Sandip Paul; Partha Chakrabarti; Jit Sarkar 2020 2020-04-07 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.05.20054775 01f5mvsc 0.306383 Polverino_2017, Li_C_2018, Wu_Q_2014, Lipsitch_2014, Chen_2018 Milne_2020, Kretzschmar_2020, Tuite_2020
952 Tago_2016 The Impact of Farmers’ Strategic Behavior on the Spread of Animal Infectious Diseases Tago, Damian; Hammitt, James K.; Thomas, Alban; Raboisson, Didier 2016 2016-06-14 COMM-USE N PMC4907430 27300368.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0157450 7tewne3a 0.305551 Coker_2007, Stenseth_2008, Mwabu_2008, Alves_2007, Wei_B_2011 Bucini_2019, Häsler_2012, dos_Santos_2018, O’Dea_2015
953 Baker_2020 Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the COVID-19 pandemic Rachel E. Baker; Wenchang Yang; Gabriel A. Vecchi; C. Jessica E. Metcalf; Bryan T Grenfell 2020 2020-04-07 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.04.03.20052787 zxx7tikz 0.304495 Fauci_2006, Mack_2007, Cinti_2005, Li_C_2018 Kim_K_2020, Esteban_2020, Araujo_2020, Luo_W_2020
954 Alexander_2010 Risk factors for the evolutionary emergence of pathogens Alexander, H. K.; Day, T. 2010 2010-10-06 COMM-USE N PMC2935601 20410190.0 10.1098/rsif.2010.0123 r90ty04i 0.304441 Fauci_2006, Holmes_2007, Rivas_2016, Woolhouse_2005, Lythgoe_2017 Kreuder_Johnson_2015, Rabaa_2015, Becker_2019, Webby_2004
955 Ahmed_2020 First confirmed detection of SARS-CoV-2 in untreated wastewater in Australia: A proof of concept for the wastewater surveillance of COVID-19 in the community Ahmed, Warish; Angel, Nicola; Edson, Janette; Bibby, Kyle; Bivins, Aaron; O'Brien, Jake W.; Choi, Phil M.; Kitajima, Masaaki; Simpson, Stuart L.; Li, Jiaying; Tscharke, Ben; Verhagen, Rory; Smith, Wendy J.M.; Zaugg, Julian; Dierens, Leanne; Hugenholtz, Philip; Thomas, Kevin V.; Mueller, Jochen F. 2020 2020-04-18 PMC Y 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138764 4om2u914 0.304063 Li_C_2018, Auewarakul_2005, Saw_A_2019, Lumby_2018, Chang_2011
956 Velsko_2014 Forensic interpretation of molecular variation on networks of disease transmission and genetic inheritance Velsko, Stephan P.; Osburn, Joanne; Allen, Jonathan 2014 2014-10-07 PMC N PMC7159361 25137141.0 10.1002/elps.201400205 7we3q5an 0.303990 Walker_2010, Castrignano_2015, Munjal_2018, Li_L_2014, Scarpino_2016
957 Magdon-Ismail_2020 Machine Learning the Phenomenology of COVID-19 From Early Infection Dynamics Malik Magdon-Ismail 2020 2020-03-20 BioRxiv Y 10.1101/2020.03.17.20037309 vwbpkpxd 0.303606 Stenseth_2008, Mack_2007, Guery_2014, Bocharov_2018, Wu_Q_2014 He_X_2020, Kim_K_2020, Esteban_2020, Duffey_2020
958 Daughton_2017 An approach to and web-based tool for infectious disease outbreak intervention analysis Daughton, Ashlynn R.; Generous, Nicholas; Priedhorsky, Reid; Deshpande, Alina 2017 2017-04-18 COMM-USE N PMC5394686 28417983.0 10.1038/srep46076 2z32ln7g 0.303587 Coker_2007, Mwabu_2008, Mack_2007, Wei_B_2011, Stenseth_2008 Rabaa_2015, Kim_L_2019, Enanoria_2016, Song_2020
959 Napp_2016 Understanding Spatio-Temporal Variability in the Reproduction Ratio of the Bluetongue (BTV-1) Epidemic in Southern Spain (Andalusia) in 2007 Using Epidemic Trees Napp, S.; Allepuz, A.; Purse, B. V.; Casal, J.; García-Bocanegra, I.; Burgin, L. E.; Searle, K. R. 2016 2016-03-10 COMM-USE N PMC4786328 26963397.0 10.1371/journal.pone.0151151 zo9yngfc 0.302893 Li_C_2018, Ye_F_2019, Lu_P_2016, Webster_2006, Sawabe_2010 Routledge_2019, Colombi_2019, Kretzschmar_2020, Routledge_2020
960 Giles_2016 Models of Eucalypt phenology predict bat population flux Giles, John R.; Plowright, Raina K.; Eby, Peggy; Peel, Alison J.; McCallum, Hamish 2016 2016-09-21 COMM-USE N PMC5115174 27891217.0 10.1002/ece3.2382 wl1iibld 0.302707 Gay_N_2014, Bergner_2019, Luis_2015, McCoy_2003
961 Nguyen_2019 Simulation models for transmission of health care–associated infection: A systematic review Nguyen, Le Khanh Ngan; Megiddo, Itamar; Howick, Susan 2019 2019-12-18 PMC N 10.1016/j.ajic.2019.11.005 5ktlba3p 0.302383 Griffiths_2010, Knapp_2008, Mwabu_2008, Wei_B_2011, Amirov_2007 Milazzo_2011, Raja_Sekhara_Rao_2015, van_Kleef_2013, Safi_2011
962 Eifan_2017 A pandemic risk assessment of middle east respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) in Saudi Arabia Eifan, Saleh A.; Nour, Islam; Hanif, Atif; Zamzam, Abdelrahman M.M.; AlJohani, Sameera Mohammed 2017 2017-06-06 None N PMC5643837 29062261.0 10.1016/j.sjbs.2017.06.001 sk2n2gxw 0.302024 Li_C_2018, Puranaveja_2009, Vui_D_2014, batista_2020, Tomie_2020 Faridi_2016, Aleanizy_2017, Bleibtreu_2019, Khan_2020
963 Spencer_2020 Epidemiological parameter review and comparative dynamics of influenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, human coronavirus, and adenovirus Julie Spencer; Deborah P Shutt; Sarah K Moser; Hannah Clegg; Helen J Wearing; Harshini Mukundan; Carrie A Manore 2020 2020-02-05 BioRxiv N 10.1101/2020.02.04.20020404 xv42jvd6 0.300915 Lu_P_2016, Walker_2010, Brucker_2020, Crowe_2014 Zambon_2005, Thompson_2009, Espinosa_2017, Sáez-López_2019
964 Qi_J_2009 Dynamic modeling of cellular response to DNA damage based on p53 stress response networks Qi, Jinpeng; Ding, Yongsheng; Shao, Shihuang 2009 2009-10-10 PMC N PMC7128557 10.1016/j.pnsc.2009.03.008 jz4zb8qp 0.300784 Qi_J_2006, Jang_2019, Berkhout_2006, Choi_2020 Qi_J_2006, Jeon_2017, Qi_J_2007
965 Chu_F_2008 A fractionally integrated autoregressive moving average approach to forecasting tourism demand Chu, Fong-Lin 2008 2008-02-29 PMC N PMC7115486 10.1016/j.tourman.2007.04.003 5223eh98 0.300784 Bocharov_2018, Chen_2010, Chowell_2017, Stenseth_2008, Zhao_2013 Lim_C_2009, Balli_2019, Xie_G_2020, Guirao_2016